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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Chipotle Mexican Grill logo
$33.36 -0.15 (-0.43%)
As of 03:38 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Chipotle Mexican Grill - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
10
Buy
23

Based on 33 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Chipotle Mexican Grill in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 33 analysts, 10 have given a hold rating, and 23 have given a buy rating for CMG.

Consensus Price Target

$43.84
31.39% Upside
According to the 33 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Chipotle Mexican Grill, the average price target is $43.84. The highest price target for CMG is $53.00, while the lowest price target for CMG is $35.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 31.39% from the current price of $33.37.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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CMG Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/18/25 to 9/18/26
1 Month Ago
8/19/25 to 8/19/26
3 Months Ago
6/20/25 to 6/20/26
1 Year Ago
9/18/24 to 9/18/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
23 Buy rating(s)
24 Buy rating(s)
23 Buy rating(s)
21 Buy rating(s)
Hold
10 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
10 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$43.84$44.16$45.10$59.93
Forecasted Upside31.39% Upside27.65% Upside39.06% Upside50.46% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

CMG Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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CMG Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock vs. The Competition

TypeChipotle Mexican GrillConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.70
2.19
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside33.14% Upside187.61% Upside18.32% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent CMG News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/1/2026
Bank of America Corporation logo
Bank of America
4 of 5 stars
Sara Senatore
Sara Senatore
1 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingBuy$50.00 ➝ $53.00+39.36%
9/1/2026
Mizuho logo
Mizuho
3 of 5 stars
Nick Setyan
Nick Setyan
Not Rated
Reiterated RatingOutperform$43.00+14.41%
8/24/2026
Robert W. Baird logo
Robert W. Baird
3 of 5 stars
Chris O'Cull
Not Rated
Reiterated RatingOutperformNeutral$44.00 ➝ $40.00+8.58%
8/7/2026 UpgradeSell (D+)Hold (C-)
8/5/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$45.00+32.92%
8/4/2026Boost TargetBuy$40.00 ➝ $45.00+20.98%
7/31/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
7/31/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
7/31/2026Reiterated RatingNeutral$35.00 ➝ $36.00-6.60%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingPositive$36.00 ➝ $40.00+16.55%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$42.50+23.83%
7/30/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform$47.00+36.94%
7/30/2026Lower TargetOverweight$42.00 ➝ $39.00+0.53%
7/30/2026Boost TargetBuy$45.00 ➝ $50.00+30.12%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$44.00+13.68%
7/30/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$37.00 ➝ $39.00+13.63%
7/13/2026Lower TargetBuy$46.00 ➝ $45.00+24.22%
6/5/2026UpgradeNeutralOverweight$38.00 ➝ $35.00+24.76%
4/30/2026Boost TargetNeutral$37.00 ➝ $39.00+14.59%
4/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$45.00+32.20%
4/30/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$40.00 ➝ $38.00+10.65%
4/17/2026 UpgradeStrong SellHold
3/9/2026Reiterated RatingBuy
2/4/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$48.00+19.99%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOverweight$50.00 ➝ $45.00+13.93%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOverweight$45.00 ➝ $42.00+7.43%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOutperform$50.00 ➝ $48.00+22.77%
1/8/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
1/8/2026Boost TargetBuy$45.00 ➝ $50.00+26.57%
12/18/2025Reiterated RatingBuy
10/31/2025 DowngradeBuyNeutral
10/30/2025Reiterated RatingOutperform
10/13/2025Lower TargetHold$48.00 ➝ $44.00+7.51%
9/3/2025UpgradeNeutralBuy$55.00+31.73%
7/14/2025 Initiated CoverageHold$60.00+7.14%
6/18/2025Reiterated RatingBuy$57.00+10.92%
4/24/2025Lower TargetBuy$65.00 ➝ $63.00+27.27%
2/5/2025Lower TargetOutperform$69.00 ➝ $64.00+8.29%
2/5/2025 UpgradeBuyStrong-Buy$59.00 ➝ $73.00+23.52%
1/7/2025 Boost TargetOutperform$65.00 ➝ $69.00+17.43%
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Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 03:39 PM ET.


Should I Buy Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock? CMG Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Sunday, September 13, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Chipotle Mexican Grill pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Chipotle Mexican Grill
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.:

  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. recently opened its first restaurant in Asia in Seoul, South Korea, marking a significant strategic expansion into a new international market through a joint venture with Sangmidang Holdings, which signals a new growth vector for the company beyond its established North American and European footprint.
  • The stock is currently trading at $36.23, which is significantly below the consensus price target of $43.84 held by analysts who maintain a Moderate Buy rating, suggesting that the current market valuation may not fully reflect the company's long-term earnings potential and growth trajectory.
  • Institutional investors are showing renewed confidence in the company, as evidenced by the California State Teachers Retirement System increasing its position by over 3,100% in the second quarter and Engineers Gate Manager LP boosting its holdings by 833.5%, indicating that large capital allocators are aggressively re-entering the stock.
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. demonstrated strong operational performance in its most recent quarter, reporting revenue of $3.35 billion which exceeded the consensus estimate of $3.33 billion, and achieving a 9.3% year-over-year revenue growth rate that highlights the resilience of its customer demand.
  • The company maintains a high return on equity of 54.65% and a net margin of 11.43%, metrics that indicate efficient capital management and strong profitability, allowing the business to generate substantial returns for shareholders relative to its equity base.

Chipotle Mexican Grill
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Recent analysis indicates that Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is facing margin pressure as inflation and rising operational costs are currently outweighing the benefits of pricing gains, which could erode the company's profitability if productivity improvements do not keep pace with expense growth.
  • The stock has experienced a notable decline from its 52-week high of $42.81 to its current price of $36.23, reflecting a downward trend in market sentiment and a potential loss of investor confidence in the company's near-term execution and valuation levels.
  • Short interest in the stock has increased to 39,734,303 shares as of the most recent record date, representing a 3.84% month-over-month rise, which suggests that a growing number of traders are betting against the stock's future performance and expecting further price declines.
  • Despite the recent institutional buying, some major holders are reducing their exposure, such as Wellington Management Group LLP which lowered its stake by 93.2% in the second quarter, indicating that not all large investors are convinced of the stock's current value proposition or long-term outlook.
  • The company's price-to-earnings ratio stands at 33.24, a valuation that may be considered high relative to its current growth rate and margin pressures, leaving limited room for error if future earnings growth slows or if the broader economic environment remains challenging for consumer discretionary spending.

CMG Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 33 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Chipotle Mexican Grill is $43.84, with a high forecast of $53.00 and a low forecast of $35.00.

33 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Chipotle Mexican Grill in the last year. There are currently 10 hold ratings and 23 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" CMG shares.

According to analysts, Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock has a predicted upside of 31.39% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock had 2 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Chipotle Mexican Grill more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating for Chipotle Mexican Grill is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "consumer discretionary" companies is Hold. Learn more on how CMG compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Chipotle Mexican Grill analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/1/2026.
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