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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing logo
$439.09 +10.18 (+2.37%)
Closing price 09/8/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$432.54 -6.55 (-1.49%)
As of 08:10 AM Eastern
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
1
Buy
16

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Buy." Out of the 17 analysts, 1 has given a hold rating, 13 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for TSM.

Consensus Price Target

$523.22
19.16% Upside
According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the average price target is $523.22. The highest price target for TSM is $650.00, while the lowest price target for TSM is $330.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 19.16% from the current price of $439.09.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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TSM Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/9/25 to 9/9/26
1 Month Ago
8/10/25 to 8/10/26
3 Months Ago
6/11/25 to 6/11/26
1 Year Ago
9/9/24 to 9/9/25
Strong Buy
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
13 Buy rating(s)
12 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
Hold
1 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
0 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$523.22$496.25$404.29$258.33
Forecasted Upside19.16% Upside18.34% Upside-3.67% Downside2.99% Upside
Consensus RatingBuyBuyBuyBuy

TSM Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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TSM Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock vs. The Competition

TypeTaiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTechnology CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
3.12
2.23
2.53
Consensus RatingBuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside19.16% Upside398.74% Upside15.33% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent TSM News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/1/2026
Stifel Nicolaus logo
Stifel Nicolaus
4 of 5 stars
Sahej Singh
Not Rated
Initiated CoverageBuy$515.00+24.23%
8/26/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 UpgradeHold (C+)Buy (B-)
8/11/2026
Mark Li
Not Rated
Boost TargetOutperform$430.00 ➝ $554.00+31.36%
7/27/2026Boost TargetBuy$480.00 ➝ $530.00+31.45%
7/17/2026Boost TargetBuy$450.00 ➝ $500.00+26.66%
7/17/2026Boost TargetOverweight$625.00 ➝ $650.00+59.17%
7/17/2026Boost TargetHold$400.00 ➝ $440.00+9.69%
7/16/2026Boost TargetPositive$575.00 ➝ $600.00+43.05%
7/16/2026 UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
7/6/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
6/24/2026 Boost TargetBuy$490.00 ➝ $590.00+35.08%
2/11/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
1/23/2026 UpgradeModerate Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/5/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
12/7/2025 Set Target$330.00+12.00%
10/7/2025 Initiated CoverageOutperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 08:10 AM ET.


Should I Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock? TSM Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, September 7, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing:

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing recently reported a 36% year-over-year revenue growth to $40.2 billion in the quarter ending July 16, 2026, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $39.8 billion, which signals that the company is successfully capitalizing on the ongoing surge in demand for advanced AI chips.
  • The company's earnings per share of $4.31 for the most recent period exceeded the analyst consensus of $3.82, demonstrating strong operational efficiency and profitability that supports the current stock price of $429.07, which is trading well above its 52-week low of $237.90.
  • Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus Buy rating with a price target of $524.25 as of August 19, 2026, suggesting that the current market valuation may still be undervalued relative to the firm's projected growth trajectory in the semiconductor industry.
  • Insider confidence remains high, with numerous executives, including the CFO and multiple Vice Presidents, purchasing shares at an average price of $73.31 in August 2026, indicating that company leadership believes the stock is a strong long-term investment opportunity.
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing retains a dominant 73% share of the global foundry market, a position that is further strengthened by its $265 billion investment in U.S. manufacturing, which secures its supply chain and positions it as a critical partner in global chip diplomacy.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing for these reasons:

  • The stock carries a high beta of 1.39, meaning it is significantly more volatile than the broader market, which can lead to sharp price swings and increased risk for investors who are sensitive to market fluctuations.
  • Short interest has been rising, with shares shorted increasing to 30.16 million as of August 14, 2026, a 9.13% increase from the previous month, suggesting that a growing number of traders are betting against the stock's future performance.
  • The company's P/E ratio of 30.96 is relatively high, indicating that investors are paying a premium for earnings that may not be sustainable if the current AI-driven demand cycle slows down or if competition intensifies in the semiconductor sector.
  • Several large institutional investors, including Crow's Nest Holdings LP and Varenne Capital Partners, reduced their stakes in the company during the second quarter of 2026, which may signal a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term upside potential among major market players.
  • The company's dividend yield of 0.69% is low, offering limited income for investors who prioritize regular cash flow, and the stock's performance is heavily dependent on the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry, which can be unpredictable.

TSM Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $523.22, with a high forecast of $650.00 and a low forecast of $330.00.

17 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last year. There is currently 1 hold rating, 13 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "buy" TSM shares.

According to analysts, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock has a predicted upside of 19.16% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock had 3 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, Barclays, Citigroup, DA Davidson, Needham & Company LLC, Sanford C. Bernstein, Stifel Nicolaus, Susquehanna, TD Cowen, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing more than other "technology" companies. The consensus rating for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is Buy while the average consensus rating for "technology" companies is Hold. Learn more on how TSM compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/1/2026.
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