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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group logo
$27.29 -0.01 (-0.04%)
As of 09/4/2026 03:58 PM Eastern

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
1
Buy
1

Based on 2 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 2 analysts, 1 has given a hold rating, and 1 has given a buy rating for SMFG.

Consensus Price Target

N/A

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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SMFG Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/7/25 to 9/7/26
1 Month Ago
8/8/25 to 8/8/26
3 Months Ago
6/9/25 to 6/9/26
1 Year Ago
9/7/24 to 9/7/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
1 Buy rating(s)
0 Buy rating(s)
0 Buy rating(s)
0 Buy rating(s)
Hold
1 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
0 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price TargetN/AN/AN/AN/A
Forecasted UpsideN/AN/AN/AN/A
Consensus RatingModerate BuyBuyBuyStrong Buy

SMFG Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
Skip Chart & View Analyst Rating History

SMFG Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeSumitomo Mitsui Financial GroupFinance CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.50
2.28
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted UpsideN/A26.89% Upside14.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent SMFG News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/2/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 UpgradeHold (C+)Buy (B+)
8/19/2026
Zacks Research logo
Zacks Research
5 of 5 stars
 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
7/3/2025
Nomura logo
Nomura
4 of 5 stars
K. Takamiya
Not Rated
UpgradeStrong-Buy

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Monday at 08:06 AM ET.


Should I Buy Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Stock? SMFG Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.:

  • The stock is trading at $27.29, which is near its 52-week high of $27.61, indicating strong recent momentum and a significant increase from its 52-week low of $15.18.
  • Recent earnings results showed the company beating consensus estimates, with a reported EPS of $0.50 against an expected $0.44, and revenue of $8.81 billion compared to the $8.09 billion consensus, driven by robust loan demand.
  • The company offers a dividend yield of 1.69%, providing a steady income stream for investors while maintaining a relatively low beta of 0.42, which suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.
  • Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. is expanding its strategic partnerships, such as a $1.8 billion pact with SoftBank and PayPay, and securing equity commitments for direct lending strategies, which signals growth in its business operations.
  • The company maintains a healthy financial position with a return on equity of 10.65% and a net margin of 16.24%, demonstrating efficient use of capital and strong profitability in its banking operations.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Analyst sentiment has turned cautious, with Weiss Ratings and Zacks Research both downgrading the stock to a "hold" rating in August 2026, reflecting a consensus view that the stock may be fairly valued or overvalued.
  • The company's updated FY 2026 earnings guidance of $0.842 per share is significantly lower than the consensus estimate of $1.520, suggesting potential challenges in meeting broader market expectations for future earnings.
  • Short interest has increased substantially, with shares shorted rising to over 8.5 million in recent months, indicating that a growing number of investors are betting against the stock's price appreciation.
  • Insider selling activity is present, as CFO Kazuyuki Anchi sold 4,000 shares in August 2026, which some investors may interpret as a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term upside.
  • The stock's P/E ratio of 18.95 is relatively high for a bank, and with the recent downgrade to a "hold" consensus, the valuation may not offer sufficient margin of safety for risk-averse investors.

SMFG Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

2 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 hold rating and 1 buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" SMFG shares.

According to analysts, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group's stock has a predicted downside of -100.00% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group's stock had 3 upgrades and 3 downgrades by analysts.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group has been rated by research analysts at Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group more than other "finance" companies. The consensus rating for Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "finance" companies is Hold. Learn more on how SMFG compares to other companies.

Brokerages With Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Recommendations


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/2/2026.
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