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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing logo
$412.74 +16.26 (+4.10%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$406.39 -6.34 (-1.54%)
As of 06:35 PM Eastern
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
2
Buy
14

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Buy." Out of the 16 analysts, 2 have given a hold rating, 11 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for TSM.

Consensus Price Target

$533.89
29.35% Upside
According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the average price target is $533.89. The highest price target for TSM is $670.00, while the lowest price target for TSM is $330.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 29.35% from the current price of $412.74.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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TSM Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
11/11/25 to 11/11/26
1 Month Ago
10/12/25 to 10/12/26
3 Months Ago
8/13/25 to 8/13/26
1 Year Ago
11/11/24 to 11/11/25
Strong Buy
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
Hold
2 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$533.89$524.89$524.25$371.67
Forecasted Upside29.35% Upside18.00% Upside21.73% Upside27.73% Upside
Consensus RatingBuyBuyBuyModerate Buy

TSM Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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TSM Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock vs. The Competition

TypeTaiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTechnology CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
3.06
2.22
2.52
Consensus RatingBuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside28.34% Upside63.38% Upside13.71% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent TSM News
Positive News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
11/4/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
2 of 5 stars
 DowngradeBuy (B) ➝ Hold (C+)
11/4/2026
Mark Li
Not Rated
Boost TargetOutperform$554.00 ➝ $600.00+51.97%
10/16/2026
Barclays PLC logo
Barclays
3 of 5 stars
Simon Coles
Simon Coles
5 of 5 stars
Boost TargetOverweight$665.00 ➝ $670.00+58.71%
10/16/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$500.00+20.67%
10/15/2026Boost TargetBuy$530.00 ➝ $560.00+30.03%
10/7/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
9/1/2026Initiated CoverageBuy$515.00+24.23%
7/17/2026Boost TargetHold$400.00 ➝ $440.00+9.69%
7/16/2026Boost TargetPositive$575.00 ➝ $600.00+43.05%
7/16/2026 UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
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6/24/2026 Boost TargetBuy$490.00 ➝ $590.00+35.08%
2/11/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
1/23/2026 UpgradeModerate Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/5/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
12/7/2025 Set Target$330.00+12.00%
10/7/2025 Initiated CoverageOutperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 06:35 PM ET.


Should I Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock? TSM Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, November 9, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing:

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing shares climbed 3.6% to $388.95 on November 9, 2026, driven by insider buying activity and a broader market rebound, signaling renewed investor confidence in the company's leadership and valuation.
  • The company reported strong third-quarter results on October 15, 2026, with earnings per share of $4.60 beating consensus estimates of $4.45 and revenue of $46.72 billion, representing a 41.2% year-over-year increase that demonstrates robust demand for its semiconductor products.
  • Analysts maintain a positive outlook with an average price target of $533.89, which is significantly higher than the current stock price of $388.95, suggesting substantial upside potential as firms like Sanford C. Bernstein recently raised their price objective to $600.00.
  • Government intervention in the form of tightened short-selling limits and a NT$500 billion market-stabilization fund has helped support local equities and chip stocks, providing a regulatory tailwind that may stabilize the stock after recent volatility.
  • Insider buying activity, including a purchase of 840 shares by Director Michael R. Splinter and 1,000 shares by VP Lipen Yuan in early November 2026, indicates that company executives are confident in the long-term value of their own stock.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing for these reasons:

  • The stock price of $388.95 is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $431.68 and its 200-day simple moving average of $400.77, which are technical indicators that often suggest a downward trend or bearish momentum.
  • Uncertainty surrounding the company's strategic focus has emerged, with mixed reports on whether Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing will enter advanced memory production for Nvidia, creating potential confusion about its core business model and competitive positioning.
  • The company recently cut its quarterly dividend from $1.1136 to $1.0854, a reduction that may disappoint income-focused investors who rely on consistent dividend growth as a key component of their return on investment.
  • Short interest in the stock increased by 9.73% in the most recent reporting period to 30,492,512 shares, indicating that a growing number of traders are betting against the stock's future performance, which can create downward pressure on the price.
  • Volatility in the broader AI chip sector, including controversy surrounding Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, poses a risk to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing as a key supplier, potentially leading to sudden shifts in investor sentiment and stock price fluctuations.

TSM Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $533.89, with a high forecast of $670.00 and a low forecast of $330.00.

16 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last year. There are currently 2 hold ratings, 11 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "buy" TSM shares.

According to analysts, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock has a predicted upside of 29.35% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock had 3 upgrades and 3 downgrades by analysts.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Citigroup, DA Davidson, Needham & Company LLC, Sanford C. Bernstein, Stifel Nicolaus, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing more than other "technology" companies. The consensus rating for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is Buy while the average consensus rating for "technology" companies is Hold. Learn more on how TSM compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 11/4/2026.
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