TD Cowen Has Lowered Expectations for Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) Stock Price

Key Points

• TD Cowen lowered Valvoline’s price target from $47 to $45 but maintained a “Buy” rating, implying approximately 26% upside from the stock’s $35.70 price.
• Valvoline reported better-than-expected quarterly results, with EPS of $0.57 versus $0.50 expected and revenue of $544.6 million, up 24.1% year over year.
• Analyst sentiment remains positive overall, with a “Moderate Buy” consensus and an average price target of $42.56, although fiscal 2026 EPS guidance of $1.70–$1.75 is slightly below the $1.75 consensus estimate.

Valvoline (NYSE:VVV - Get Free Report) had its price target decreased by TD Cowen from $47.00 to $45.00 in a research note issued to investors on Thursday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage presently has a "buy" rating on the basic materials company's stock. TD Cowen's price target indicates a potential upside of 26.07% from the stock's current price.

Other research analysts also recently issued research reports about the company. Zacks Research upgraded Valvoline from a "hold" rating to a "strong-buy" rating in a research note on Tuesday, July 21st. Piper Sandler reiterated an "overweight" rating and set a $44.00 price target on shares of Valvoline in a research report on Wednesday, July 29th. Weiss Ratings reissued a "hold (c-)" rating on shares of Valvoline in a report on Friday, May 29th. Citigroup restated a "neutral" rating on shares of Valvoline in a research report on Thursday, July 16th. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised shares of Valvoline from an "underweight" rating to a "neutral" rating and set a $35.00 price objective for the company in a research note on Friday, May 29th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, eleven have given a Buy rating and four have given a Hold rating to the company's stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, Valvoline has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average target price of $42.56.

Valvoline Stock Performance

Valvoline stock traded down $1.28 during mid-day trading on Thursday, reaching $35.70. The company's stock had a trading volume of 2,423,237 shares, compared to its average volume of 2,091,407. The firm's fifty day moving average price is $38.04 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $35.76. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.61, a quick ratio of 0.61 and a current ratio of 0.73. Valvoline has a 12-month low of $28.50 and a 12-month high of $41.33. The company has a market capitalization of $4.55 billion, a P/E ratio of 48.90 and a beta of 1.00.

Valvoline (NYSE:VVV - Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Wednesday, August 5th. The basic materials company reported $0.57 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.50 by $0.07. Valvoline had a return on equity of 66.54% and a net margin of 5.03%.The firm had revenue of $544.60 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $543.21 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $0.47 earnings per share. The business's quarterly revenue was up 24.1% on a year-over-year basis. Valvoline has set its FY 2026 guidance at 1.700-1.750 EPS. Sell-side analysts predict that Valvoline will post 1.75 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In other Valvoline news, CFO J Kevin Willis bought 10,000 shares of Valvoline stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, May 14th. The stock was acquired at an average cost of $31.80 per share, for a total transaction of $318,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief financial officer directly owned 32,725 shares in the company, valued at $1,040,655. This represents a 44.00% increase in their ownership of the stock. The purchase was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Also, insider Jonathan L. Caldwell sold 2,851 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction dated Thursday, June 25th. The shares were sold at an average price of $40.00, for a total value of $114,040.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider directly owned 20,918 shares in the company, valued at approximately $836,720. The trade was a 11.99% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Insiders purchased a total of 14,100 shares of company stock worth $450,877 over the last three months. Corporate insiders own 0.66% of the company's stock.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Valvoline

Several hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the stock. Measured Wealth Private Client Group LLC bought a new position in shares of Valvoline in the 1st quarter worth $28,000. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd lifted its holdings in shares of Valvoline by 1,621.3% during the 3rd quarter. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd now owns 1,050 shares of the basic materials company's stock worth $38,000 after acquiring an additional 989 shares during the last quarter. Cedar Mountain Advisors LLC purchased a new position in Valvoline in the first quarter worth $42,000. GAMMA Investing LLC grew its position in Valvoline by 39.9% in the second quarter. GAMMA Investing LLC now owns 1,435 shares of the basic materials company's stock worth $57,000 after acquiring an additional 409 shares in the last quarter. Finally, EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC increased its stake in Valvoline by 90.1% in the second quarter. EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 1,458 shares of the basic materials company's stock valued at $55,000 after acquiring an additional 691 shares during the last quarter. 96.13% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

More Valvoline News

Here are the key news stories impacting Valvoline this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Valvoline reported third-quarter EPS of $0.57, exceeding the $0.50 analyst consensus and rising from $0.47 a year earlier. Revenue of $544.6 million also topped estimates and increased 24.1% year over year, supporting the company’s growth narrative. Valvoline Inc. Reports Third Quarter Results
• Positive Sentiment: Broker sentiment remains constructive: analysts collectively assign Valvoline a “Moderate Buy” recommendation, while RBC maintained an “Outperform” rating. Valvoline Receives Moderate Buy Recommendation
• Neutral Sentiment: Expansion by franchisee Velocity Auto Care to 50 Valvoline Instant Oil Change locations, with 18 more planned through 2027, highlights continued network growth. However, the locations are operated by a franchise partner, limiting the direct financial impact on Valvoline. Velocity Auto Care Expansion
• Negative Sentiment: Valvoline’s updated fiscal 2026 EPS guidance of $1.70–$1.75 has a midpoint below the $1.75 analyst consensus, although revenue guidance of approximately $2.1 billion is in line with expectations. This modestly cautious outlook may be tempering the positive earnings reaction.
• Negative Sentiment: RBC lowered its price target from $47 to $46, despite retaining its Outperform rating. The reduced target may signal more limited near-term upside and contribute to investor caution. RBC Valvoline Price Target Update

Valvoline Company Profile

Valvoline NYSE: VVV is a leading global producer and distributor of automotive and industrial lubricants. The company's portfolio spans engine oils, gear oils, transmission fluids, greases, coolants and driveline products, all designed to help improve vehicle performance and longevity. Valvoline's products are marketed under the Valvoline®, Valvoline NextGen® and Valvoline™ SynPower® brand names and are formulated to meet the stringent requirements of passenger cars, light trucks, heavy‐duty vehicles and off‐road applications.

In addition to its core lubricant business, Valvoline operates one of North America's largest quick‐lubricant service networks through Valvoline Instant Oil Change℠ (VIOC).

This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to contact@marketbeat.com.

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