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McDonald's (MCD) Stock Forecast & Price Target

McDonald's logo
$235.94 +0.29 (+0.12%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$235.86 -0.08 (-0.04%)
As of 07:59 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

McDonald's - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
13
Buy
23

Based on 37 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for McDonald's in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 37 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 13 have given a hold rating, 22 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MCD.

Consensus Price Target

$295.94
25.43% Upside
According to the 37 analysts' twelve-month price targets for McDonald's, the average price target is $295.94. The highest price target for MCD is $390.00, while the lowest price target for MCD is $230.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 25.43% from the current price of $235.94.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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MCD Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/13/25 to 10/13/26
1 Month Ago
9/13/25 to 9/13/26
3 Months Ago
7/15/25 to 7/15/26
1 Year Ago
10/13/24 to 10/13/25
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
22 Buy rating(s)
18 Buy rating(s)
16 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
Hold
13 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
14 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$295.94$321.50$337.25$325.18
Forecasted Upside25.43% Upside27.28% Upside27.32% Upside8.36% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyHold

MCD Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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MCD Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

McDonald's Stock vs. The Competition

TypeMcDonald'sConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.62
2.20
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside25.43% Upside248.33% Upside19.09% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent MCD News
Positive News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/8/2026Lower TargetMarket Perform$295.00 ➝ $250.00+8.36%
10/6/2026
KeyCorp logo
KeyCorp
2 of 5 stars
Lower TargetOverweight$305.00 ➝ $280.00+20.33%
10/5/2026
Guggenheim logo
Guggenheim
5 of 5 stars
Gregory Francfort
Gregory Francfort
1 of 5 stars
Lower TargetNeutral$290.00 ➝ $250.00+7.73%
10/5/2026Lower TargetOverweight$300.00 ➝ $270.00+16.35%
10/2/2026 DowngradeHold (C) ➝ Hold (C-)
9/29/2026Lower TargetOverweight$260.00 ➝ $250.00+6.06%
9/28/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$308.00 ➝ $297.00+25.54%
9/28/2026Lower TargetSell$250.00 ➝ $230.00-2.78%
9/25/2026 Set Target$250.00+5.20%
9/24/2026Set Target$260.00+9.19%
9/24/2026Lower TargetHold$282.00 ➝ $270.00+13.39%
9/24/2026Lower TargetOutperform$335.00 ➝ $310.00+30.19%
9/24/2026 Lower TargetOutperform$320.00 ➝ $300.00+25.99%
9/24/2026Lower TargetBuy$310.00 ➝ $305.00+30.83%
9/24/2026 Lower TargetBuy$315.00 ➝ $285.00+22.30%
9/24/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
9/24/2026Lower TargetNeutral$285.00 ➝ $250.00+4.27%
9/24/2026 Lower TargetMarket Perform ➝ Outperform$325.00 ➝ $295.00+22.49%
9/24/2026Lower TargetOverweight$280.00 ➝ $260.00+8.22%
9/24/2026Lower TargetSector Perform$290.00 ➝ $285.00+18.49%
9/24/2026Lower TargetBuy$350.00 ➝ $295.00+23.89%
9/21/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
9/14/2026Lower TargetBuy$325.00 ➝ $300.00+16.58%
8/26/2026Lower Target$306.00 ➝ $285.00+22.25%
8/26/2026Lower TargetBuy$320.00 ➝ $310.00+15.91%
8/6/2026 Lower TargetOutperform$309.00 ➝ $293.00+25.69%
8/5/2026 Lower TargetHold$301.00 ➝ $273.00+17.08%
8/5/2026 Lower TargetBuy$357.00 ➝ $356.00+52.68%
8/5/2026 Boost Target$339.00 ➝ $343.00+47.13%
8/5/2026 UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
8/4/2026 Set Target$305.00 ➝ $286.00+7.09%
7/31/2026Lower TargetNeutral$300.00 ➝ $290.00+7.33%
7/17/2026Boost TargetBuy$385.00 ➝ $390.00+45.67%
5/8/2026 UpgradeBuy
5/8/2026 Lower Target$315.00 ➝ $290.00+24.36%
5/8/2026Lower TargetOverweight$380.00 ➝ $350.00+24.82%
4/27/2026 DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold
2/12/2026Boost TargetBuy$356.00 ➝ $370.00+14.81%
2/11/2026 Boost TargetBuy$360.00 ➝ $372.00+59.64%
6/5/2025Reiterated RatingHold$305.00-2.15%
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5/6/2025DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral
2/11/2025Boost TargetOutperform$320.00 ➝ $330.00+7.07%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 10:24 PM ET.


Should I Buy McDonald's Stock? MCD Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these McDonald's pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

McDonald's
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in McDonald's Co.:

  • McDonald's Co. recently increased its quarterly dividend to $1.93, representing a 3.3% annualized yield, which provides a steady income stream for investors seeking consistent cash flow from a stable consumer brand.
  • The stock is currently trading at $236.64, which is near its 52-week low of $229.20, potentially offering a valuation entry point below the average analyst price target of $295.94.
  • McDonald's Co. reported an EPS of $3.38 for the most recent quarter, beating analyst estimates of $3.32, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain profitability despite broader consumer spending pressures.
  • The company's heavily franchised business model, where independent franchisees own and operate most locations, allows McDonald's Co. to generate high-margin revenue with lower capital expenditure risk compared to company-operated restaurants.
  • Recent promotional activities, such as the return of the Monopoly game with a $1 million grand prize, are expected to boost customer engagement and drive near-term traffic to stores.

McDonald's
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in McDonald's Co. for these reasons:

  • McDonald's Co. faces a significant legal overhang from a proposed class action alleging that its AI-assisted pricing tool facilitates price coordination among competing franchisees, which could result in costly antitrust litigation.
  • The company plans to spend approximately $8.5 billion on its "Next" remodeling program, which may strain franchisee resources and raise concerns about the long-term payoff of these capital investments.
  • Analyst sentiment has turned cautious, with Sanford C. Bernstein lowering its price target to $250.00 and maintaining a "market perform" rating, reflecting concerns about weak consumer sentiment and discount campaigns not fully restoring customer visits.
  • Short interest in McDonald's Co. has increased, with shares shorted rising to 12,196,481 in the most recent reporting period, indicating that a portion of the market is betting against the stock's performance.
  • Complaints regarding higher prices and smaller perceived portions could pressure sales and brand perception, potentially eroding the company's competitive position in the quick-service restaurant sector.

MCD Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 37 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for McDonald's is $295.94, with a high forecast of $390.00 and a low forecast of $230.00.

37 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for McDonald's in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 13 hold ratings, 22 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MCD shares.

According to analysts, McDonald's's stock has a predicted upside of 25.43% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, McDonald's's stock had 2 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like McDonald's more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating for McDonald's is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "consumer discretionary" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MCD compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for McDonald's analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/8/2026.
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