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Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Valero Energy logo
$133.17 -4.14 (-3.02%)
Closing price 08/1/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$132.80 -0.36 (-0.27%)
As of 08/1/2025 08:00 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.

Valero Energy - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
12

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Valero Energy in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 17 analysts, 5 have given a hold rating, 10 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for VLO.

Consensus Price Target

$154.47
15.99% Upside
According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Valero Energy, the average price target is $154.47. The highest price target for VLO is $172.00, while the lowest price target for VLO is $135.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 15.99% from the current price of $133.17.
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VLO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
8/2/24 to 8/2/25
1 Month Ago
7/3/24 to 7/3/25
3 Months Ago
5/4/24 to 5/4/25
1 Year Ago
8/3/23 to 8/2/24
Strong Buy
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
10 Buy rating(s)
13 Buy rating(s)
12 Buy rating(s)
10 Buy rating(s)
Hold
5 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$154.47$150.88$149.80$174.00
Forecasted Upside15.99% Upside5.11% Upside26.00% Upside17.12% Upside
Consensus Rating
Moderate Buy
Buy
Moderate Buy
Moderate Buy

VLO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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VLO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Valero Energy Stock vs. The Competition

TypeValero EnergyEnergy CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.82
2.67
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside15.99% Upside58.22% Upside14.55% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent VLO News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalyst NameActionRatingPrice TargetUpside/Downside on Report DateDetails
7/28/2025Piper Sandler
2 of 5 stars
Ryan Todd
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Boost TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$159.00 ➝ $168.00+17.15%
7/25/2025UBS Group
3 of 5 stars
Manav Gupta
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Boost TargetBuy ➝ Buy$164.00 ➝ $165.00+15.62%
7/22/2025TD Cowen
4 of 5 stars
Jason Gabelman
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DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold$118.00 ➝ $140.00-4.17%
7/16/2025Morgan Stanley
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 Boost TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$145.00 ➝ $160.00+7.36%
7/16/2025Citigroup
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Vikram Bagri
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DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral$134.00 ➝ $150.00+0.65%
7/15/2025Raymond James Financial
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Justin Jenkins
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Boost TargetStrong-Buy ➝ Strong-Buy$155.00 ➝ $172.00+15.62%
7/14/2025Wolfe Research
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Doug Leggate
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DowngradeOutperform ➝ Peer Perform
7/9/2025Wells Fargo & Company
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Roger Read
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Boost TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$151.00 ➝ $168.00+13.03%
6/18/2025Evercore ISI
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Stephen Richardson
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Initiated CoverageIn-Line$135.00-4.82%
5/13/2025Mizuho
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Nitin Kumar
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Boost TargetOutperform ➝ Outperform$158.00 ➝ $166.00+24.22%
5/13/2025The Goldman Sachs Group
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N. Mehta
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UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$127.00 ➝ $154.00+18.03%
5/12/2025Barclays
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Theresa Chen
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Boost TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$140.00 ➝ $141.00+8.06%
4/28/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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John Royall
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Lower TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$152.00 ➝ $147.00+28.38%
4/11/2025Scotiabank
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Paul Cheng
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Lower TargetSector Outperform ➝ Sector Outperform$156.00 ➝ $136.00+22.98%
2/4/2025Tudor Pickering
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M. Blair
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UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
10/17/2024Bank of America
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 Initiated CoverageNeutral$150.00+10.68%
10/4/2024BMO Capital Markets
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 Lower TargetOutperform ➝ Outperform$175.00 ➝ $165.00+16.62%
5/16/2024Argus
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 DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold
10/30/2023Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
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 DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold$150.00 ➝ $130.00+6.29%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 10:56 AM ET.


Should I Buy Valero Energy Stock? VLO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, July 31, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Valero Energy pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Valero Energy
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Valero Energy Co.:

  • The current stock price is around $143.73, showing a recent increase of 1.2%, which may indicate positive market sentiment.
  • Valero Energy Co. has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from analysts, suggesting that many believe the stock has potential for growth.
  • The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.28, significantly exceeding analysts' expectations, which reflects strong financial performance.
  • Valero Energy Co. has a solid market capitalization of approximately $45 billion, indicating a stable and established presence in the energy sector.
  • The company recently declared a quarterly dividend of $1.13 per share, providing a dividend yield of around 3.14%, which can be attractive for income-focused investors.

Valero Energy
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Valero Energy Co. for these reasons:

  • The company's revenue has decreased by 13.3% compared to the same quarter last year, which may raise concerns about its growth prospects.
  • Valero Energy Co. has a high dividend payout ratio of 188.33%, indicating that it pays out more in dividends than it earns, which could be unsustainable in the long run.
  • Analysts have mixed ratings, with some downgrading the stock from "buy" to "neutral," suggesting uncertainty about its future performance.
  • The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is relatively high at around 59.91, which may indicate that the stock is overvalued compared to its earnings.
  • Market volatility can impact the energy sector significantly, and Valero Energy Co. is not immune to fluctuations in oil prices and demand.

VLO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Valero Energy is $154.47, with a high forecast of $172.00 and a low forecast of $135.00.

17 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Valero Energy in the last year. There are currently 5 hold ratings, 10 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" VLO shares.

According to analysts, Valero Energy's stock has a predicted upside of 15.99% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Valero Energy's stock had 3 downgrades and 1 upgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Valero Energy more than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating score for Valero Energy is 2.82 while the average consensus rating score for "energy" companies is 2.67. Learn more on how VLO compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:VLO) was last updated on 8/2/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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