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Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Arch Capital Group logo
$95.70 +0.75 (+0.79%)
As of 12:26 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Arch Capital Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
6
Buy
7

Based on 14 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 14 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 6 have given a hold rating, and 7 have given a buy rating for ACGL.

Consensus Price Target

$110.82
15.80% Upside
According to the 14 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Arch Capital Group, the average price target is $110.82. The highest price target for ACGL is $126.00, while the lowest price target for ACGL is $93.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 15.80% from the current price of $95.70.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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ACGL Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/23/25 to 9/23/26
1 Month Ago
8/24/25 to 8/24/26
3 Months Ago
6/25/25 to 6/25/26
1 Year Ago
9/23/24 to 9/23/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
7 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
6 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$110.82$111.11$106.81$109.36
Forecasted Upside15.80% Upside9.85% Upside13.23% Upside23.62% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldModerate Buy

ACGL Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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ACGL Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Arch Capital Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeArch Capital GroupFinance CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.43
2.27
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside16.72% Upside32.61% Upside17.93% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent ACGL News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/16/2026
Mizuho logo
Mizuho
3 of 5 stars
Yaron Kinar
Yaron Kinar
Not Rated
Set TargetNeutral$104.00 ➝ $100.00+3.05%
8/13/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingBuy (B-)
8/11/2026
Pablo Singzon
Pablo Singzon
Not Rated
Boost TargetNeutral$116.00 ➝ $118.00+19.95%
8/3/2026Boost TargetNeutral$102.00 ➝ $110.00+9.42%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$115.00 ➝ $120.00+19.89%
7/30/2026Boost TargetOverweight$114.00 ➝ $117.00+16.28%
7/29/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Outperform
7/15/2026 Set Target$126.00+28.37%
7/8/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$114.00 ➝ $120.00+17.49%
7/8/2026Lower TargetMarket Perform$102.00 ➝ $99.00-3.74%
7/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$105.00 ➝ $110.00+7.63%
4/8/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$104.00 ➝ $106.00+8.04%
1/7/2026Reiterated RatingSell$84.00 ➝ $93.00-2.27%
1/7/2026Set TargetIn-Line$97.00 ➝ $100.00+6.60%
12/2/2025Set TargetBuy$125.00 ➝ $110.00+18.08%
9/15/2025Initiated CoveragePeer Perform
8/4/2025 Reiterated RatingBuy
6/10/2025DowngradeBuyHold$106.00 ➝ $100.00+8.28%
4/30/2025Reiterated RatingMarket Outperform$125.00 ➝ $125.00+42.42%
11/15/2024 Lower TargetBuy$143.00 ➝ $136.00+35.93%
11/6/2024 Boost TargetMarket Perform$98.00 ➝ $104.00+3.18%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 12:20 PM ET.


Should I Buy Arch Capital Group Stock? ACGL Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Arch Capital Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Arch Capital Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd.:

  • Arch Capital Group Ltd. recently reported strong financial performance in its latest earnings release on July 28, 2026, where the company posted an earnings per share of $2.56, beating the consensus estimate of $2.47 by $0.09, while also generating revenue of $4.67 billion which exceeded analyst expectations of $4.36 billion, demonstrating robust operational execution and profitability with a net margin of 24.40%.
  • The stock currently trades at $96.89, which is significantly below the consensus price target of $111.11 set by analysts, suggesting potential upside value for investors, especially considering the company's low price-to-earnings ratio of 7.58 which indicates the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings power compared to broader market averages.
  • Arch Capital Group Ltd. maintains a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.23, indicating low leverage and financial stability, which is particularly attractive for investors seeking safety in the insurance sector, while the company's tangible book value per share of $64.62 provides a substantial cushion against potential losses.
  • Institutional investors have shown renewed interest in the stock, with several major funds increasing their positions in the second quarter of 2026, including Squarepoint Ops LLC which boosted its stake by over 2,300% and Saudi Central Bank which increased its holdings by 81.7%, signaling confidence in the company's long-term prospects and underwriting capabilities.
  • The company's preferred Series F shares offer a 7.5% yield with a sub-1% payout ratio, providing an attractive income stream for investors, while the absence of a common dividend allows Arch Capital Group Ltd. to retain earnings and accelerate equity growth, further strengthening its capital base for future underwriting opportunities.

Arch Capital Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd. for these reasons:

  • Arch Capital Group Ltd. has received a consensus rating of "Hold" from analysts, with seven analysts assigning a Buy rating, six assigning a Hold rating, and one assigning a Sell rating, indicating a lack of strong consensus for significant price appreciation in the near term, despite the high price target, which may limit short-term gains for aggressive investors.
  • Recent insider activity has been predominantly negative, with CFO Francois Morin selling 11,010 shares on August 18, 2026, and CEO Nicolas Papadopoulo selling 21,930 shares on March 10, 2026, which may signal that company executives are taking advantage of current valuations to reduce their personal exposure to the stock.
  • Short interest in Arch Capital Group Ltd. has been increasing in recent months, with shares shorted rising to 7,338,327 as of August 31, 2026, representing a 0.62% increase from the previous month, suggesting that a portion of the market is betting against the stock's future performance, which could create downward pressure on the share price.
  • The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 Index over the past year, with a fifty-two-week low of $82.44 and a high of $107.08, indicating that investors have been cautious about the company's growth trajectory, and the current price of $96.89 is still below the 50-day moving average of $99.36, suggesting recent weakness in momentum.
  • Some institutional investors have significantly reduced their stakes in Arch Capital Group Ltd. during the second quarter of 2026, such as Ameritas Advisory Services LLC which cut its position by 98.5% and Waverly Advisors LLC which sold 56,207 shares, indicating that some large holders are exiting the stock, which could reflect concerns about the company's future earnings potential or market conditions.

ACGL Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 14 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Arch Capital Group is $110.82, with a high forecast of $126.00 and a low forecast of $93.00.

14 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last year. There is currently 1 sell rating, 6 hold ratings and 7 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" ACGL shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in ACGL, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Arch Capital Group's stock has a predicted upside of 15.80% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Analysts like Arch Capital Group more than other "finance" companies. The consensus rating score for Arch Capital Group is 2.43 while the average consensus rating score for "finance" companies is 2.26. Learn more on how ACGL compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Arch Capital Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/16/2026.
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