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Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Dollar Tree logo
$117.14 +3.96 (+3.49%)
As of 11:01 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Dollar Tree - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
13
Buy
11

Based on 26 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Dollar Tree in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 26 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 13 have given a hold rating, and 11 have given a buy rating for DLTR.

Consensus Price Target

$131.83
12.53% Upside
According to the 26 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Dollar Tree, the average price target is $131.83. The highest price target for DLTR is $170.00, while the lowest price target for DLTR is $85.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 12.53% from the current price of $117.15.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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DLTR Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/6/25 to 10/6/26
1 Month Ago
9/6/25 to 9/6/26
3 Months Ago
7/8/25 to 7/8/26
1 Year Ago
10/6/24 to 10/6/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
13 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
4 Sell rating(s)
4 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$131.83$131.68$121.86$112.35
Forecasted Upside12.53% Upside0.20% Upside-1.42% Downside28.14% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

DLTR Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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DLTR Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Dollar Tree Stock vs. The Competition

TypeDollar TreeConsumer Staples CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.35
2.22
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside16.46% Upside165.14% Upside20.68% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent DLTR News
Neutral News
Neutral News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/1/2026
Loop Capital logo
Loop Capital
2 of 5 stars
Anthony Chukumba
Anthony Chukumba
4 of 5 stars
UpgradeHold ➝ Buy$130.00 ➝ $140.00+22.79%
9/29/2026
Evercore Inc logo
Evercore
3 of 5 stars
Michael Montani
4 of 5 stars
Set Target$135.00+18.12%
9/4/2026
Barclays PLC logo
Barclays
3 of 5 stars
Seth Sigman
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetOverweight$140.00 ➝ $160.00+22.10%
8/31/2026Reiterated RatingNeutral$131.00+3.57%
8/31/2026Boost TargetNeutral$114.00 ➝ $121.00-5.66%
8/28/2026 UpgradeHold (C-) ➝ Hold (C)
8/28/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$130.00 ➝ $145.00+15.56%
8/28/2026Boost TargetBuy$145.00 ➝ $150.00+19.54%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$145.00+14.17%
8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$130.00+2.36%
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8/28/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$135.00+6.30%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$135.00 ➝ $145.00+6.03%
8/25/2026Boost TargetBuy$136.00 ➝ $138.00+0.91%
8/17/2026Boost TargetOverweight$145.00 ➝ $155.00+19.79%
7/8/2026UpgradeModerate Sell ➝ Buy
7/8/2026 Initiated CoverageHold
7/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$160.00 ➝ $170.00+37.04%
6/4/2026 Boost TargetHold$99.00 ➝ $102.00-8.35%
6/4/2026 UpgradeReduce ➝ Hold$115.00+2.24%
5/29/2026Boost TargetUnderperform$88.00 ➝ $98.00-15.32%
5/28/2026Reiterated RatingUnderperform
5/28/2026 DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
3/17/2026Lower TargetNeutral$132.00 ➝ $125.00+8.85%
3/17/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$150.00+31.16%
3/9/2026 Reiterated RatingNeutral
2/17/2026Set TargetNeutral ➝ Buy$165.00+30.89%
10/16/2025Set Target$103.00+7.33%
9/18/2025Initiated CoveragePeer Perform
5/28/2025UpgradeHold
11/7/2024DowngradeOverweight ➝ Sector Weight

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 11:02 AM ET.


Should I Buy Dollar Tree Stock? DLTR Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Dollar Tree pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Dollar Tree
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Dollar Tree, Inc.:

  • The stock is currently trading at $112.16, which is significantly below the consensus price target of $131.68, suggesting potential for substantial upside if the company continues to meet its revised earnings guidance.
  • Dollar Tree, Inc. recently raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to a range of $7.70 to $8.05, a significant increase from the previous consensus estimate of $5.95, driven by stronger execution and the receipt of tariff refunds that are funding reinvestment in pricing and stores.
  • The company reported a strong second quarter with earnings per share of $2.70, beating the consensus estimate of $1.15 by a wide margin, while revenue of $4.89 billion also exceeded expectations, indicating robust demand and effective cost management.
  • Short interest has declined significantly over the past few months, dropping from 15.4 million shares in mid-July to 7.2 million shares by mid-September, which often signals that bearish sentiment is fading and that institutional investors are becoming more confident in the stock's trajectory.
  • Confluence Investment Management LLC increased its stake in Dollar Tree, Inc. by 963.7% in the third quarter, adding over 1.2 million shares to its portfolio, a move that suggests strong institutional conviction in the company's long-term value and strategic initiatives.

Dollar Tree
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Dollar Tree, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Evercore downgraded Dollar Tree, Inc. from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" rating, reflecting concerns that while the company is solid, there is limited upside potential given the current valuation and market conditions.
  • Despite strong sales, the company faces margin risks due to rising costs and the temporary nature of tariff-refund benefits, which may not be sustainable in the long term and could pressure profitability in future quarters.
  • The stock has experienced a 17.9% decline over the past month, indicating that investors are still cautious about the durability of the company's rebound and the impact of ongoing economic uncertainties on consumer spending.
  • Insider selling has been notable, with Robert Aflatooni and Stephanie Stahl both reducing their holdings in recent months, which can be interpreted as a lack of confidence from those with the most direct knowledge of the company's operations.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 and quick ratio of 0.39 suggest that while it is managing its liabilities, it may have limited liquidity to absorb unexpected shocks or invest aggressively in growth without additional financing.

DLTR Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 26 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Dollar Tree is $131.83, with a high forecast of $170.00 and a low forecast of $85.00.

26 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Dollar Tree in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 13 hold ratings and 11 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" DLTR shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in DLTR, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Dollar Tree's stock has a predicted upside of 12.53% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Dollar Tree's stock had 6 upgrades and 3 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like Dollar Tree more than other "consumer staples" companies. The consensus rating score for Dollar Tree is 2.35 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer staples" companies is 2.22. Learn more on how DLTR compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Dollar Tree analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/1/2026.
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