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Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Arch Capital Group logo
$98.10 -1.73 (-1.73%)
As of 09/4/2026 04:00 PM Eastern

Arch Capital Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
7
Buy
7

Based on 15 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 15 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 7 have given a hold rating, and 7 have given a buy rating for ACGL.

Consensus Price Target

$111.11
13.26% Upside
According to the 15 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Arch Capital Group, the average price target is $111.11. The highest price target for ACGL is $126.00, while the lowest price target for ACGL is $93.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 13.26% from the current price of $98.10.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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ACGL Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/5/25 to 9/5/26
1 Month Ago
8/6/25 to 8/6/26
3 Months Ago
6/7/25 to 6/7/26
1 Year Ago
9/5/24 to 9/5/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
7 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
7 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$111.11$110.96$106.32$111.27
Forecasted Upside13.26% Upside11.76% Upside16.59% Upside21.88% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldModerate Buy

ACGL Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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ACGL Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Arch Capital Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeArch Capital GroupFinance CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.40
2.28
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside13.26% Upside26.88% Upside14.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent ACGL News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/13/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingBuy (B-)
8/11/2026
Pablo Singzon
Pablo Singzon
Not Rated
Boost TargetNeutral$116.00 ➝ $118.00+19.95%
8/3/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald logo
Cantor Fitzgerald
5 of 5 stars
Ryan Tunis
Ryan Tunis
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetNeutral$102.00 ➝ $110.00+9.42%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$115.00 ➝ $120.00+19.89%
7/30/2026Boost TargetOverweight$114.00 ➝ $117.00+16.28%
7/29/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Outperform
7/15/2026 Set Target$126.00+28.37%
7/9/2026Boost TargetNeutral$101.00 ➝ $104.00+1.95%
7/8/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$114.00 ➝ $120.00+17.49%
7/8/2026Lower TargetMarket Perform$102.00 ➝ $99.00-3.74%
7/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$105.00 ➝ $110.00+7.63%
4/8/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$104.00 ➝ $106.00+8.04%
1/7/2026Reiterated RatingSell$84.00 ➝ $93.00-2.27%
1/7/2026Set TargetIn-Line$97.00 ➝ $100.00+6.60%
12/2/2025Set TargetBuy$125.00 ➝ $110.00+18.08%
9/15/2025Initiated CoveragePeer Perform
8/4/2025 Reiterated RatingBuy
6/10/2025DowngradeBuyHold$106.00 ➝ $100.00+8.28%
4/30/2025Reiterated RatingMarket Outperform$125.00 ➝ $125.00+42.42%
11/15/2024 Lower TargetBuy$143.00 ➝ $136.00+35.93%
11/6/2024 Boost TargetMarket Perform$98.00 ➝ $104.00+3.18%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 09:21 AM ET.


Should I Buy Arch Capital Group Stock? ACGL Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Arch Capital Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Arch Capital Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd.:

  • Arch Capital Group Ltd. recently reported strong financial performance, beating analyst expectations with earnings per share of $2.56 for the quarter, which exceeded the consensus estimate of $2.47, and revenue of $4.67 billion, surpassing the expected $4.36 billion, demonstrating the company's ability to outperform market forecasts.
  • The stock is currently trading at $99.83, which is below the average analyst price target of $111.11, suggesting potential upside for investors as the current price offers a margin of safety relative to Wall Street's valuation expectations.
  • Arch Capital Group Ltd. maintains a low beta of 0.30, indicating that the stock is less volatile than the overall market, which can provide a stabilizing effect for investors seeking to reduce portfolio risk during periods of market turbulence.
  • The company has a favorable valuation profile with a P/E ratio of 7.81, which is relatively low compared to many peers in the insurance sector, potentially indicating that the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings power.
  • Recent institutional activity shows significant interest, with large investors such as Wellington Management Group LLP increasing their stake by 7.2% in the second quarter, and new positions opened by funds like Davis Asset Management L.P., signaling confidence in the company's long-term prospects.

Arch Capital Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd. for these reasons:

  • Arch Capital Group Ltd. faces competitive and margin pressures in its insurance segment due to softer property pricing and catastrophe losses, which could weigh on underwriting margins and overall profitability in the near term.
  • Analysts at Zacks Research recently reduced their earnings per share estimates for the company, lowering their Q3 2027 estimate from $2.07 to $2.06 and FY2027 estimate from $9.79 to $9.77, reflecting a cautious outlook on future earnings growth.
  • Insider selling activity has been notable, with CFO Francois Morin selling 11,010 shares in August 2026 and CEO Nicolas Papadopoulo selling 21,930 shares in March 2026, which may signal a lack of confidence from company leadership in the current stock price.
  • The stock has experienced a decline of 3.7% since its last earnings report, indicating potential investor disappointment or uncertainty about the company's future performance despite the beat in the most recent quarter.
  • Short interest in the stock has increased in recent months, with shares shorted rising to 7,292,778 as of August 2026, suggesting that some market participants are betting against the stock's price appreciation.

ACGL Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 15 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Arch Capital Group is $111.11, with a high forecast of $126.00 and a low forecast of $93.00.

15 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 7 hold ratings and 7 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" ACGL shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in ACGL, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Arch Capital Group's stock has a predicted upside of 13.26% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Analysts like Arch Capital Group more than other "finance" companies. The consensus rating score for Arch Capital Group is 2.40 while the average consensus rating score for "finance" companies is 2.28. Learn more on how ACGL compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Arch Capital Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/13/2026.
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