Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$404.95 -12.77 (-3.06%)

Closing price 05/15/2026 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$402.85 -2.09 (-0.52%)

As of 05/15/2026 08:00 PM Eastern

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Buy

Based on 15 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
2

Buy
13

Based on 15 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Buy." Out of the 15 analysts, 2 have given a hold rating, 11 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for TSM.

Consensus Price Target

$404.29
-0.16% Downside

According to the 15 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the average price target is $404.29. The highest price target for TSM is $480.00, while the lowest price target for TSM is $330.00. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -0.16% from the current price of $404.95.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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TSM Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 5/17/25 to 5/17/26	1 Month Ago 4/17/25 to 4/17/26	3 Months Ago 2/16/25 to 2/16/26	1 Year Ago 5/17/24 to 5/17/25
Strong Buy	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	4 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	11 Buy rating(s)	11 Buy rating(s)	10 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)
Hold	2 Hold rating(s)	2 Hold rating(s)	1 Hold rating(s)	2 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$404.29	$401.43	$391.43	$212.00
Forecasted Upside	-0.16% Downside	8.32% Upside	6.81% Upside	9.31% Upside
Consensus Rating	Buy	Buy	Buy	Moderate Buy

TSM Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

TSM Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing	Computer and Technology Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	3.00	2.30	2.52
Consensus Rating	Buy	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	-0.16% Downside	148.28% Upside	17.90% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent TSM News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
4/22/2026	Barclays 3 of 5 stars	Simon Coles Not Rated	Boost Target	Overweight	$450.00 ➝ $470.00	+26.16%
4/17/2026	DA Davidson 2 of 5 stars	Gil Luria 3 of 5 stars	Reiterated Rating	Buy	$450.00	+21.69%
4/16/2026	Needham & Company LLC 4 of 5 stars	Charles Shi 5 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Buy	$410.00 ➝ $480.00	+27.67%
3/20/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold (C+) ➝ Buy (B-)
3/16/2026	Zacks Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Hold
2/11/2026	Wedbush Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform
1/23/2026	Dbs Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Moderate Buy
1/16/2026	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Krish Sankar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Hold	$325.00 ➝ $370.00	+8.19%
1/15/2026	Freedom Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Strong-Buy
1/15/2026	Argus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Strong-Buy
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1/9/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy
1/5/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy
1/2/2026	Sanford C. Bernstein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Mark Li Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Outperform
12/7/2025	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Set Target		$330.00	+12.00%
10/10/2025	Susquehanna Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Mehdi Hosseini Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Positive	$300.00 ➝ $400.00	+33.38%
10/7/2025	Itau BBA Securities Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Outperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 07:00 AM ET.

Should I Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock? TSM Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing:

The company recently announced a quarterly dividend increase to $1.1136 per share, reflecting a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders and signaling confidence in its cash flow.
With a significant capital spending plan of approximately $31.28 billion aimed at expanding advanced chip production, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is well-positioned to capitalize on growth in AI, 5G, and high-performance computing sectors.
The current stock price is around $55.93, which may present an attractive entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the company's growth potential.
Recent collaborations, such as the partnership with Sony for AI-ready image sensors, highlight the company's strategic importance in the semiconductor market and its ability to innovate in response to emerging technologies.
With a robust return on equity of 38.17% and a net margin of 46.97%, the company demonstrates strong profitability and efficient management, making it an appealing option for investors seeking solid financial performance.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing for these reasons:

Concerns have been raised regarding the stock's valuation, as some investors question whether it has become expensive following a significant year-to-date run, which could limit potential upside.
The company faces periodic pressure from broader chip-sector selloffs, which can negatively impact stock performance and investor sentiment.
There are worries that heavy spending in AI could cool down, leading to profit-taking in the stock and affecting its short-term performance.
Insider ownership is relatively low, with only 1.11% of the stock held by corporate insiders, which may raise concerns about alignment between management and shareholder interests.
Market volatility and external economic factors could pose risks to the semiconductor industry, potentially affecting Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's growth trajectory and stock stability.

TSM Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 15 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $404.29, with a high forecast of $480.00 and a low forecast of $330.00.

15 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last year. There are currently 2 hold ratings, 11 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "buy" TSM shares.

According to analysts, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock has a predicted downside of -0.16% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock had 2 downgrades and 1 upgrade by analysts.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, DA Davidson, Needham & Company LLC, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing more than other "computer and technology" companies. The consensus rating for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is Buy while the average consensus rating for "computer and technology" companies is Hold. Learn more on how TSM compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:TSM) was last updated on 5/17/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Forecast & Price Target