United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$102.30 -1.20 (-1.16%)

As of 03:58 PM Eastern

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United Parcel Service - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 21 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
11

Buy
9

Based on 21 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for United Parcel Service in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 21 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 11 have given a hold rating, 8 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for UPS.

Consensus Price Target

$117.41
14.77% Upside

According to the 21 analysts' twelve-month price targets for United Parcel Service, the average price target is $117.41. The highest price target for UPS is $133.00, while the lowest price target for UPS is $85.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 14.77% from the current price of $102.30.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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UPS Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 9/4/25 to 9/4/26	1 Month Ago 8/5/25 to 8/5/26	3 Months Ago 6/6/25 to 6/6/26	1 Year Ago 9/4/24 to 9/4/25
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	12 Buy rating(s)
Hold	11 Hold rating(s)	10 Hold rating(s)	11 Hold rating(s)	11 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)	4 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$117.41	$117.41	$111.50	$112.23
Forecasted Upside	14.77% Upside	8.98% Upside	2.62% Upside	32.86% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Hold

UPS Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

UPS Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

United Parcel Service Stock vs. The Competition

Type	United Parcel Service	Industrials Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.43	2.30	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	13.46% Upside	95.87% Upside	13.65% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent UPS News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
8/17/2026	Weiss Ratings 5 of 5 stars		Upgrade	Sell (D+) ➝ Hold (C-)
7/29/2026	Stifel Nicolaus 4 of 5 stars	J. Bruce Chan 4 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Buy	$114.00 ➝ $115.00	+10.19%
7/29/2026	Stephens 2 of 5 stars	Jack Atkins Not Rated	Lower Target	Overweight	$135.00 ➝ $130.00	+23.80%
7/29/2026	Susquehanna Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Bascome Majors Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$118.00 ➝ $120.00	+14.27%
7/29/2026	Oppenheimer Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Scott Schneeberger Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Outperform	$115.00 ➝ $117.00	+11.35%
7/29/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Thomas Wadewitz Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$123.00 ➝ $124.00	+17.78%
7/29/2026	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Fadi Chamoun Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Market Perform	$110.00 ➝ $115.00	+10.02%
7/21/2026	Sanford C. Bernstein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	David Vernon Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Outperform	$130.00 ➝ $133.00	+15.33%
7/15/2026	Citizens Jmp Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Jeff Kauffman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	Market Perform
7/9/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Ariel Rosa Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$127.00 ➝ $132.00	+16.80%
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4/22/2026	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	In-Line	$115.00 ➝ $113.00	+6.32%
1/28/2026	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
1/28/2026	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Stephanie Moore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$115.00 ➝ $130.00	+24.94%
1/28/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Brian Ossenbeck Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$99.00 ➝ $107.00	+2.83%
1/28/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Christian Wetherbee Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$96.00 ➝ $110.00	+4.22%
1/28/2026	Truist Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Lucas Servera Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$120.00 ➝ $130.00	+21.22%
1/28/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Richa Harnain Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Hold	$88.00 ➝ $106.00	-1.16%
1/28/2026	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Hold	$101.00 ➝ $115.00	+7.24%
1/13/2026	BNP Paribas Exane Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Neutral ➝ Underperform	$85.00	-20.28%
1/9/2026	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Ken Hoexter Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Neutral	$114.00	+6.54%
1/8/2026	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Scott Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
7/31/2025	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Brandon Oglenski Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Underweight	$90.00 ➝ $80.00	-7.20%
7/30/2025	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Ravi Shanker Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Underweight	$80.00 ➝ $75.00	-15.54%
7/30/2025	Vertical Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold	$103.00	+13.32%
6/30/2025	Galvan Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy	$126.00 ➝ $124.00	+22.83%
5/23/2025	Argus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target		$150.00 ➝ $120.00	+25.80%
5/8/2025	Rothschild & Co Redburn Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy	$137.00 ➝ $117.00	+20.71%
4/30/2025	DA Davidson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral	$154.00 ➝ $150.00	+57.27%
4/30/2025	Daiwa Securities Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target		$120.00 ➝ $103.00	+7.99%
4/30/2025	Bernstein Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target		$132.00 ➝ $133.00	+39.44%
4/30/2025	Loop Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Rick Paterson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Hold	$115.00 ➝ $105.00	+10.85%
4/9/2025	Raymond James Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Strong-Buy	$145.00 ➝ $130.00	+34.94%
1/31/2025	Robert W. Baird Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	G. Holland Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Hold	$160.00 ➝ $130.00	+13.85%
1/31/2025	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Matt Reustle Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Buy	$166.00 ➝ $147.00	+27.89%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 06:11 PM ET.

Should I Buy United Parcel Service Stock? UPS Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these United Parcel Service pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

United Parcel Service
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in United Parcel Service, Inc.:

United Parcel Service, Inc. offers a compelling income opportunity with a dividend yield of 6.29%, which is significantly higher than the broader market average, allowing investors to receive substantial cash payments of $1.64 per share quarterly while they wait for the company's operational turnaround to materialize.
The stock is currently trading at $102.94, which is well below the consensus price target of $117.41 set by Wall Street analysts, suggesting that the market may be overly pessimistic about the company's future performance and that there is significant upside potential for those who buy at current levels.
United Parcel Service, Inc. recently demonstrated strong financial resilience by beating earnings expectations in the second quarter, reporting $1.76 in earnings per share against a consensus estimate of $1.65, while also achieving 7.6% year-over-year revenue growth to $22.83 billion, indicating that the core business is generating healthy cash flow.
Institutional investors are showing renewed confidence in the company, with major funds like Wellington Management Group LLP increasing their holdings by 262.7% and PYA Waltman Capital LLC boosting its position by 41.1% in the second quarter, signaling that professional money managers are accumulating shares at these valuation levels.
The company is undergoing a significant strategic transformation with a new global operating model effective September 1, 2026, which includes executive leadership changes and a focus on high-growth areas like healthcare logistics, potentially positioning United Parcel Service, Inc. for improved operational efficiency and market share gains in the future.

United Parcel Service
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in United Parcel Service, Inc. for these reasons:

The company carries a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58, meaning it has significantly more debt than equity, which can increase financial risk and limit the company's flexibility to invest in growth or weather economic downturns without incurring additional borrowing costs.
United Parcel Service, Inc. has a payout ratio of 121.93%, indicating that the company is paying out more in dividends than it is earning in net income, which is unsustainable in the long term and suggests that the high dividend yield may be at risk if earnings do not improve significantly.
The stock has experienced a significant decline over the past five years, dropping approximately 33.5%, and is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $108.07 and $105.73 respectively, indicating that the stock is in a downtrend and may continue to face downward pressure.
Recent executive changes, including the retirement of longtime leader Kate Gutmann and the creation of new roles, introduce execution risk as investors must now judge whether the new leadership team can successfully accelerate growth and profitability during a critical restructuring period.
Despite recent earnings beats, the company's net margin is only 5.08%, which is relatively low for a logistics giant, suggesting that United Parcel Service, Inc. faces intense competitive pressure and high operating costs that may limit its ability to expand profit margins in the near term.

UPS Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 21 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for United Parcel Service is $117.41, with a high forecast of $133.00 and a low forecast of $85.00.

21 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for United Parcel Service in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 11 hold ratings, 8 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" UPS shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in UPS, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, United Parcel Service's stock has a predicted upside of 14.77% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, United Parcel Service's stock had 3 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

United Parcel Service has been rated by research analysts at BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Citizens Jmp, Oppenheimer, Sanford C. Bernstein, Stephens, Stifel Nicolaus, Susquehanna, UBS Group, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like United Parcel Service more than other "industrials" companies. The consensus rating score for United Parcel Service is 2.43 while the average consensus rating score for "industrials" companies is 2.30. Learn more on how UPS compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for United Parcel Service analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/17/2026.

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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target

United Parcel Service - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

UPS Analyst Ratings Over Time

UPS Analyst Recommendations By Month

UPS Price Targets by Month

United Parcel Service Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy United Parcel Service Stock? UPS Pros and Cons Explained

United Parcel Service
Bull Case

United Parcel Service
Bear Case

UPS Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

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Brokerages With United Parcel Service Recommendations

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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target

United Parcel Service - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

UPS Analyst Ratings Over Time

UPS Analyst Recommendations By Month

UPS Price Targets by Month

United Parcel Service Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy United Parcel Service Stock? UPS Pros and Cons Explained

United Parcel Service Bull Case

United Parcel Service Bear Case

UPS Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

What is United Parcel Service's forecast for 2026?

Should I buy or sell United Parcel Service stock right now?

Does United Parcel Service's stock price have much upside?

Has United Parcel Service been upgraded or downgraded by Wall Street analysts recently?

What analysts cover United Parcel Service?

Do Wall Street analysts like United Parcel Service more than its competitors?

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With United Parcel Service Recommendations

MarketBeat All Access Features

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

United Parcel Service
Bull Case

United Parcel Service
Bear Case