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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target

United Parcel Service logo
$101.29 -1.63 (-1.58%)
Closing price 07/11/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$101.30 +0.01 (+0.01%)
As of 07/11/2025 07:59 PM Eastern
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United Parcel Service - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
14
Buy
12

Based on 28 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for United Parcel Service in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 28 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 14 have given a hold rating, 11 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for UPS.

Consensus Price Target

$119.13
17.61% Upside
According to the 28 analysts' twelve-month price targets for United Parcel Service, the average price target is $119.13. The highest price target for UPS is $147.00, while the lowest price target for UPS is $82.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 17.61% from the current price of $101.29.
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UPS Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
7/13/24 to 7/13/25
1 Month Ago
6/13/24 to 6/13/25
3 Months Ago
4/14/24 to 4/14/25
1 Year Ago
7/14/23 to 7/13/24
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
13 Buy rating(s)
9 Buy rating(s)
Hold
14 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$119.13$120.26$129.70$164.55
Forecasted Upside17.61% Upside20.40% Upside31.72% Upside15.59% Upside
Consensus Rating
Hold
Hold
Moderate Buy
Hold

UPS Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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UPS Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

United Parcel Service Stock vs. The Competition

TypeUnited Parcel ServiceTransportation CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.39
2.57
2.54
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside17.61% Upside28.61% Upside10.52% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent UPS News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalyst NameActionRatingPrice TargetUpside/Downside on Report DateDetails
7/9/2025Citigroup
3 of 5 stars
Ariel Rosa
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Boost TargetBuy ➝ Buy$122.00 ➝ $127.00+23.79%
7/8/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
2 of 5 stars
Brian Ossenbeck
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Lower TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$110.00 ➝ $107.00+4.05%
7/3/2025BNP Paribas
4 of 5 stars
R. Joynson
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UpgradeHold
7/3/2025BNP Paribas Exane
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 UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Neutral$100.00-5.25%
7/2/2025UBS Group
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Thomas Wadewitz
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$128.00 ➝ $124.00+17.84%
5/16/2025Bank of America
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Ken Hoexter
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Boost TargetBuy ➝ Buy$111.00 ➝ $115.00+14.48%
5/1/2025Hsbc Global Res
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P. Jain
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DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
5/1/2025HSBC
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 DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold$105.00+10.09%
4/30/2025Oppenheimer
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Scott Schneeberger
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Lower TargetOutperform ➝ Outperform$126.00 ➝ $114.00+20.35%
4/30/2025Loop Capital
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Rick Paterson
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Lower TargetHold ➝ Hold$115.00 ➝ $105.00+10.85%
4/30/2025Stifel Nicolaus
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J. Bruce Chan
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$145.00 ➝ $124.00+31.82%
4/30/2025Susquehanna
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Bascome Majors
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Lower TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$120.00 ➝ $110.00+16.45%
4/30/2025BMO Capital Markets
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F. Chamoun
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Lower TargetOutperform ➝ Outperform$130.00 ➝ $125.00+31.84%
4/24/2025Truist Financial
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Lucas Servera
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$140.00 ➝ $130.00+32.00%
4/22/2025Wells Fargo & Company
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Christian Wetherbee
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Reiterated RatingOverweight ➝ Equal Weight$120.00 ➝ $98.00+1.80%
4/9/2025Galvan Research
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 Lower TargetBuy$147.00 ➝ $133.00+38.05%
4/9/2025Wolfe Research
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S. Group
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Lower TargetOutperform$133.00 ➝ $113.00+17.29%
4/9/2025Raymond James Financial
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 Lower TargetStrong-Buy$145.00 ➝ $130.00+34.94%
3/31/2025Barclays
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B. Oglenski
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Lower TargetUnderweight ➝ Underweight$100.00 ➝ $90.00-18.14%
3/7/2025Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
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 Initiated CoverageHold$119.00-1.18%
1/31/2025Baird R W
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G. Holland
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DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
1/31/2025The Goldman Sachs Group
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Matt Reustle
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$166.00 ➝ $147.00+27.89%
1/31/2025Morgan Stanley
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Ravi Shanker
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Lower TargetUnderweight ➝ Underweight$100.00 ➝ $82.00-28.81%
1/31/2025Robert W. Baird
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Benjamin Hartford
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DowngradeOutperform ➝ Neutral$160.00 ➝ $130.00+13.10%
1/22/2025Evercore ISI
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Jonathan Chappell
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Boost TargetIn-Line ➝ In-Line$141.00 ➝ $147.00+10.56%
11/5/2024Argus
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J. Eade
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UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
8/22/2024TD Cowen
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 Initiated CoverageHold$144.00+12.57%
7/24/2024Stephens
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 Lower TargetEqual Weight ➝ Equal Weight$168.00 ➝ $140.00+9.10%
4/3/2024Redburn Atlantic
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 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$180.00+20.63%
12/26/2023Daiwa Capital Markets
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 DowngradeOutperform ➝ Neutral$155.00-2.05%
8/9/2023Credit Suisse Group
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 Lower TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$204.00 ➝ $194.00+7.43%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 05:41 PM ET.


Should I Buy United Parcel Service Stock? UPS Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these United Parcel Service pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

United Parcel Service
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in United Parcel Service, Inc.:

  • The company reported a strong earnings per share (EPS) of $1.49 for the latest quarter, exceeding analysts' expectations, which indicates robust financial performance.
  • United Parcel Service, Inc. has a high return on equity of 40.15%, suggesting effective management and profitability relative to shareholder equity.
  • The current stock price is around $100, reflecting a stable investment opportunity in the transportation sector.
  • Despite a slight decline in revenue compared to the previous year, the company generated $21.50 billion in revenue, surpassing analyst estimates, which shows resilience in its business model.
  • The company has a solid dividend yield of 6.41%, providing investors with a reliable income stream through dividends, which is attractive for income-focused investors.

United Parcel Service
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in United Parcel Service, Inc. for these reasons:

  • The company's revenue decreased by 0.9% compared to the same quarter last year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth.
  • With a payout ratio of 95.63%, the company is distributing nearly all of its earnings as dividends, which may limit its ability to reinvest in growth opportunities.
  • Recent institutional trading shows mixed sentiment, with some hedge funds reducing their stakes, which could signal caution among larger investors.
  • Analysts project an EPS of 7.95 for the current fiscal year, which may not be sufficient to drive significant stock price appreciation if growth remains stagnant.
  • The competitive landscape in the transportation and logistics sector is intensifying, which could pressure margins and profitability in the future.

UPS Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 28 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for United Parcel Service is $119.13, with a high forecast of $147.00 and a low forecast of $82.00.

28 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for United Parcel Service in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 14 hold ratings, 11 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" UPS shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in UPS, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, United Parcel Service's stock has a predicted upside of 17.61% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, United Parcel Service's stock had 2 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like United Parcel Service less than other "transportation" companies. The consensus rating for United Parcel Service is Hold while the average consensus rating for "transportation" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how UPS compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:UPS) was last updated on 7/13/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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