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Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Dollar Tree logo
$116.28 -1.33 (-1.13%)
Closing price 10/13/2026 04:00 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$116.31 +0.03 (+0.03%)
As of 08:55 AM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Dollar Tree - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
13
Buy
11

Based on 26 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Dollar Tree in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 26 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 13 have given a hold rating, and 11 have given a buy rating for DLTR.

Consensus Price Target

$131.83
13.37% Upside
According to the 26 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Dollar Tree, the average price target is $131.83. The highest price target for DLTR is $170.00, while the lowest price target for DLTR is $85.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 13.37% from the current price of $116.28.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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DLTR Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/14/25 to 10/14/26
1 Month Ago
9/14/25 to 9/14/26
3 Months Ago
7/16/25 to 7/16/26
1 Year Ago
10/14/24 to 10/14/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
10 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
13 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
10 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
4 Sell rating(s)
5 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$131.83$131.68$122.68$109.18
Forecasted Upside13.37% Upside10.50% Upside-4.49% Downside14.23% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

DLTR Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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DLTR Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Dollar Tree Stock vs. The Competition

TypeDollar TreeConsumer Staples CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.35
2.22
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside13.37% Upside171.82% Upside19.10% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent DLTR News
Positive News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/1/2026
Loop Capital logo
Loop Capital
2 of 5 stars
Anthony Chukumba
Anthony Chukumba
4 of 5 stars
UpgradeHold ➝ Buy$130.00 ➝ $140.00+22.79%
9/29/2026
Evercore Inc logo
Evercore
3 of 5 stars
Michael Montani
4 of 5 stars
Set Target$135.00+18.12%
9/4/2026
Barclays PLC logo
Barclays
3 of 5 stars
Seth Sigman
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetOverweight$140.00 ➝ $160.00+22.10%
8/31/2026Reiterated RatingNeutral$131.00+3.57%
8/31/2026Boost TargetNeutral$114.00 ➝ $121.00-5.66%
8/28/2026 UpgradeHold (C-) ➝ Hold (C)
8/28/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$130.00 ➝ $145.00+15.56%
8/28/2026Boost TargetBuy$145.00 ➝ $150.00+19.54%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$145.00+14.17%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$130.00+2.36%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$135.00+6.30%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$135.00 ➝ $145.00+6.03%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$136.00 ➝ $138.00+0.91%
8/17/2026Boost TargetOverweight$145.00 ➝ $155.00+19.79%
7/8/2026UpgradeModerate Sell ➝ Buy
7/8/2026 Initiated CoverageHold
7/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$160.00 ➝ $170.00+37.04%
6/4/2026 Boost TargetHold$99.00 ➝ $102.00-8.35%
6/4/2026 UpgradeReduce ➝ Hold$115.00+2.24%
5/29/2026Boost TargetUnderperform$88.00 ➝ $98.00-15.32%
5/28/2026Reiterated RatingUnderperform
5/28/2026 DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
3/17/2026Lower TargetNeutral$132.00 ➝ $125.00+8.85%
3/17/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$150.00+31.16%
3/9/2026 Reiterated RatingNeutral
2/17/2026Set TargetNeutral ➝ Buy$165.00+30.89%
10/16/2025Set Target$103.00+7.33%
9/18/2025Initiated CoveragePeer Perform
5/28/2025UpgradeHold
11/7/2024DowngradeOverweight ➝ Sector Weight

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 09:03 AM ET.


Should I Buy Dollar Tree Stock? DLTR Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Dollar Tree pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Dollar Tree
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Dollar Tree, Inc.:

  • Dollar Tree, Inc. recently reported a significant earnings beat for the quarter ended August 27, 2026, delivering $2.70 in earnings per share compared to the analyst consensus estimate of $1.15, which demonstrates strong operational execution and profitability that may not yet be fully reflected in the current stock price of $116.30.
  • The company's revenue growth has accelerated, with the most recent quarter showing a 7.0% year-over-year increase to $4.89 billion, driven by positive trends in both customer traffic and ticket size, indicating a broadening of the customer base and effective execution of its multi-price point strategy.
  • Management has signaled confidence in the company's valuation by approving a $2.50 billion stock repurchase program in July 2026, which allows the company to buy back up to 10.7% of its outstanding shares, a move that typically supports share price and returns capital to shareholders.
  • Recent analyst sentiment has turned more positive, with Loop Capital upgrading the stock to a "buy" rating and raising its price target to $140.00 in October 2026, while the consensus price target among 26 analysts stands at $131.83, suggesting potential upside from the current trading level.
  • The stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.20, which is relatively low for a consumer staples retailer with double-digit revenue growth, and the company's beta of 0.71 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a potentially defensive investment.

Dollar Tree
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Dollar Tree, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Despite the recent earnings beat, the company's Q3 2026 guidance of $0.80 to $0.95 per share is below the analyst consensus estimate of $1.40, suggesting that the strong Q2 performance may not be sustainable and that future earnings could disappoint investors.
  • Short interest in the stock has been a persistent feature, with 7,199,128 shares shorted as of September 15, 2026, representing 4.13% of the float, which indicates that a significant portion of the market remains skeptical about the stock's future performance.
  • Insider selling activity has been notable, with Director Stephanie Stahl selling 1,185 shares in September 2026 and insider Robert Aflatooni selling 2,500 shares in August 2026, which can be interpreted as a lack of confidence from those with the most knowledge of the company's internal operations.
  • The company's quick ratio of 0.39 is relatively low, indicating that it may have limited liquid assets to cover its short-term liabilities, which could pose a risk if cash flow from operations slows down or if unexpected expenses arise.
  • While the stock has recovered from its 52-week low of $85.75, it remains well below its 52-week high of $142.40, and the consensus rating from analysts is still a "Hold," suggesting that many investors believe the stock is fairly valued and lacks significant upside potential in the near term.

DLTR Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 26 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Dollar Tree is $131.83, with a high forecast of $170.00 and a low forecast of $85.00.

26 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Dollar Tree in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 13 hold ratings and 11 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" DLTR shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in DLTR, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Dollar Tree's stock has a predicted upside of 13.37% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Dollar Tree's stock had 2 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Dollar Tree more than other "consumer staples" companies. The consensus rating score for Dollar Tree is 2.35 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer staples" companies is 2.22. Learn more on how DLTR compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Dollar Tree analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/1/2026.
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