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Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Dollar Tree logo
$113.16 -1.88 (-1.63%)
Closing price 04:00 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$113.43 +0.27 (+0.24%)
As of 07:45 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Dollar Tree - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
12
Buy
11

Based on 25 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Dollar Tree in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 25 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 12 have given a hold rating, and 11 have given a buy rating for DLTR.

Consensus Price Target

$131.68
16.37% Upside
According to the 25 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Dollar Tree, the average price target is $131.68. The highest price target for DLTR is $170.00, while the lowest price target for DLTR is $85.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 16.37% from the current price of $113.16.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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DLTR Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/23/25 to 9/23/26
1 Month Ago
8/24/25 to 8/24/26
3 Months Ago
6/25/25 to 6/25/26
1 Year Ago
9/23/24 to 9/23/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
10 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
12 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
4 Sell rating(s)
5 Sell rating(s)
3 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$131.68$123.41$119.48$109.00
Forecasted Upside16.37% Upside-9.76% Downside1.07% Upside15.16% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

DLTR Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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DLTR Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Dollar Tree Stock vs. The Competition

TypeDollar TreeConsumer Staples CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.36
2.22
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside15.36% Upside143.21% Upside18.35% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent DLTR News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/4/2026
Barclays PLC logo
Barclays
3 of 5 stars
Seth Sigman
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetOverweight$140.00 ➝ $160.00+22.10%
8/31/2026
Kate McShane
Kate McShane
4 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingNeutral$131.00+3.57%
8/31/2026
Piper Sandler logo
Piper Sandler
2 of 5 stars
Peter Keith
Peter Keith
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetNeutral$114.00 ➝ $121.00-5.66%
8/28/2026 UpgradeHold (C-)Hold (C)
8/28/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$130.00 ➝ $145.00+15.56%
8/28/2026Boost TargetBuy$145.00 ➝ $150.00+19.54%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$145.00+14.17%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$130.00+2.36%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$135.00+6.30%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$135.00 ➝ $145.00+6.03%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$136.00 ➝ $138.00+0.91%
8/17/2026Boost TargetOverweight$145.00 ➝ $155.00+19.79%
7/8/2026UpgradeModerate SellBuy
7/8/2026 Initiated CoverageHold
7/8/2026UpgradeHoldOutperform
7/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$160.00 ➝ $170.00+37.04%
6/4/2026 Boost TargetHold$99.00 ➝ $102.00-8.35%
6/4/2026 UpgradeReduceHold$115.00+2.24%
5/29/2026Boost TargetUnderperform$88.00 ➝ $98.00-15.32%
5/28/2026Reiterated RatingUnderperform
5/28/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
3/17/2026Lower TargetNeutral$132.00 ➝ $125.00+8.85%
3/17/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$150.00+31.16%
3/9/2026 Reiterated RatingNeutral
2/17/2026Set TargetNeutralBuy$165.00+30.89%
10/16/2025Set Target$103.00+7.33%
9/18/2025Initiated CoveragePeer Perform
5/28/2025UpgradeHold
3/27/2025 Reiterated RatingHold
11/7/2024DowngradeOverweightSector Weight
9/23/2024Initiated CoverageHold$70.00-3.61%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 09:48 PM ET.


Should I Buy Dollar Tree Stock? DLTR Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Dollar Tree pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Dollar Tree
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Dollar Tree, Inc.:

  • Dollar Tree, Inc. recently reported a significant earnings beat for the quarter ended August 27, 2026, delivering $2.70 in earnings per share compared to the analyst consensus estimate of $1.15, which indicates strong operational performance and profitability that may not yet be fully reflected in the current stock price of $111.96.
  • The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with the most recent quarter showing a 7.0% year-over-year increase to $4.89 billion, and the full-year 2026 guidance projects revenue between $20.5 billion and $20.7 billion, suggesting a stable and expanding customer base in the discount retail sector.
  • Dollar Tree, Inc. has a relatively low beta of 0.66, which means the stock tends to be less volatile than the overall market, potentially offering a defensive characteristic for investors looking to reduce portfolio risk during periods of market uncertainty.
  • Institutional interest in the stock remains strong, with 97.40% of shares owned by institutional investors, and recent new positions opened by major funds such as BlackRock Inc. and Pzena Investment Management LLC in the second quarter, indicating confidence from large-scale investors in the company's long-term prospects.
  • The board of directors approved a $2.50 billion share buyback plan in July 2026, which allows the company to repurchase up to 10.7% of its outstanding shares, a move that often signals management's belief that the stock is undervalued and can support the share price by reducing the number of shares in circulation.

Dollar Tree
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Dollar Tree, Inc. for these reasons:

  • The stock is currently trading at $111.96, which is below its 50-day moving average of $126.41 and its 200-day moving average of $114.15, suggesting that the short-term and medium-term momentum is negative and the stock may be in a downtrend.
  • The consensus rating from eleven investment analysts is "Hold," with a consensus target price of $131.68, which implies limited upside potential from the current price, and some analysts, such as BNP Paribas Exane, have issued "underperform" ratings, reflecting caution about the stock's future performance.
  • Insider selling activity has been notable recently, with Director Stephanie Stahl selling 1,185 shares at an average price of $131.47 and insider Robert Aflatooni selling 2,500 shares at an average price of $126.01, which may indicate that company insiders are taking profits or are less confident in the stock's near-term appreciation.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.86, which is relatively high for a retail company, and while the current ratio is 1.13, the quick ratio is only 0.39, suggesting that Dollar Tree, Inc. may face liquidity challenges if it needs to meet short-term obligations without relying on inventory sales.
  • The stock has experienced a decline from its 52-week high of $142.40 to the current price of $111.96, representing a significant drop of over 21%, which may reflect broader concerns about consumer spending and the discount retail sector, and investors may be wary of further downside risk.

DLTR Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 25 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Dollar Tree is $131.68, with a high forecast of $170.00 and a low forecast of $85.00.

25 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Dollar Tree in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 12 hold ratings and 11 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" DLTR shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in DLTR, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Dollar Tree's stock has a predicted upside of 16.37% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Dollar Tree's stock had 5 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like Dollar Tree more than other "consumer staples" companies. The consensus rating score for Dollar Tree is 2.36 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer staples" companies is 2.22. Learn more on how DLTR compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Dollar Tree analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/4/2026.
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