Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$114.07 +0.57 (+0.50%)

Closing price 09/25/2026 04:00 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$113.83 -0.24 (-0.21%)

As of 09/25/2026 07:56 PM Eastern

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Dollar Tree - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 25 Analyst Ratings

Sell
2

Hold
12

Buy
11

Based on 25 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Dollar Tree in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 25 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 12 have given a hold rating, and 11 have given a buy rating for DLTR.

Consensus Price Target

$131.68
15.44% Upside

According to the 25 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Dollar Tree, the average price target is $131.68. The highest price target for DLTR is $170.00, while the lowest price target for DLTR is $85.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 15.44% from the current price of $114.07.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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DLTR Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 9/27/25 to 9/27/26	1 Month Ago 8/28/25 to 8/28/26	3 Months Ago 6/29/25 to 6/29/26	1 Year Ago 9/27/24 to 9/27/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	11 Buy rating(s)	10 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	12 Hold rating(s)	12 Hold rating(s)	11 Hold rating(s)	11 Hold rating(s)
Sell	2 Sell rating(s)	4 Sell rating(s)	5 Sell rating(s)	4 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$131.68	$125.27	$119.48	$111.29
Forecasted Upside	15.44% Upside	-2.33% Downside	-2.56% Downside	17.08% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Hold

DLTR Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

DLTR Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Dollar Tree Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Dollar Tree	Consumer Staples Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.36	2.23	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	15.44% Upside	159.72% Upside	19.20% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent DLTR News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
9/4/2026	Barclays 3 of 5 stars	Seth Sigman 2 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Overweight	$140.00 ➝ $160.00	+22.10%
8/31/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group 3 of 5 stars	Kate McShane 4 of 5 stars	Reiterated Rating	Neutral	$131.00	+3.57%
8/31/2026	Piper Sandler 2 of 5 stars	Peter Keith 2 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Neutral	$114.00 ➝ $121.00	-5.66%
8/28/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold (C-) ➝ Hold (C)
8/28/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Simeon Gutman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$130.00 ➝ $145.00	+15.56%
8/28/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Michael Lasser Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$145.00 ➝ $150.00	+19.54%
8/28/2026	Raymond James Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Bobby Griffin Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Outperform	$145.00	+14.17%
8/28/2026	Sanford C. Bernstein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Zhihan Ma Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Market Perform	$130.00	+2.36%
8/28/2026	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Kelly Bania Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Market Perform	$135.00	+6.30%
8/25/2026	Guggenheim Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	John Heinbockel Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$135.00 ➝ $145.00	+6.03%
Get the Latest News and Ratings for DLTR and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Dollar Tree and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
8/25/2026	Truist Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Scot Ciccarelli Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$136.00 ➝ $138.00	+0.91%
8/17/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Edward Kelly Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$145.00 ➝ $155.00	+19.79%
7/8/2026	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Corey Tarlowe Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Moderate Sell ➝ Buy
7/8/2026	Benchmark Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Hold
7/8/2026	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Michael Montani Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Outperform
7/6/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Matthew Boss Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$160.00 ➝ $170.00	+37.04%
6/4/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Hold	$99.00 ➝ $102.00	-8.35%
6/4/2026	Gordon Haskett Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Reduce ➝ Hold	$115.00	+2.24%
5/29/2026	BNP Paribas Exane Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Chris Bottiglieri Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Underperform	$88.00 ➝ $98.00	-15.32%
5/28/2026	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Robert Ohmes Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Underperform
5/28/2026	Freedom Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Hold
3/17/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Paul Lejuez Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$132.00 ➝ $125.00	+8.85%
3/17/2026	Telsey Advisory Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Joseph Feldman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Outperform	$150.00	+31.16%
3/9/2026	BTIG Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Neutral
2/17/2026	Rothschild & Co Redburn Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Sam Hudson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target	Neutral ➝ Buy	$165.00	+30.89%
10/16/2025	New Street Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Zhihan Ma Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target		$103.00	+7.33%
9/18/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Spencer Hanus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	Peer Perform
5/28/2025	Cfra Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	A. Sundaram Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold
3/27/2025	Loop Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Hold
11/7/2024	KeyCorp Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Bradley Thomas Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Sector Weight

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 07:11 PM ET.

Should I Buy Dollar Tree Stock? DLTR Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, September 24, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Dollar Tree pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Dollar Tree
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Dollar Tree, Inc.:

Dollar Tree, Inc. recently raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook following stronger second-quarter execution, signaling that the company is successfully managing its operations to deliver higher profits than previously expected by the market.
The company reported a significant earnings beat in its most recent quarter, posting $2.70 in earnings per share compared to the consensus estimate of $1.15, which demonstrates strong operational efficiency and the ability to generate substantial profit from its revenue stream.
With the stock currently trading at $113.50, Dollar Tree, Inc. offers a valuation that is below the average analyst price target of $131.68, suggesting there is potential for price appreciation as the market adjusts to the company's improved financial performance.
Management has approved a $2.50 billion share repurchase program, which allows the company to buy back up to 10.7% of its outstanding shares, a move that typically indicates the board believes the stock is undervalued and aims to increase the value of remaining shares for investors.
Short interest in the stock has decreased significantly over the past several months, dropping from over 19 million shares in late 2025 to approximately 7.2 million shares in September 2026, which suggests that investors who were betting against the company are exiting their positions and reducing downward pressure on the stock price.

Dollar Tree
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Dollar Tree, Inc. for these reasons:

Analysts have expressed concern that the company's recent sales and traffic gains may not be sustainable as tariff-related benefits fade and operating costs rise, creating uncertainty about the durability of the current earnings rebound.
The stock has experienced a decline of 17.9% in the past month, reflecting investor skepticism regarding margin risks and the potential for heavy reinvestment in stores and pricing to pressure near-term profitability.
Despite the recent earnings beat, the company's guidance for the third quarter of 2026 suggests a lower earnings per share range of $0.80 to $0.95 compared to the previous quarter's actual result of $2.70, indicating a potential seasonal slowdown or increased costs that could impact investor returns.
Several institutional investors, including Andra AP fonden, have significantly reduced their holdings in Dollar Tree, Inc. during the second quarter, with some funds cutting their positions by over 50%, which may signal a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term growth prospects among large investors.
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.86, indicating a moderate level of leverage that could limit financial flexibility if economic conditions worsen or if the company needs to invest heavily in its store network without sufficient cash flow to support the debt load.

DLTR Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 25 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Dollar Tree is $131.68, with a high forecast of $170.00 and a low forecast of $85.00.

25 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Dollar Tree in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 12 hold ratings and 11 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" DLTR shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in DLTR, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Dollar Tree's stock has a predicted upside of 15.44% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Dollar Tree's stock had 5 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Dollar Tree has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Benchmark, BMO Capital Markets, Evercore, Guggenheim, Jefferies Financial Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, Sanford C. Bernstein, The Goldman Sachs Group, Truist Financial, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Dollar Tree more than other "consumer staples" companies. The consensus rating score for Dollar Tree is 2.36 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer staples" companies is 2.23. Learn more on how DLTR compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Dollar Tree analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/4/2026.

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Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target