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Tractor Supply (TSCO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Tractor Supply logo
$32.21 -0.61 (-1.86%)
Closing price 04:00 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$32.24 +0.02 (+0.08%)
As of 07:40 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Tractor Supply - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
3
Hold
12
Buy
13

Based on 28 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Tractor Supply in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 28 analysts, 3 have given a sell rating, 12 have given a hold rating, and 13 have given a buy rating for TSCO.

Consensus Price Target

$39.31
22.04% Upside
According to the 28 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Tractor Supply, the average price target is $39.31. The highest price target for TSCO is $51.00, while the lowest price target for TSCO is $28.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 22.04% from the current price of $32.21.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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TSCO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/18/25 to 9/18/26
1 Month Ago
8/19/25 to 8/19/26
3 Months Ago
6/20/25 to 6/20/26
1 Year Ago
9/18/24 to 9/18/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
13 Buy rating(s)
13 Buy rating(s)
14 Buy rating(s)
14 Buy rating(s)
Hold
12 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
14 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
Sell
3 Sell rating(s)
3 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$39.31$39.31$45.96$62.19
Forecasted Upside22.04% Upside10.91% Upside51.99% Upside3.88% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy

TSCO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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TSCO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Tractor Supply Stock vs. The Competition

TypeTractor SupplyConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.36
2.19
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside20.27% Upside186.85% Upside18.52% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent TSCO News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/11/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 DowngradeHold (C-)Sell (D+)
7/28/2026
Argus logo
Argus
3 of 5 stars
Set Target$41.00+28.10%
7/24/2026
Mizuho logo
Mizuho
3 of 5 stars
David Bellinger
David Bellinger
3 of 5 stars
Set TargetNeutral$32.00 ➝ $28.00-6.62%
7/24/2026Reiterated RatingNegative$35.00+15.44%
7/24/2026Set TargetNeutral$32.00 ➝ $31.00+1.59%
7/24/2026Set TargetBuy$50.00 ➝ $40.00+31.93%
7/24/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$43.00 ➝ $38.00+25.33%
7/24/2026Lower TargetOutperform$40.00 ➝ $38.00+25.33%
7/20/2026Lower TargetOutperform$50.00 ➝ $38.00+24.55%
7/17/2026Lower TargetOutperform$48.00 ➝ $40.00+28.99%
7/16/2026Reiterated RatingBuy
7/16/2026 Set Target$34.00+12.69%
7/15/2026Reiterated RatingHold
7/15/2026Lower TargetOverweight$47.00 ➝ $35.00+14.57%
7/14/2026Set TargetNeutral$44.00 ➝ $33.00+9.50%
7/13/2026Set TargetEqual Weight$44.00 ➝ $35.00+14.57%
7/13/2026 DowngradeHoldStrong Sell
7/7/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform$40.00+30.85%
6/22/2026Lower TargetBuy$50.00 ➝ $40.00+32.46%
6/16/2026Set TargetHold$44.00 ➝ $32.00+3.63%
6/16/2026 Lower TargetHold$41.00 ➝ $35.00+16.31%
6/12/2026 Boost Target$40.00 ➝ $50.00+60.00%
4/23/2026 Lower TargetNeutral$52.00 ➝ $41.00+11.19%
4/22/2026 Lower TargetNeutral$55.00 ➝ $48.00+30.17%
4/22/2026 Lower TargetOutperform$58.00 ➝ $45.00+22.03%
4/22/2026 Lower TargetEqual Weight$53.00 ➝ $43.00+16.61%
4/21/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy$51.00+28.71%
4/7/2026 Initiated CoverageNeutral$47.00+7.21%
10/28/2024 Boost TargetBuy$56.00 ➝ $62.00+12.73%
10/25/2024 Reiterated RatingNeutral$54.00 ➝ $54.00-2.10%
9/23/2024Initiated CoverageBuy$63.00+14.09%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 09:31 PM ET.


Should I Buy Tractor Supply Stock? TSCO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 15, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Tractor Supply pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Tractor Supply
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Tractor Supply:

  • Tractor Supply offers a compelling income opportunity with a dividend yield of 2.84%, which is attractive for income-focused investors. The company maintains a payout ratio of 50.00%, meaning it pays out half of its earnings as dividends, a level that is generally considered sustainable and leaves room for future growth or share buybacks.
  • The stock is currently trading at $33.03, which is significantly below the consensus price target of $39.31. This suggests that the market may be undervaluing the company relative to what Wall Street analysts believe it is worth, potentially offering a margin of safety for investors.
  • Tractor Supply has demonstrated strong financial health with a return on equity of 41.74% in its most recent quarter. This high return on equity indicates that the company is very efficient at generating profits from its shareholders' equity, which is a key indicator of a well-managed and profitable business.
  • Recent insider activity shows confidence in the company's future, with CEO Harry A Lawton III and Director Edna Morris both purchasing shares in August 2026. Insider buying is often seen as a positive signal, as executives are in the best position to know the company's true value and prospects.
  • The company has a low beta of 0.48, which means its stock price is less volatile than the overall market. This makes Tractor Supply a potentially stable investment for risk-averse investors who are looking to reduce the overall volatility of their portfolio.

Tractor Supply
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Tractor Supply for these reasons:

  • Tractor Supply's stock has underperformed significantly, trading at $33.03, which is well below its 52-week high of $60.37. This substantial decline suggests that the market has lost confidence in the company's growth prospects or that it is facing significant headwinds.
  • The company's most recent quarterly earnings missed analyst expectations, with an actual EPS of $0.81 compared to a consensus estimate of $0.82. Additionally, revenue of $4.54 billion fell short of the $4.58 billion expected by analysts, indicating potential challenges in meeting market expectations.
  • Tractor Supply has lowered its full-year 2026 EPS guidance to a range of $1.90 to $2.00, which is below the previous consensus estimate of $2.11. This downward revision suggests that the company anticipates weaker performance than initially expected, which could pressure the stock price further.
  • Short interest in Tractor Supply has been increasing, with the number of shares shorted rising to 43,402,123 as of August 31, 2026. This increase in short interest indicates that a growing number of investors are betting against the stock, which could lead to further price declines if the trend continues.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83 is relatively high, suggesting that Tractor Supply is using a significant amount of debt to finance its operations. While some debt is normal, a high ratio can increase financial risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment or if the company's earnings decline.

TSCO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 28 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Tractor Supply is $39.31, with a high forecast of $51.00 and a low forecast of $28.00.

28 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Tractor Supply in the last year. There are currently 3 sell ratings, 12 hold ratings and 13 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" TSCO shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in TSCO, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Tractor Supply's stock has a predicted upside of 22.04% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Tractor Supply's stock had 4 downgrades and 1 upgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Tractor Supply more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating score for Tractor Supply is 2.36 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer discretionary" companies is 2.19. Learn more on how TSCO compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Tractor Supply analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/11/2026.
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