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MercadoLibre (MELI) Stock Forecast & Price Target

MercadoLibre logo
$1,978.36 -12.70 (-0.64%)
As of 09/4/2026 04:00 PM Eastern

MercadoLibre - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
6
Buy
11

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for MercadoLibre in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 17 analysts, 6 have given a hold rating, and 11 have given a buy rating for MELI.

Consensus Price Target

$2,272.00
14.84% Upside
According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for MercadoLibre, the average price target is $2,272.00. The highest price target for MELI is $2,900.00, while the lowest price target for MELI is $1,750.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 14.84% from the current price of $1,978.36.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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MELI Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/6/25 to 9/6/26
1 Month Ago
8/7/25 to 8/7/26
3 Months Ago
6/8/25 to 6/8/26
1 Year Ago
9/6/24 to 9/6/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
14 Buy rating(s)
Hold
6 Hold rating(s)
6 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$2,272.00$2,255.33$2,255.33$2,817.22
Forecasted Upside14.84% Upside23.87% Upside39.91% Upside16.54% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

MELI Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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MELI Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

MercadoLibre Stock vs. The Competition

TypeMercadoLibreConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.65
2.20
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside14.84% Upside202.83% Upside14.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent MELI News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/3/2026
BTIG Research logo
BTIG Research
3 of 5 stars
Marvin Fong
Marvin Fong
Not Rated
Reiterated RatingBuy$2,150.00+7.15%
8/11/2026
Marcelo Santos
5 of 5 stars
Boost TargetNeutral$1,900.00 ➝ $2,150.00+13.38%
8/6/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald logo
Cantor Fitzgerald
5 of 5 stars
Deepak Mathivanan
Deepak Mathivanan
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetOverweight$2,150.00 ➝ $2,300.00+19.63%
7/15/2026Boost TargetNeutral$1,950.00 ➝ $2,000.00+6.73%
7/13/2026 UpgradeStrong SellHold
7/2/2026 Reiterated RatingHold (C)
5/13/2026 Set Target$2,100.00+38.82%
5/13/2026Lower TargetNeutral$2,050.00 ➝ $1,750.00+16.63%
5/11/2026Lower TargetOverweight$2,600.00 ➝ $2,450.00+55.16%
5/11/2026Lower TargetOverweight$2,500.00 ➝ $2,300.00+40.89%
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5/8/2026 Set Target$2,000.00+22.51%
5/8/2026Lower TargetBuy$2,780.00 ➝ $2,380.00+45.86%
5/8/2026 DowngradeBuyHold$1,800.00+10.40%
5/7/2026Lower TargetSector Outperform$3,500.00 ➝ $2,800.00+50.72%
4/7/2026UpgradeHoldBuy$2,800.00 ➝ $2,600.00+52.01%
2/25/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
2/25/2026Lower TargetOutperform$2,600.00 ➝ $2,400.00+24.83%
12/2/2025 UpgradeHoldModerate Buy
10/13/2025Lower TargetPositive$2,975.00 ➝ $2,900.00+35.92%
2/21/2025Boost TargetBuy$2,500.00 ➝ $3,000.00+42.15%
1/30/2025UpgradeNeutralBuy$2,000.00 ➝ $2,300.00+21.71%
10/11/2024Initiated CoverageBuy$2,800.00+37.22%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 11:05 AM ET.


Should I Buy MercadoLibre Stock? MELI Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these MercadoLibre pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

MercadoLibre
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in MercadoLibre, Inc.:

  • MercadoLibre, Inc. demonstrated strong fundamental performance in its most recent quarter, reporting earnings per share of $9.19, which exceeded the consensus estimate of $8.65 by $0.54, while revenue of $10.17 billion surpassed analyst expectations of $9.79 billion, indicating robust demand for its e-commerce and fintech services.
  • The company is experiencing significant top-line growth, with revenue increasing by 49.8% year-over-year in the latest reported period, suggesting that its integrated marketplace and logistics ecosystem are successfully capturing a larger share of the Latin American digital commerce market.
  • Wall Street maintains a positive outlook on the stock, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus price target of $2,272.00, which represents a potential upside of approximately 13.6% from the current stock price of $1,991.06.
  • Institutional investors are actively increasing their exposure to the company, as evidenced by Nellore Capital Management LLC growing its position by 24.7% in the second quarter to make it the fund's second-largest holding, and UBS AM raising its stake by 7.9% during the same period.
  • Short interest in the stock has decreased to 885,727 shares as of the most recent record date, representing a month-to-month decline of 9.44%, which suggests that fewer market participants are betting against the stock's future performance.

MercadoLibre
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in MercadoLibre, Inc. for these reasons:

  • The stock is trading at a premium valuation with a P/E ratio of 54.15, which is significantly higher than the broader market average, meaning investors are paying a high price for each dollar of earnings and may face downside risk if growth slows.
  • Several major financial institutions have recently lowered their price targets or ratings, including UBS Group dropping its target from $2,050.00 to $1,750.00 and Scotiabank reducing its target from $3,500.00 to $2,800.00, reflecting concerns about the company's valuation or future growth trajectory.
  • The company's earnings per share have declined year-over-year, dropping from $10.31 in the same quarter last year to $9.19 in the most recent quarter, indicating a potential slowdown in profitability despite revenue growth.
  • MercadoLibre, Inc. carries a beta of 1.31, which indicates that the stock is 31% more volatile than the overall market, exposing investors to greater price swings during periods of market uncertainty.
  • The stock is currently trading at $1,991.06, which is 21.9% below its 52-week high of $2,548.50, suggesting that the stock has experienced a significant correction from its peak valuation and may continue to face downward pressure.

MELI Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for MercadoLibre is $2,272.00, with a high forecast of $2,900.00 and a low forecast of $1,750.00.

17 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for MercadoLibre in the last twelve months. There are currently 6 hold ratings and 11 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MELI shares.

According to analysts, MercadoLibre's stock has a predicted upside of 14.84% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, MercadoLibre's stock had 1 upgrade by analysts.

MercadoLibre has been rated by research analysts at BTIG Research, Cantor Fitzgerald, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like MercadoLibre more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating for MercadoLibre is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "consumer discretionary" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MELI compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for MercadoLibre analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/3/2026.
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