Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$101.27 +1.96 (+1.97%)

Closing price 10/16/2026 04:00 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$100.66 -0.61 (-0.60%)

As of 10/16/2026 07:30 PM Eastern

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Arch Capital Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 14 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
7

Buy
6

Based on 14 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 14 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 7 have given a hold rating, and 6 have given a buy rating for ACGL.

Consensus Price Target

$108.39
7.03% Upside

According to the 14 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Arch Capital Group, the average price target is $108.39. The highest price target for ACGL is $126.00, while the lowest price target for ACGL is $93.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 7.03% from the current price of $101.27.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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ACGL Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 10/18/25 to 10/18/26	1 Month Ago 9/18/25 to 9/18/26	3 Months Ago 7/20/25 to 7/20/26	1 Year Ago 10/18/24 to 10/18/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	6 Buy rating(s)	7 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	7 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)	7 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$108.39	$110.82	$109.82	$108.71
Forecasted Upside	7.03% Upside	14.38% Upside	7.85% Upside	25.67% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Hold

ACGL Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

ACGL Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Arch Capital Group Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Arch Capital Group	Finance Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.36	2.28	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	7.03% Upside	39.55% Upside	18.02% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Neutral News See Recent ACGL News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

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Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

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Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
10/13/2026	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars	Bob Huang 2 of 5 stars	Set Target	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight	$105.00 ➝ $100.00	+2.92%
10/12/2026	Wells Fargo & Company 3 of 5 stars	Elyse Greenspan 3 of 5 stars	Reiterated Rating	Overweight	$117.00 ➝ $107.00	+11.96%
10/12/2026	Keefe, Bruyette & Woods 3 of 5 stars	Meyer Shields 3 of 5 stars	Lower Target	Market Perform	$99.00 ➝ $95.00	-0.60%
10/9/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Upgrade	Hold (C+) ➝ Buy (B-)
10/9/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Pablo Singzon Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Lower Target	Neutral	$118.00 ➝ $113.00	+18.30%
10/7/2026	Cantor Fitzgerald Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Ryan Tunis Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Lower Target	Neutral	$110.00 ➝ $105.00	+10.74%
9/16/2026	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Yaron Kinar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Set Target	Neutral	$104.00 ➝ $100.00	+3.05%
7/30/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Rowland Mayor Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Reiterated Rating	Outperform	$115.00 ➝ $120.00	+19.89%
7/29/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Matthew Heimermann Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Reiterated Rating	Market Outperform
7/15/2026	Atlantic Securities Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Set Target		$126.00	+28.37%
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7/8/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Brian Meredith Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Reiterated Rating	Buy	$114.00 ➝ $120.00	+17.49%
4/8/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Alex Scott Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$104.00 ➝ $106.00	+8.04%
1/7/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Robert Cox Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Reiterated Rating	Sell	$84.00 ➝ $93.00	-2.27%
1/7/2026	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	David Motemaden Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Set Target	In-Line	$97.00 ➝ $100.00	+6.60%
12/2/2025	Roth Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Harry Fong Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Set Target	Buy	$125.00 ➝ $110.00	+18.08%
9/15/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Tracy Benguigui Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Initiated Coverage	Peer Perform
8/4/2025	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Reiterated Rating	Buy
6/10/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Yaron Kinar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold	$106.00 ➝ $100.00	+8.28%
4/30/2025	Citizens Jmp Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Matthew Carletti Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Reiterated Rating	Market Outperform	$125.00 ➝ $125.00	+42.42%
11/15/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Lower Target	Buy	$143.00 ➝ $136.00	+35.93%
11/6/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Boost Target	Market Perform	$98.00 ➝ $104.00	+3.18%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 03:52 PM ET.

Should I Buy Arch Capital Group Stock? ACGL Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Arch Capital Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Arch Capital Group
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd.:

Arch Capital Group Ltd. recently demonstrated strong fundamental performance by beating analyst expectations in its most recent quarterly report, posting earnings per share of $2.56 against a consensus estimate of $2.47, while also exceeding revenue forecasts with $4.67 billion in sales compared to the expected $4.36 billion, indicating robust operational execution and profitability with a net margin of 24.40%.
The stock currently trades at $99.31, which is significantly below the consensus price target of $108.39 held by analysts, suggesting potential upside value for investors, especially given that the company maintains a low beta of 0.28, which implies lower volatility and stability relative to the broader market.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. offers an attractive valuation profile with a P/E ratio of 7.76, which is relatively low for a financial services firm, and the company recently achieved a return on equity of 17.06%, demonstrating efficient use of shareholder capital to generate profits.
Recent analyst activity includes a positive forecast from Zacks Research, which lifted its Q3 2028 earnings per share estimate to $2.39 from $2.38, and the company has a strong track record of beating estimates, such as the $0.64 beat in the October 2025 quarter, which may attract investors seeking consistent outperformance.
The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, indicating a conservative balance sheet and lower financial risk, which is particularly appealing to risk-averse investors looking for stability in the insurance sector.

Arch Capital Group
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd. for these reasons:

Several major brokerages have recently lowered their price targets and ratings, including Keefe, Bruyette & Woods cutting its target to $95.00 with a "market perform" rating, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. reducing its target to $113.00 with a "neutral" rating, reflecting a cautious outlook on the stock's near-term growth potential.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. does not pay a dividend, as indicated by a dividend yield of 0.00%, which may be a drawback for income-focused investors who prefer regular cash distributions from their equity holdings.
Recent insider selling activity includes CFO Francois Morin selling 11,010 shares in August 2026 and CEO Nicolas Papadopoulo selling 21,930 shares in March 2026, which could signal reduced confidence from company leadership or simply a lack of insider buying momentum.
The consensus rating from analysts is "Hold," with seven analysts issuing Hold ratings compared to six Buy ratings and one Sell rating, suggesting that the market is divided on the stock's investment merits and that there is no strong consensus for aggressive growth.
Short interest in the stock has fluctuated, with recent data showing an increase in short interest in October 2026, which may indicate that some market participants are betting against the stock's price appreciation, adding to the uncertainty for long-term holders.

ACGL Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 14 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Arch Capital Group is $108.39, with a high forecast of $126.00 and a low forecast of $93.00.

14 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 7 hold ratings and 6 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" ACGL shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in ACGL, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Arch Capital Group's stock has a predicted upside of 7.03% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Arch Capital Group's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Arch Capital Group has been rated by research analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank Of Canada, Weiss Ratings, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Arch Capital Group more than other "finance" companies. The consensus rating score for Arch Capital Group is 2.36 while the average consensus rating score for "finance" companies is 2.28. Learn more on how ACGL compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Arch Capital Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/13/2026.

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Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast & Price Target