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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target

United Parcel Service logo
$99.01 -1.16 (-1.16%)
Closing price 09/18/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$99.25 +0.24 (+0.24%)
As of 09/18/2026 07:59 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

United Parcel Service - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
11
Buy
9

Based on 21 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for United Parcel Service in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 21 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 11 have given a hold rating, 8 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for UPS.

Consensus Price Target

$117.41
18.59% Upside
According to the 21 analysts' twelve-month price targets for United Parcel Service, the average price target is $117.41. The highest price target for UPS is $133.00, while the lowest price target for UPS is $85.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 18.59% from the current price of $99.01.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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UPS Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/19/25 to 9/19/26
1 Month Ago
8/20/25 to 8/20/26
3 Months Ago
6/21/25 to 6/21/26
1 Year Ago
9/19/24 to 9/19/25
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
10 Buy rating(s)
Hold
11 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
4 Sell rating(s)
3 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$117.41$117.41$111.50$111.03
Forecasted Upside18.59% Upside14.34% Upside5.89% Upside31.96% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

UPS Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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UPS Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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United Parcel Service Stock vs. The Competition

TypeUnited Parcel ServiceIndustrials CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.43
2.30
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside18.59% Upside102.39% Upside18.43% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent UPS News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/17/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 UpgradeSell (D+)Hold (C-)
7/29/2026
Stifel Nicolaus logo
Stifel Nicolaus
4 of 5 stars
J. Bruce Chan
J. Bruce Chan
4 of 5 stars
Boost TargetBuy$114.00 ➝ $115.00+10.19%
7/29/2026
Stephens logo
Stephens
2 of 5 stars
Jack Atkins
Not Rated
Lower TargetOverweight$135.00 ➝ $130.00+23.80%
7/29/2026Boost TargetNeutral$118.00 ➝ $120.00+14.27%
7/29/2026Boost TargetOutperform$115.00 ➝ $117.00+11.35%
7/29/2026Boost TargetBuy$123.00 ➝ $124.00+17.78%
7/29/2026Boost TargetMarket Perform$110.00 ➝ $115.00+10.02%
7/21/2026Boost TargetOutperform$130.00 ➝ $133.00+15.33%
7/15/2026Initiated CoverageMarket Perform
7/9/2026Boost TargetBuy$127.00 ➝ $132.00+16.80%
4/22/2026 Lower TargetIn-Line$115.00 ➝ $113.00+6.32%
1/28/2026 UpgradeHoldBuy
1/28/2026Boost TargetBuy$115.00 ➝ $130.00+24.94%
1/28/2026Boost TargetNeutral$99.00 ➝ $107.00+2.83%
1/28/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$96.00 ➝ $110.00+4.22%
1/28/2026Boost TargetBuy$120.00 ➝ $130.00+21.22%
1/28/2026Boost TargetHold$88.00 ➝ $106.00-1.16%
1/28/2026 Boost TargetHold$101.00 ➝ $115.00+7.24%
1/13/2026 DowngradeNeutralUnderperform$85.00-20.28%
1/9/2026UpgradeUnderperformNeutral$114.00+6.54%
1/8/2026Reiterated RatingOutperformPeer Perform
7/31/2025Lower TargetUnderweight$90.00 ➝ $80.00-7.20%
7/30/2025Lower TargetUnderweight$80.00 ➝ $75.00-15.54%
7/30/2025 Reiterated RatingBuyHold$103.00+13.32%
6/30/2025 Lower TargetBuy$126.00 ➝ $124.00+22.83%
5/23/2025 Lower Target$150.00 ➝ $120.00+25.80%
5/8/2025 Lower TargetBuy$137.00 ➝ $117.00+20.71%
4/30/2025 Lower TargetNeutral$154.00 ➝ $150.00+57.27%
4/30/2025 Lower Target$120.00 ➝ $103.00+7.99%
4/30/2025 Boost Target$132.00 ➝ $133.00+39.44%
4/30/2025Lower TargetHold$115.00 ➝ $105.00+10.85%
4/9/2025 Lower TargetStrong-Buy$145.00 ➝ $130.00+34.94%
1/31/2025DowngradeStrong-BuyHold$160.00 ➝ $130.00+13.85%
1/31/2025Lower TargetBuy$166.00 ➝ $147.00+27.89%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 12:56 PM ET.


Should I Buy United Parcel Service Stock? UPS Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, September 14, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these United Parcel Service pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

United Parcel Service
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in United Parcel Service, Inc.:

  • United Parcel Service, Inc. recently reported strong financial performance for the quarter ended July 28, 2026, beating consensus estimates with earnings per share of $1.76 compared to the expected $1.65 and generating revenue of $22.83 billion, which exceeded the analyst forecast of $21.86 billion. This demonstrates the company's ability to outperform market expectations and maintain robust operational efficiency, a key driver for investor confidence in its growth trajectory.
  • The company offers a highly attractive dividend yield of 6.56%, which is significantly higher than the average for its sector, providing income-focused investors with a substantial return on their investment. This high yield is supported by the company's recent dividend payment of $1.64 per share, making it a compelling option for those seeking steady cash flow from their equity holdings.
  • United Parcel Service, Inc. is currently trading at $102.42, which is below the average analyst price target of $117.41, suggesting potential upside for investors. This valuation gap indicates that the stock may be undervalued relative to its fundamental performance and future growth prospects, offering an opportunity for capital appreciation as the market adjusts to its true worth.
  • Institutional investors continue to show confidence in the company, with National Pension Service increasing its position by 1.5% in the second quarter and NewEdge Advisors LLC boosting its holdings by 18.6%. These moves by large, sophisticated investors often signal strong underlying fundamentals and long-term stability, which can be reassuring for individual investors considering entry into the stock.
  • The company has set its full-year 2026 earnings per share guidance at $7.22, which is above the consensus estimate of $7.12, indicating management's confidence in sustained profitability. This forward-looking guidance, combined with the company's strong return on equity of 37.50% in the most recent quarter, suggests a solid foundation for future earnings growth and shareholder value creation.

United Parcel Service
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in United Parcel Service, Inc. for these reasons:

  • United Parcel Service, Inc. has a payout ratio of 121.93%, meaning it is paying out more in dividends than it earns in profits, which could raise concerns about the sustainability of its high dividend yield. This situation may indicate that the company is using cash reserves or taking on debt to maintain its dividend, posing a risk to long-term financial health and future dividend stability.
  • The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of $106.89 and 200-day moving average of $104.85, suggesting a downward trend in the short to medium term. This technical weakness could indicate ongoing investor skepticism or broader market pressures, potentially leading to further price declines if the trend continues.
  • Short interest in United Parcel Service, Inc. has increased to 25,339,039 shares as of August 31, 2026, representing a 2.98% short percentage of the float. This level of short selling suggests that a significant portion of the market is betting against the stock, which could signal concerns about the company's future performance or overvaluation, adding to the risk for new investors.
  • Some institutional investors have reduced their positions in the company, such as Corient Private Wealth LP, which decreased its holdings by 12.2% in the second quarter, and TD Waterhouse Canada Inc., which cut its stake by 54.0%. These moves by institutional investors may reflect a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects or a strategic shift in portfolio allocation, which could weigh on the stock's price.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58 indicates a relatively high level of leverage, which could increase financial risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment. This leverage may limit the company's flexibility to invest in growth initiatives or weather economic downturns, potentially impacting its ability to deliver consistent returns to shareholders.

UPS Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 21 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for United Parcel Service is $117.41, with a high forecast of $133.00 and a low forecast of $85.00.

21 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for United Parcel Service in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 11 hold ratings, 8 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" UPS shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in UPS, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, United Parcel Service's stock has a predicted upside of 18.59% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, United Parcel Service's stock had 3 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

United Parcel Service has been rated by research analysts at BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Citizens Jmp, Oppenheimer, Sanford C. Bernstein, Stephens, Stifel Nicolaus, Susquehanna, UBS Group, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like United Parcel Service more than other "industrials" companies. The consensus rating score for United Parcel Service is 2.43 while the average consensus rating score for "industrials" companies is 2.30. Learn more on how UPS compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for United Parcel Service analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/17/2026.
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