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Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Dollar Tree logo
$131.42 0.00 (0.00%)
As of 09/4/2026 04:00 PM Eastern

Dollar Tree - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
13
Buy
11

Based on 26 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Dollar Tree in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 26 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 13 have given a hold rating, and 11 have given a buy rating for DLTR.

Consensus Price Target

$131.68
0.20% Upside
According to the 26 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Dollar Tree, the average price target is $131.68. The highest price target for DLTR is $170.00, while the lowest price target for DLTR is $85.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 0.20% from the current price of $131.42.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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DLTR Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/7/25 to 9/7/26
1 Month Ago
8/8/25 to 8/8/26
3 Months Ago
6/9/25 to 6/9/26
1 Year Ago
9/7/24 to 9/7/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
10 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
13 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
10 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
4 Sell rating(s)
6 Sell rating(s)
3 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$131.68$122.82$119.48$106.95
Forecasted Upside0.20% Upside-6.17% Downside6.53% Upside5.76% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

DLTR Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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DLTR Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Dollar Tree Stock vs. The Competition

TypeDollar TreeConsumer Staples CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.35
2.22
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside0.20% Upside147.69% Upside14.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent DLTR News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/4/2026
Barclays PLC logo
Barclays
3 of 5 stars
Seth Sigman
3 of 5 stars
Boost TargetOverweight$140.00 ➝ $160.00+22.10%
8/31/2026
Kate McShane
Kate McShane
4 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingNeutral$131.00+3.57%
8/31/2026
Piper Sandler logo
Piper Sandler
2 of 5 stars
Peter Keith
Peter Keith
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetNeutral$114.00 ➝ $121.00-5.66%
8/28/2026 UpgradeHold (C-)Hold (C)
8/28/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$130.00 ➝ $145.00+15.56%
8/28/2026Boost TargetBuy$145.00 ➝ $150.00+19.54%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$145.00+14.17%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$130.00+2.36%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$135.00+6.30%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$135.00 ➝ $145.00+6.03%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$136.00 ➝ $138.00+0.91%
8/17/2026Boost TargetOverweight$145.00 ➝ $155.00+19.79%
7/8/2026UpgradeModerate SellBuy
7/8/2026 Initiated CoverageHold
7/8/2026UpgradeHoldOutperform
7/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$160.00 ➝ $170.00+37.04%
6/4/2026 Boost TargetHold$99.00 ➝ $102.00-8.35%
6/4/2026 UpgradeReduceHold$115.00+2.24%
5/29/2026Boost TargetUnderperform$88.00 ➝ $98.00-15.32%
5/28/2026Reiterated RatingUnderperform
5/28/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
3/17/2026Lower TargetNeutral$132.00 ➝ $125.00+8.85%
3/17/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$150.00+31.16%
3/9/2026 Reiterated RatingNeutral
2/17/2026Set TargetNeutralBuy$165.00+30.89%
10/16/2025Set Target$103.00+7.33%
9/18/2025Initiated CoveragePeer Perform
5/28/2025UpgradeHold
3/27/2025 Reiterated RatingHold
11/7/2024DowngradeOverweightSector Weight
9/23/2024Initiated CoverageHold$70.00-3.61%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Monday at 02:53 PM ET.


Should I Buy Dollar Tree Stock? DLTR Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Dollar Tree pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Dollar Tree
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Dollar Tree, Inc.:

  • Dollar Tree, Inc. recently reported a significant earnings beat for the second quarter, delivering $2.70 in earnings per share compared to the analyst consensus estimate of $1.15, which signals strong operational efficiency and profitability that may not yet be fully reflected in the current stock price of $131.04.
  • The company has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with quarterly revenue reaching $4.89 billion, a 7.0% increase year-over-year, indicating that the retailer is successfully capturing market share and maintaining demand for its value-oriented merchandise despite broader economic headwinds.
  • Management has shown confidence in the company's future performance by raising its full-year 2026 earnings per share guidance to a range of $7.70 to $8.05, which exceeds the previous consensus estimate of $5.95, suggesting that the current valuation may be undervalued relative to the company's projected earnings power.
  • Short interest in the stock has decreased significantly, dropping to 7,772,719 shares shorted as of the most recent record date, a decline from over 19 million shares in late 2025, which suggests that bearish sentiment is fading and that institutional investors are increasingly confident in the stock's trajectory.
  • The company is actively returning capital to shareholders through a $2.5 billion stock buyback authorization, having already repurchased 5.6 million shares for $605 million in the recent quarter, which supports the stock price and indicates that management believes the shares are undervalued.

Dollar Tree
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Dollar Tree, Inc. for these reasons:

  • The stock is currently trading at $131.04, which is slightly above the consensus price target of $123.40 set by analysts, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued relative to the average professional opinion and offering limited upside potential for new investors.
  • Insider selling activity has been notable, with insider Robert Aflatooni selling 2,500 shares at an average price of $126.01 in late August, which can be interpreted as a signal that company insiders may believe the stock is fairly valued or overvalued at current levels.
  • The company's quick ratio is 0.39, which is relatively low and indicates that Dollar Tree, Inc. may have limited liquid assets to cover its short-term liabilities, potentially posing a risk if cash flow from operations slows down or if unexpected expenses arise.
  • While the company has a high return on equity of 38.61%, this is partly driven by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86, which means the company is leveraging a significant amount of debt to finance its operations, increasing financial risk in a rising interest rate environment.
  • The stock has a beta of 0.66, which is lower than the market average, but this also means it may underperform in a strong bull market, and the current price of $131.04 is near its 52-week high of $142.40, leaving little room for further appreciation before potential resistance levels are hit.

DLTR Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 26 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Dollar Tree is $131.68, with a high forecast of $170.00 and a low forecast of $85.00.

26 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Dollar Tree in the last twelve months. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 13 hold ratings and 11 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" DLTR shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in DLTR, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Dollar Tree's stock has a predicted upside of 0.20% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Dollar Tree's stock had 6 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like Dollar Tree more than other "consumer staples" companies. The consensus rating score for Dollar Tree is 2.35 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer staples" companies is 2.22. Learn more on how DLTR compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Dollar Tree analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/4/2026.
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