For a novice investor, financial TV shows can sound scripted in a different language. Technical terminology is thrown around with assumed understanding, and comments like “The Dow lost 500 points today” mean little if you don’t have the proper context. Is 500 points a significant loss or a minor blip? How much does the Dow matter compared to the S&P 500? And what exactly is the Dow anyway?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), commonly known as the Dow Jones or simply the Dow, is one of the world’s oldest stock indices. The Dow's methodology differs from that of other popular benchmarks, and its components have changed massively over the years.
Keep reading to learn how the Dow is calculated, why it matters, how it compares to other indices, and what investors can learn from it.
Why Only 30 Companies?
You might be asking, isn’t 30 companies a little light for a major stock market average?
The S&P 500 has (at least) 500 stocks, and the Nasdaq has thousands. The Dow Jones has a different mission, though, with a narrow focus on established industry leaders. You’ll often hear the Dow Jones referred to as the Blue Chip index because the components are mostly older, dividend-paying companies with lengthy histories and consistent sales.
Each company in the Dow is considered a key figure in the U.S. economy, and its components are spread across each sector in the market. One significant difference between the Dow and the other U.S. indices is the prevalence of the tech sector, or lack thereof. While tech giants like NVIDIA, Microsoft Corp. NASDAQ: MSFT, and Apple Inc. NASDAQ: AAPL make the cut, the index has a balance between sectors, and companies like Meta Platforms, Inc. NASDAQ: META, Alphabet Inc. NASDAQ: GOOGL, Tesla, Inc. NASDAQ: TSLA, and Broadcom Inc. NASDAQ: AVGO are notably absent.
How Is the Dow Jones Calculated?
The Dow Jones doesn’t just have different components; it’s also calculated differently from the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite.
Th S&P too and Nasdaq are cap-weighted, meaning they give more weight to stocks with higher market capitalization (i.e., Apple, NVIDIA, Microsoft at the top). However, the Dow Jones is price-weighted, meaning higher-priced stocks throw around more weight. A $200 stock will have twice the weight as a $100 stock, even if the $100 stock belongs to a company with twice the market cap and annual revenue.
Example of How Price Weighting Works
Let’s say Goldman Sachs Group NYSE: GS is trading at $559.54, making it the highest-priced stock in the DJIA. Because the Dow is price-weighted, this gives Goldman Sachs a weight of around 8.8% in the index—meaning it has a significant impact on the Dow’s movement.
Compare that to JPMorgan Chase and Co. NYSE: JPM, which might be trading at $242.41. Despite being a much larger company by market value, JPM would carry a smaller 3.7% weighting in the Dow, simply because its stock price is lower.
Now let’s flip to the market-cap weighted S&P 500, where the picture changes completely.JPMorgan Chase, with a market cap of $678 billion, holds the top spot among banks in the index while Goldman Sachs—despite its higher stock price—has a smaller $175 billion market cap and ranks 4th among banks in the S&P 500.
Why Does the Dow Jones Matter?
If the Dow Jones is older and less exact in its weighting, why does it still matter? No stock index is perfect, and despite the perceived flaws, the Dow is still an important barometer of U.S. markets and the economy. Here are three key reasons investors keep tabs on the Dow:
- Market Health: When the Dow rises, investors see it as a sign of economic strength due to its blue-chip nature. A contraction can be seen as economic weakness.
- Media Awareness: The Dow is one of the most commonly known stock market benchmarks; even non-investors see it quoted on the local evening news each night. If the Dow is going down, public sentiment often follows.
- Diversification: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are heavily tilted toward tech thanks to their cap-weighted structures, while the Dow components are more evenly distributed across sectors.
Dow Jones vs. S&P 500 vs. Nasdaq: Key Differences
While all three are important indices, there are some significant differences between the Dow Jones vs. S&P 500 vs. Nasdaq.
Index
|
No. of Companies
|
Methodology
|
Focus
|
Dow Jones
|
30
|
Price-weighted
|
Established blue chips
|
S&P 500
|
5000
|
Cap-weighted
|
Large broad market
|
Nasdaq Composite
|
Over 3,000
|
Cap-weighted
|
Tech heavy
|
Why Some Investors Prefer the S&P 500
- The S&P 500 contains the largest 500 public U.S. companies, giving it a broader focus than the Dow.
- Cap-weighted indexing gives more focus to larger companies, meaning companies with more revenue have more influence.
- It is more modern and sophisticated than the Dow Jones.
Why Some Investors Prefer the Nasdaq
- The Nasdaq contains more than just blue chips; it includes newer small caps with high growth potential.
- Over 3,000 companies give investors the broadest market exposure amongst major indices.
- The higher volatility of the Nasdaq makes it more appealing to day and swing traders.
Limitations of the Dow Jones
The Dow is still a useful stock market measurement, but it has drawbacks. Here are three important limitations to consider before investing:
- Only 30 Stocks: Many stocks with significant influence on the market are missing from the Dow.
- Price-Weighted: Higher stock prices don’t always mean more successful companies. A stock with a price of $600 could do less in annual sales than a stock with a $200 price.
- Lack of Smaller Companies: The Dow’s components are all established blue chips that no longer seek exponential growth, which is why the Dow has consistently lagged the Nasdaq over time—even if you start the comparison from the height of the Dot-Com bubble.
Should You Use the Dow for Investing Decisions?
The Dow Jones is a different animal than other indices, so investors must know how to use it properly. The companies in the Dow are amongst the oldest and most successful in their stock sector, and their financial data and earnings reports are important for the broader market outlook.
However, having only 30 blue-chip components presents some limitations. Dow stocks are great for dividend income and stability, less so for growth and outsized market returns. Before using the Dow for investment decisions, you’ll need to consider your goals and risk tolerance. Are you looking for growth or income? Volatility or stability? The answers will determine how much attention you should pay to the Dow.
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