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Union Pacific (UNP) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Union Pacific logo
$282.40 +1.49 (+0.53%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$282.43 +0.03 (+0.01%)
As of 06:34 PM Eastern
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Union Pacific - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
17

Based on 21 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Union Pacific in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 21 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, 15 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for UNP.

Consensus Price Target

$327.72
16.05% Upside
According to the 21 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Union Pacific, the average price target is $327.72. The highest price target for UNP is $363.00, while the lowest price target for UNP is $245.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 16.05% from the current price of $282.41.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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UNP Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/17/25 to 9/17/26
1 Month Ago
8/18/25 to 8/18/26
3 Months Ago
6/19/25 to 6/19/26
1 Year Ago
9/17/24 to 9/17/25
Strong Buy
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
15 Buy rating(s)
13 Buy rating(s)
12 Buy rating(s)
15 Buy rating(s)
Hold
4 Hold rating(s)
6 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$327.72$320.89$282.21$259.38
Forecasted Upside16.05% Upside7.29% Upside9.61% Upside19.42% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

UNP Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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UNP Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Union Pacific Stock vs. The Competition

TypeUnion PacificIndustrials CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.90
2.30
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside16.05% Upside102.22% Upside17.76% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent UNP News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/16/2026
UBS Group AG logo
UBS Group
4 of 5 stars
Thomas Wadewitz
Thomas Wadewitz
5 of 5 stars
UpgradeNeutralBuy$310.00 ➝ $339.00+19.43%
9/16/2026
Walter Spracklin
3 of 5 stars
UpgradeOutperformBuy
8/27/2026
Erste Group Bank AG logo
Erste Group Bank
5 of 5 stars
 Initiated CoverageBuy
7/27/2026Boost TargetOutperform$311.00 ➝ $344.00+11.85%
7/24/2026 UpgradeBuy (B-)Buy (B)
7/24/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$282.00 ➝ $325.00+6.96%
7/24/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$285.00 ➝ $320.00+5.17%
7/24/2026Reiterated RatingOverweight$315.00 ➝ $335.00+10.10%
7/24/2026Reiterated RatingOverweight$315.00 ➝ $350.00+15.03%
7/24/2026Boost TargetBuy$326.00 ➝ $349.00+12.98%
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7/24/2026Boost TargetNeutral$304.00 ➝ $334.00+8.70%
7/24/2026Boost TargetBuy$325.00 ➝ $335.00+10.10%
7/23/2026 Set TargetNeutral$317.00+4.18%
7/23/2026Boost TargetBuy$301.00 ➝ $334.00+9.75%
7/15/2026Initiated CoverageOutperform$350.00+21.34%
7/14/2026Boost TargetPositive$305.00 ➝ $333.00+15.12%
7/13/2026 Reiterated RatingStrong-Buy
7/8/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
6/25/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform$294.00+13.05%
3/31/2026Boost TargetOutperform$289.00 ➝ $293.00+22.20%
12/11/2025Set Target$245.00+4.20%
9/16/2025UpgradeSellHold$214.00 ➝ $227.00+5.01%
8/12/2025DowngradeBuyHold
7/25/2025UpgradeHoldBuy$250.00 ➝ $285.00+29.01%
7/7/2025Lower TargetEqual Weight$220.00 ➝ $215.00-8.57%
4/16/2025UpgradeNeutralBuy$259.00+17.72%
4/14/2025Lower TargetBuy$270.00 ➝ $248.00+11.99%
1/24/2025Boost TargetBuy$266.00 ➝ $275.00+10.48%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Thursday at 07:14 PM ET.


Should I Buy Union Pacific Stock? UNP Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 15, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Union Pacific pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Union Pacific
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Union Pacific Co.:

  • Union Pacific Co. recently reported strong second-quarter results, beating analyst expectations with earnings per share of $3.41 against a consensus estimate of $3.26, while revenue grew 11.5% year-over-year to $6.86 billion, demonstrating robust operational performance and demand for its rail services.
  • The company has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from 22 research firms, with an average price target of $320.89, which suggests significant upside potential from the current stock price of $283.85, reflecting analyst confidence in the company's future growth trajectory.
  • Union Pacific Co. recently increased its quarterly dividend to $1.42 per share, representing a 2.0% dividend yield, which provides a steady income stream for investors and signals management's confidence in maintaining sustainable cash flows.
  • Institutional investors are showing renewed interest in the stock, with Bank of America Corp DE increasing its stake by 0.4% in the second quarter and National Pension Service boosting its holdings by 2.8%, indicating that large-scale investors are accumulating positions in the company.
  • The proposed merger with Norfolk Southern is gaining political support, as South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster voiced his backing for the combination, citing economic growth and supply chain efficiency, which could lead to significant synergies and market expansion for Union Pacific Co.

Union Pacific
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Union Pacific Co. for these reasons:

  • Union Pacific Co. is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.98, which is relatively high compared to historical averages, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued and leaving little room for error if earnings growth slows down.
  • Short interest in the stock has increased, with shares shorted rising to 27,740,373 in the most recent reporting period, indicating that a significant portion of investors are betting against the stock's price appreciation.
  • Several senior executives, including EVP Eric J Gehringer and CFO Jennifer L Hamann, have recently sold shares in the company, which may signal a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance or a desire to diversify personal holdings.
  • The company faces regulatory and competitive challenges, as Canadian National Railway has filed with the Surface Transportation Board to seek conditions that would preserve rail competition and expand customer options, potentially limiting the benefits of the proposed merger with Norfolk Southern.
  • Union Pacific Co. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40, indicating a relatively high level of leverage, which could increase financial risk and limit the company's flexibility to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.

UNP Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 21 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Union Pacific is $327.72, with a high forecast of $363.00 and a low forecast of $245.00.

21 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Union Pacific in the last year. There are currently 4 hold ratings, 15 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" UNP shares.

According to analysts, Union Pacific's stock has a predicted upside of 16.05% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Union Pacific's stock had 4 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Union Pacific more than other "industrials" companies. The consensus rating for Union Pacific is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "industrials" companies is Hold. Learn more on how UNP compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Union Pacific analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/16/2026.
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