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Leifras Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

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Key Points

  • Leifras reported record FY2025 results with net revenue of $74.8M (+13.5% YoY), operating income $4.0M (+20.7%), and adjusted operating income up 41.8% to $4.4M, and provided FY2026 guidance of $82.9M–$95.7M revenue and $4.5M–$5.4M operating income.
  • Both segments reached record revenue—sports schools +7.8% and social business +32.8% (now ~30% of sales)—and management says Japan’s planned 2026 reform to outsource school club activities creates a ~9,800-school TAM (~$3.19B), which it expects to capture using scale and defined barriers to entry (381 schools, 2,120 clubs, 89% local-government repeat rate).
  • Financially strengthened with net assets of $11.8M (+77.4%), operating cash flow roughly $3.0M, and a $16 million syndicated loan earmarked for M&A, while management notes some member and commissioned‑club metrics were deliberately constrained to prioritize large strategic projects and compliance ahead of expansion.
  • Five stocks we like better than Leifras.

Leifras NASDAQ: LFS reported record full-year results for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2025, driven by growth in both its sports school business and its expanding school club activities program, according to comments from Representative Director and CEO Kiyotaka Ito and CFO Rei Yamamoto during the company’s financial results briefing.

Management framed fiscal 2025 as a year of “strategic selection and focus” designed to position the company for a larger market opportunity in Japan as a national policy shift accelerates the outsourcing of school club activities to local communities and private providers beginning in fiscal 2026.

Record revenue and operating profit; adjusted operating income up 41.8%

Ito said the company recorded its “best performance” in 2025, supported by steady growth across both major segments. On a consolidated basis, Leifras reported net revenue of $74.8 million, up 13.5% year-over-year, and income from operations of $4.0 million, up 20.7%.

Yamamoto added that profitability outpaced revenue growth, with gross profit rising 17.6% and operating income up 20.7%, which she said reflected “positive operating leverage” as personnel and facility efficiency improved and “economies of scale are firmly taking effect.”

Net income reached a record $2.8 million, Yamamoto said, though she characterized the year-over-year growth as “more moderate” than operating profit due to financing costs tied to future M&A and what she described as the normalization of the effective tax rate following a reduction in tax benefits associated with listing preparations.

Management emphasized adjusted income from operations as a key measure. Yamamoto said adjusted operating income, excluding “non-recurring IPO-related expenses,” increased 41.8% year-over-year to $4.4 million.

Segment performance: sports schools grew 7.8%; social business up 32.8%

Leifras’ business is divided into a sports school segment—accounting for more than 70% of sales—and a “social business” segment—about 30% of sales—focused on providing school club activities under contract, management said.

Yamamoto reported both segments reached record revenue levels in 2025, with the sports school business increasing 7.8% and the social business rising 32.8%. Ito also noted that the social business has become a larger contributor over time, saying its sales contribution has increased by three percentage points since fiscal 2023.

Ito attributed the sports school business’ positioning to a program that goes beyond athletic instruction to develop non-cognitive skills such as leadership and teamwork. He said the company’s proprietary “Milabo” system, developed with sports psychology experts, helps visualize growth in these skills and has been highly praised by parents. Ito said Leifras has ranked No. 1 in Japan for both number of members and number of schools for four consecutive years.

Strategic focus weighed on some volume metrics, management said

While highlighting record financial results, Ito said several operating indicators—including net income growth, sports school member growth, and the number of commissioned club activities—showed only slight changes. He described these as the result of a deliberate trade-off to support future expansion.

  • Net income: Ito said one-time expenses for growth investments and higher tax expenses weighed on net income growth. He cited syndicated loan fees recorded as non-operating expenses in preparation for M&A, and said the prior year’s tax benefits from leasing expenses decreased, returning the effective tax rate to “normal levels.”
  • Sports school members: Ito said membership increased only slightly because resources were concentrated on large-scale club activity projects. He cited taking over a stalled project in Nagoya City and securing new large-scale projects in Suita City and Shibuya Ward, which temporarily suppressed the opening of new sports schools.
  • Commissioned club activities: Ito said the number of commissioned club activities declined slightly from fiscal 2023–2024 due to compliance considerations tied to the company’s role in national policy, including forgoing certain local government contracts to avoid conflicts of interest while accepting projects from the Japan Sports Agency. He also said the company took back six of eight Nagoya City wards after prior operators went bankrupt, leaving a net reduction of two wards.

Overall, Ito said these plateaus were “not a sign of slowing growth,” but rather a step to capture a larger market as national reforms accelerate.

National policy seen as major tailwind; company outlines “barriers to entry”

Both Ito and Yamamoto pointed to Japan’s national roadmap to move school club activities—particularly weekend activities—out of schools and into community and private operators. Yamamoto said the company estimates a total addressable market of about 9,800 schools nationwide, or approximately $3.19 billion.

Ito said the reform enters an “implementation period” starting in fiscal 2026, calling it a “historic turning point” that could drive rapid market growth. Yamamoto cited a government plan to transfer 30% of weekend club activities—more than 38,000 clubs—to communities and private organizations by fiscal 2026, which she said marks an acceleration compared with the prior year.

Management also highlighted contract momentum in fiscal 2025, with Ito citing new requests from major metro areas including Shibuya Ward, Shinagawa Ward, Nagoya City, and Kyoto City, as well as a contract with Waseda University Senior High School. Ito said this demonstrated the scalability of Leifras’ operating model.

To support its claim as an “undisputed top runner,” Ito outlined five “barriers to entry,” including its contract record and retention, government ties, local government network, instructor platform, and safety record. He said the company manages 381 schools and 2,120 school clubs and has an 89% repeat customer rate from local governments. Ito also said the company operates in 45 prefectures with 1,055 full-time employees and 3,544 part-time employees, and that it has had “zero serious accidents or injuries” since taking over the contract in 2013.

Balance sheet, financing, M&A priorities, and 2026 guidance

On financial position, Yamamoto said total net assets expanded to $11.8 million, up 77.4% year-over-year, and total liabilities decreased to $18.0 million. She added that operating cash flow more than doubled to approximately $3.0 million.

Yamamoto also said the company secured a new $16 million syndicated loan to provide funding capacity for “inorganic growth opportunities such as M&A.” She said capital allocation will prioritize M&A, targeting entities that enhance customer lifetime value or strengthen the platform through advanced technology, and emphasized that Leifras has “successfully integrated every past acquisition exactly according to plan.”

For fiscal 2026, Yamamoto provided consolidated guidance calling for “strong double-digit growth” driven by policy tailwinds and a transition into a margin expansion phase. The company forecast net revenue of $82.9 million to $95.7 million and income from operations of $4.5 million to $5.4 million.

In the Q&A, Ito said the Nasdaq listing was intended to strengthen creditworthiness and financial resources for overseas expansion, after a prior attempt in Asia roughly 10 years ago ended due to limited credibility, insufficient resources, and cultural differences. He said the company’s overseas approach will focus on M&A—targeting sports schools, fitness clubs, and education-related companies in developed markets—and integrating Leifras’ non-cognitive skills development and visualization strengths.

Ito also addressed plans for a potential Tokyo Stock Exchange listing, saying Nasdaq is important for global fundraising but that a domestic listing would help demonstrate “absolute credibility and governance” as Leifras pursues local government and educational projects tied to national policy. He said the company aims to realize it “as soon as possible” and will provide updates via disclosures and press releases when available.

Looking further ahead, Ito said Leifras’ goal is to reach market share in “at least 30% of all junior high schools in Japan by 2031” in the club activity reform market and build a business capable of generating “substantial profits.”

About Leifras NASDAQ: LFS

Headquartered in Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, we are a sports and social business company dedicated to youth sports and community engagement. We primarily provide services related to the organization and operations of sports schools and sports events for children. Building upon our experience and know-how in sports education, we also operate a robust social business sector, dispatching sports coaches to meet various community needs. At the core of our operations is the children's sports school business. When we refer to a sports school, it refers to a series of courses and programs that we offer to teach a sport, instead of a physical location.

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