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Progressive (PGR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Progressive logo
$236.47 +0.98 (+0.42%)
As of 11:38 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Progressive - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
12
Buy
9

Based on 23 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Progressive in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 23 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 12 have given a hold rating, and 9 have given a buy rating for PGR.

Consensus Price Target

$234.45
-0.85% Downside
According to the 23 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Progressive, the average price target is $234.45. The highest price target for PGR is $314.00, while the lowest price target for PGR is $196.00. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -0.85% from the current price of $236.47.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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PGR Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
11/13/25 to 11/13/26
1 Month Ago
10/14/25 to 10/14/26
3 Months Ago
8/15/25 to 8/15/26
1 Year Ago
11/13/24 to 11/13/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
9 Buy rating(s)
9 Buy rating(s)
6 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
12 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
15 Hold rating(s)
10 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$234.45$237.35$235.95$271.08
Forecasted Upside-0.85% Downside11.21% Upside12.63% Upside21.59% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

PGR Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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PGR Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Progressive Stock vs. The Competition

TypeProgressiveFinance CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.30
2.27
2.52
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside-0.45% Downside33.31% Upside13.82% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent PGR News
Positive News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/19/2026
UBS Group AG logo
UBS Group
4 of 5 stars
Brian Meredith
Brian Meredith
2 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingNeutral$238.00+9.33%
10/16/2026
Gregory Peters
3 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingOutperform
10/15/2026
Michael Zaremski
Michael Zaremski
2 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingMarket Perform
10/15/2026Lower TargetOutperform$252.00 ➝ $246.00+15.26%
10/15/2026Lower TargetUnderweight$201.00 ➝ $196.00-8.17%
10/8/2026 UpgradeHold (C+) ➝ Buy (B-)
10/7/2026Boost TargetOverweight$246.00 ➝ $247.00+16.40%
10/7/2026Reiterated RatingHold$221.00 ➝ $216.00+1.79%
10/5/2026Boost TargetNeutral$241.00 ➝ $250.00+18.51%
10/1/2026Boost TargetBuy$233.00 ➝ $235.00+7.68%
10/1/2026Boost Target$302.00 ➝ $314.00+43.88%
9/16/2026Lower TargetNeutral$236.00 ➝ $230.00+3.99%
8/20/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy$235.00 ➝ $245.00+12.76%
8/20/2026 Boost TargetOverweight$241.00 ➝ $242.00+10.89%
8/19/2026Reiterated RatingHold$213.00 ➝ $228.00+5.49%
8/17/2026Lower TargetNeutral$220.00 ➝ $200.00-4.53%
7/29/2026 Lower TargetHold$266.00 ➝ $222.00+1.74%
7/24/2026UpgradeUnderweight ➝ Equal Weight$190.00 ➝ $210.00+1.42%
7/15/2026 Reiterated RatingMarket Perform
7/10/2026 Set Target$230.00 ➝ $240.00+4.63%
5/22/2026 Set Target$208.00+4.88%
3/5/2026 UpgradeHold
2/24/2026 UpgradeStrong Sell ➝ Hold
2/3/2026Lower TargetBuy$300.60 ➝ $261.00+29.77%
9/15/2025Initiated CoverageOutperform ➝ Peer Perform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 11:30 AM ET.


Should I Buy Progressive Stock? PGR Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, November 12, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Progressive pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Progressive
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in The Progressive Co.:

  • The stock recently reached a new 12-month high, trading at $235.51 as of November 12, 2026, which is a significant increase from its 52-week low of $189.20 and indicates strong recent momentum and market confidence in the company's performance.
  • The company demonstrated strong earnings performance in the most recent quarter, reporting an actual EPS of $4.37 which beat the consensus estimate of $4.35, and revenue of $23.19 billion which exceeded the consensus estimate of $22.61 billion, showing the ability to outperform market expectations.
  • Progressive is introducing Snapshot Pro, a new tool that combines telematics insights and savings incentives to sharpen commercial auto underwriting, which is expected to improve risk selection and drive profitable growth in its commercial lines segment.
  • The company maintains a low beta of 0.22, meaning its stock price is significantly less volatile than the overall market, which can provide a stable investment option for investors seeking lower risk exposure during market fluctuations.
  • Progressive offers a dividend yield of 0.17%, providing a small but consistent income stream for investors, and the company has a strong institutional ownership base with 85.34% of its stock held by institutional investors, indicating broad professional confidence in the business.

Progressive
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in The Progressive Co. for these reasons:

  • The consensus rating from analysts is "Hold" with an average price target of $234.45, which is slightly below the current stock price of $235.51, suggesting that the stock may be fairly valued or slightly overvalued relative to analyst expectations.
  • Insiders have been selling shares recently, with CEO Susan Griffith selling 37,338 shares in September 2026 and other executives like Steven Broz and Lori Niederst also making sales, which could indicate a lack of confidence from company leadership in the stock's near-term upside.
  • Some institutional investors have reduced their positions, such as Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC which cut its holdings by 33.2% in the third quarter and Candriam S.C.A. which lowered its position by 41.8%, suggesting that some large investors are taking profits or reducing exposure.
  • The company's dividend yield is very low at 0.17%, which may not be attractive for income-focused investors who are looking for higher yields from other insurance or financial sector stocks.
  • Progressive faces competition in the insurance industry, and the recent gap down in stock price on October 14, 2026, where it fell to $201.638 from a previous close of $222.88, indicates potential volatility and sensitivity to market news or earnings surprises that could impact investor returns.

PGR Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 23 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Progressive is $234.45, with a high forecast of $314.00 and a low forecast of $196.00.

23 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Progressive in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 12 hold ratings and 9 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" PGR shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in PGR, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Progressive's stock has a predicted downside of -0.85% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Progressive's stock had 3 upgrades by analysts.

Analysts like Progressive more than other "finance" companies. The consensus rating score for Progressive is 2.30 while the average consensus rating score for "finance" companies is 2.27. Learn more on how PGR compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Progressive analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/19/2026.
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