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Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Steel Dynamics logo
$233.89 -1.31 (-0.56%)
As of 03:35 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Steel Dynamics - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
8

Based on 12 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Steel Dynamics in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 12 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, and 8 have given a buy rating for STLD.

Consensus Price Target

$258.55
10.54% Upside
According to the 12 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Steel Dynamics, the average price target is $258.55. The highest price target for STLD is $300.00, while the lowest price target for STLD is $190.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 10.54% from the current price of $233.89.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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STLD Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/25/25 to 9/25/26
1 Month Ago
8/26/25 to 8/26/26
3 Months Ago
6/27/25 to 6/27/26
1 Year Ago
9/25/24 to 9/25/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
6 Buy rating(s)
9 Buy rating(s)
Hold
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$258.55$257.27$236.36$149.40
Forecasted Upside10.54% Upside9.06% Upside-3.72% Downside9.78% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

STLD Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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STLD Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Steel Dynamics Stock vs. The Competition

TypeSteel DynamicsMaterials CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.67
2.57
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside9.93% Upside139.05% Upside19.68% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent STLD News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/18/2026
Timna Tanners
Timna Tanners
Not Rated
Boost TargetOverweight$255.00 ➝ $257.00+4.75%
9/18/2026
Bennett Moore
Bennett Moore
5 of 5 stars
Lower TargetNeutral$273.00 ➝ $272.00+16.44%
9/11/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 DowngradeBuy (B) ➝ Buy (B-)
8/10/2026Boost TargetNeutral$165.00 ➝ $276.00+4.28%
7/29/2026 Initiated CoverageBuy$300.00+15.50%
7/22/2026Reiterated RatingOverweight
7/22/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$270.00 ➝ $260.00+9.40%
7/22/2026Boost TargetOverweight$270.00 ➝ $272.00+16.48%
7/9/2026Lower TargetNeutral$280.00 ➝ $260.00+13.66%
4/22/2026Boost TargetBuy$180.00 ➝ $255.00+12.32%
4/22/2026Boost TargetOutperform$195.00 ➝ $240.00+6.15%
3/17/2026Reiterated RatingBuy
2/27/2025UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Peer Perform
1/3/2025UpgradeNeutral ➝ Outperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 03:29 PM ET.


Should I Buy Steel Dynamics Stock? STLD Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Steel Dynamics pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Steel Dynamics
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Steel Dynamics, Inc.:

  • Steel Dynamics, Inc. is trading at a current stock price of $234.29, which is below the average analyst price target of $258.55, suggesting potential upside for investors who believe the recent pullback is a temporary sentiment shift rather than a fundamental deterioration.
  • The company reported strong second-quarter results with revenue of $6.09 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $5.56 billion, and earnings per share of $3.69, which beat the consensus estimate of $3.63, demonstrating robust operational performance and demand for its steel products.
  • Industry tailwinds are supporting the stock, with U.S. hot-rolled coil prices trading near $1,200 per ton, up from about $800 a year ago, and mills writing 2027 contracts at higher levels, indicating sustained pricing power and margin expansion opportunities for Steel Dynamics, Inc.
  • Steel Dynamics, Inc. has guided to record shipments with a fabrication backlog nearly 50% above last year that extends through the first quarter of 2027, driven by diversified demand from commercial construction, data centers, manufacturing, and healthcare sectors.
  • The stock has a low payout ratio of 19.22% and a dividend yield of 0.92%, providing a modest income stream while allowing the company to retain the majority of its earnings for reinvestment in growth initiatives and debt reduction.

Steel Dynamics
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Steel Dynamics, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Steel Dynamics, Inc. issued third-quarter 2026 earnings guidance of $5.34 to $5.38 per diluted share, which is below the consensus estimate of $5.66, leading to a recent stock decline as investors reacted to the lower-than-expected outlook.
  • Several major brokerages have recently lowered their price targets and ratings, including JPMorgan Chase & Co. cutting its target to $272.00 with a neutral rating, Bank of America reducing its target to $260.00, and Morgan Stanley lowering its target to $260.00, reflecting cautious sentiment among institutional investors.
  • The stock has a high beta of 1.50, indicating it is more volatile than the overall market, which could result in larger price swings and higher risk for investors during periods of market uncertainty or economic slowdown.
  • Recent news highlights concerns about Canadian tariffs and weak guidance hitting the stock, with reports indicating that Steel Dynamics, Inc. shares dropped 3.5% amid these headwinds, suggesting geopolitical and trade policy risks could impact future earnings.
  • Insider selling activity has been observed, with several senior executives, including SVPs and directors, selling shares in the first half of 2026, which some investors may interpret as a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance.

STLD Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 12 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Steel Dynamics is $258.55, with a high forecast of $300.00 and a low forecast of $190.00.

12 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Steel Dynamics in the last twelve months. There are currently 4 hold ratings and 8 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" STLD shares.

According to analysts, Steel Dynamics's stock has a predicted upside of 10.54% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Steel Dynamics's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.

Steel Dynamics has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, Barclays, JPMorgan Chase & Co., KeyCorp, Morgan Stanley, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Steel Dynamics more than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Steel Dynamics is 2.67 while the average consensus rating score for "materials" companies is 2.57. Learn more on how STLD compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Steel Dynamics analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/18/2026.
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