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McDonald's (MCD) Stock Forecast & Price Target

McDonald's logo
$236.57 -0.45 (-0.19%)
Closing price 09/25/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$236.59 +0.02 (+0.01%)
As of 09/25/2026 07:59 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

McDonald's - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
11
Buy
18

Based on 29 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for McDonald's in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 29 analysts, 11 have given a hold rating, 17 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MCD.

Consensus Price Target

$300.40
26.98% Upside
According to the 29 analysts' twelve-month price targets for McDonald's, the average price target is $300.40. The highest price target for MCD is $390.00, while the lowest price target for MCD is $250.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 26.98% from the current price of $236.57.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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MCD Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/26/25 to 9/26/26
1 Month Ago
8/27/25 to 8/27/26
3 Months Ago
6/28/25 to 6/28/26
1 Year Ago
9/26/24 to 9/26/25
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
17 Buy rating(s)
15 Buy rating(s)
16 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
Hold
11 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$300.40$322.96$336.26$325.86
Forecasted Upside26.98% Upside24.24% Upside24.45% Upside6.81% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyHold

MCD Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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MCD Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

McDonald's Stock vs. The Competition

TypeMcDonald'sConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.66
2.19
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside26.98% Upside199.07% Upside19.20% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent MCD News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/25/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform
9/25/2026
HC Wainwright logo
HC Wainwright
4 of 5 stars
 Set Target$250.00+5.20%
9/24/2026
Andy Barish
Andy Barish
2 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingBuy$325.00+36.49%
9/24/2026Set Target$260.00+9.19%
9/24/2026Lower TargetHold$282.00 ➝ $270.00+13.39%
9/24/2026Lower TargetOutperform$335.00 ➝ $310.00+30.19%
9/24/2026 Lower TargetOutperform$320.00 ➝ $300.00+25.99%
9/24/2026Lower TargetNeutral$285.00 ➝ $250.00+4.27%
9/24/2026 Lower TargetOutperform$325.00 ➝ $295.00+22.49%
9/24/2026Lower TargetOverweight$280.00 ➝ $260.00+8.22%
9/24/2026Lower TargetSector Perform$290.00 ➝ $285.00+18.49%
9/24/2026Lower TargetBuy$350.00 ➝ $295.00+23.89%
9/21/2026Reiterated RatingOverweight
9/21/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
9/18/2026 Reiterated RatingHold (C)
9/17/2026Lower TargetBuy$345.00 ➝ $310.00+24.16%
9/14/2026Lower TargetBuy$325.00 ➝ $300.00+16.58%
9/14/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$319.00 ➝ $308.00+19.67%
8/26/2026Lower TargetBuy$320.00 ➝ $310.00+15.91%
8/5/2026Lower TargetNeutral$320.00 ➝ $290.00+6.71%
8/5/2026 UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
8/4/2026 Set Target$286.00+7.09%
7/31/2026Lower TargetNeutral$300.00 ➝ $290.00+7.33%
7/17/2026Boost TargetBuy$385.00 ➝ $390.00+45.67%
7/16/2026Lower TargetOverweight$320.00 ➝ $300.00+13.26%
5/8/2026 UpgradeBuy
5/8/2026Lower TargetOverweight$380.00 ➝ $350.00+24.82%
4/27/2026 DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold
4/23/2026UpgradeSell ➝ Neutral$260.00 ➝ $306.00+1.94%
2/12/2026Boost TargetBuy$356.00 ➝ $370.00+14.81%
8/22/2025Boost TargetHold$300.00 ➝ $315.00+0.59%
7/18/2025Lower TargetNeutral$327.00 ➝ $322.00+7.46%
7/14/2025 Initiated CoverageSell$250.00-16.61%
7/10/2025UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$345.00+17.61%
6/6/2025DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold$346.00 ➝ $315.00+2.02%
6/5/2025Reiterated RatingHold$305.00-2.15%
5/6/2025DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral
2/11/2025Boost TargetOutperform$320.00 ➝ $330.00+7.07%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 05:52 PM ET.


Should I Buy McDonald's Stock? MCD Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, September 25, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these McDonald's pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

McDonald's
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in McDonald's Co.:

  • McDonald's Co. recently raised its dividend by nearly 4%, which supports the stock's income appeal and provides a current dividend yield of 2.97% for investors seeking steady cash flow.
  • The company unveiled its "NEXT" strategy, which includes restaurant remodels, employee training, and AI-enabled operations, with management targeting stronger operating margins and free-cash-flow conversion by 2030.
  • With the current stock price at $236.57, the stock is trading near its 52-week low of $234.03, creating a potentially attractive entry point for value-oriented investors.
  • McDonald's Co. is planning to spend $8.5 billion on franchisee support through 2036, including approximately $5 billion through 2030, to fund restaurant modernization, technology deployment, and operational improvements.
  • The company is expanding its menu offerings with chicken, beverage, and protein-focused items, and is exploring bowls and grilled chicken options to attract customers using weight loss drugs.

McDonald's
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in McDonald's Co. for these reasons:

  • CEO Chris Kempczinski warned that elevated inflation will stick around, suggesting that the consumer environment that has pressured the company all year is now the new normal rather than a temporary issue.
  • McDonald's Co. has shed a fifth of its value in 2026, with the stock hitting a fresh 52-week low of $234.03, reflecting significant downward pressure on the share price.
  • Analysts remain divided on the stock's outlook, with some firms like Oppenheimer, JPMorgan, BTIG, and RBC lowering their price targets, signaling reduced confidence in near-term execution.
  • The planned $8.5 billion in franchisee support through 2036, including rent relief and remodels, may pressure the company's financials and free cash flow in the near term.
  • McDonald's Co. is one of the worst-performing Dow stocks this year, facing challenges with consumer discretionary spending that have impacted its revenue growth and market perception.

MCD Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 29 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for McDonald's is $300.40, with a high forecast of $390.00 and a low forecast of $250.00.

29 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for McDonald's in the last twelve months. There are currently 11 hold ratings, 17 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MCD shares.

According to analysts, McDonald's's stock has a predicted upside of 26.98% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, McDonald's's stock had 2 upgrades by analysts.

Analysts like McDonald's more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating for McDonald's is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "consumer discretionary" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MCD compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for McDonald's analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/25/2026.
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