Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$98.03 +0.97 (+1.00%)

As of 09:38 AM Eastern

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Arch Capital Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 16 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
7

Buy
8

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 16 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 7 have given a hold rating, and 8 have given a buy rating for ACGL.

Consensus Price Target

$106.81
8.95% Upside

According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Arch Capital Group, the average price target is $106.81. The highest price target for ACGL is $122.50, while the lowest price target for ACGL is $93.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 8.95% from the current price of $98.03.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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ACGL Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 7/1/25 to 7/1/26	1 Month Ago 6/1/25 to 6/1/26	3 Months Ago 4/2/25 to 4/2/26	1 Year Ago 7/1/24 to 7/1/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	10 Buy rating(s)
Hold	7 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$106.81	$106.32	$109.20	$114.63
Forecasted Upside	8.95% Upside	19.81% Upside	12.88% Upside	25.27% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy

ACGL Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

ACGL Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Arch Capital Group Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Arch Capital Group	Finance Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.44	2.30	2.52
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	10.04% Upside	29.94% Upside	14.84% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent ACGL News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
5/18/2026	Weiss Ratings 5 of 5 stars		Downgrade	Buy (B) ➝ Buy (B-)
5/5/2026	Keefe, Bruyette & Woods 4 of 5 stars	Meyer Shields 3 of 5 stars	Lower Target	Market Perform	$105.00 ➝ $102.00	+8.66%
5/5/2026	Mizuho 4 of 5 stars	Yaron Kinar Not Rated	Lower Target	Neutral	$102.00 ➝ $101.00	+7.85%
5/1/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Set Target		$105.00	+11.22%
4/30/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Matthew Heimermann Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$120.00 ➝ $122.50	+30.04%
4/30/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Elyse Greenspan Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$109.00 ➝ $110.00	+17.96%
4/20/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Jimmy Bhullar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$117.00 ➝ $110.00	+12.97%
4/8/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Alex Scott Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$104.00 ➝ $106.00	+8.04%
2/17/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Brian Meredith Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy	$113.00 ➝ $114.00	+13.75%
2/17/2026	Cantor Fitzgerald Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Ryan Tunis Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Neutral	$97.00 ➝ $100.00	-0.22%
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2/11/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Rowland Mayor Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Outperform	$108.00 ➝ $115.00	+18.61%
1/7/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Robert Cox Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Sell	$84.00 ➝ $93.00	-2.27%
1/7/2026	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	David Motemaden Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target	In-Line	$97.00 ➝ $100.00	+6.60%
12/2/2025	Roth Mkm Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Harry Fong Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target	Buy	$125.00 ➝ $110.00	+18.08%
9/15/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Tracy Benguigui Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	Peer Perform
8/4/2025	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy
6/10/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Yaron Kinar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold	$106.00 ➝ $100.00	+8.28%
4/30/2025	Citizens Jmp Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Matthew Carletti Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Market Outperform	$125.00 ➝ $125.00	+42.42%
11/15/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy	$143.00 ➝ $136.00	+35.93%
11/6/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Market Perform	$98.00 ➝ $104.00	+3.18%
7/1/2024	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$110.00 ➝ $120.00	+18.89%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 09:27 AM ET.

Should I Buy Arch Capital Group Stock? ACGL Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Arch Capital Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Arch Capital Group
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd.:

The company reported a strong earnings per share (EPS) of $2.50 for the latest quarter, indicating solid profitability and effective management of expenses.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. has a net margin of approximately 24.64%, which suggests that a significant portion of revenue is converted into profit, reflecting operational efficiency.
With a return on equity of 17.61%, the company demonstrates effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits, which is attractive for investors seeking growth.
Recent insider buying activity, including a director purchasing 5,300 shares, may signal confidence in the company's future performance, which can be a positive indicator for potential investors.
The current stock price is around $106, which is close to the average price target set by analysts, suggesting that the stock may be fairly valued with potential for growth.

Arch Capital Group
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Arch Capital Group Ltd. for these reasons:

Despite strong financial metrics, the stock has received mixed ratings from analysts, with eight Buy ratings, eight Hold ratings, and one Sell rating, indicating uncertainty in market sentiment.
Some analysts have recently lowered their price targets for the stock, which may suggest a lack of confidence in short-term growth prospects.
Insider selling activity, such as a director selling 3,000 shares, could raise concerns about potential issues within the company or a lack of confidence in its future performance.
The competitive landscape in the insurance and reinsurance sectors is intense, which may pose challenges for Arch Capital Group Ltd. in maintaining its market position.
With only 3.30% of the stock owned by insiders, there may be less alignment between management and shareholder interests, which can be a red flag for some investors.

ACGL Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Arch Capital Group is $106.81, with a high forecast of $122.50 and a low forecast of $93.00.

16 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Arch Capital Group in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 7 hold ratings and 8 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" ACGL shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in ACGL, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Arch Capital Group's stock has a predicted upside of 8.95% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Arch Capital Group's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.

Arch Capital Group has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Weiss Ratings, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Arch Capital Group more than other "finance" companies. The consensus rating score for Arch Capital Group is 2.44 while the average consensus rating score for "finance" companies is 2.30. Learn more on how ACGL compares to other companies.

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This page (NASDAQ:ACGL) was last updated on 7/1/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.

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Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Arch Capital Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

ACGL Analyst Ratings Over Time

ACGL Analyst Recommendations By Month

ACGL Price Targets by Month

Arch Capital Group Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Arch Capital Group Stock? ACGL Pros and Cons Explained

Arch Capital Group
Bull Case

Arch Capital Group
Bear Case

ACGL Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Arch Capital Group Recommendations

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Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Arch Capital Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

ACGL Analyst Ratings Over Time

ACGL Analyst Recommendations By Month

ACGL Price Targets by Month

Arch Capital Group Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Arch Capital Group Stock? ACGL Pros and Cons Explained

Arch Capital Group Bull Case

Arch Capital Group Bear Case

ACGL Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

What is Arch Capital Group's forecast for 2026?

Should I buy or sell Arch Capital Group stock right now?

Does Arch Capital Group's stock price have much upside?

Has Arch Capital Group been downgraded by Wall Street analysts recently?

What analysts cover Arch Capital Group?

Do Wall Street analysts like Arch Capital Group more than its competitors?

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Arch Capital Group Recommendations

MarketBeat All Access Features

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

Arch Capital Group
Bull Case

Arch Capital Group
Bear Case