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Target (TGT) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Target logo
$163.20 -0.16 (-0.10%)
As of 10:26 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Target - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
3
Hold
18
Buy
11

Based on 32 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Target in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 32 analysts, 3 have given a sell rating, 18 have given a hold rating, and 11 have given a buy rating for TGT.

Consensus Price Target

$159.52
-2.26% Downside
According to the 32 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Target, the average price target is $159.52. The highest price target for TGT is $185.00, while the lowest price target for TGT is $88.00. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -2.26% from the current price of $163.20.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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TGT Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/3/25 to 9/3/26
1 Month Ago
8/4/25 to 8/4/26
3 Months Ago
6/5/25 to 6/5/26
1 Year Ago
9/3/24 to 9/3/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
10 Buy rating(s)
Hold
18 Hold rating(s)
17 Hold rating(s)
19 Hold rating(s)
20 Hold rating(s)
Sell
3 Sell rating(s)
3 Sell rating(s)
3 Sell rating(s)
3 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$159.52$134.30$125.93$113.47
Forecasted Upside-2.26% Downside-9.31% Downside2.78% Upside22.83% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

TGT Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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TGT Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Target Stock vs. The Competition

TypeTargetConsumer Staples CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.25
2.22
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside-2.39% Downside144.63% Upside14.20% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent TGT News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/31/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 UpgradeHold (C)Hold (C+)
8/20/2026
Krisztina Katai
Krisztina Katai
2 of 5 stars
Set Target$150.00-5.90%
8/20/2026
Morgan Stanley logo
Morgan Stanley
4 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingOverweight
8/20/2026Boost TargetHold$147.00 ➝ $167.00+5.21%
8/20/2026Set Target$170.00+6.53%
8/20/2026 Reiterated RatingNeutral$142.00-10.75%
8/20/2026Set Target$170.00+6.53%
8/20/2026Boost TargetBuy$166.00 ➝ $185.00+16.27%
8/20/2026Boost TargetNeutral$146.00 ➝ $153.00-3.84%
8/20/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform$154.00-3.21%
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8/20/2026Boost TargetBuy$150.00 ➝ $175.00+9.99%
8/20/2026 Set Target$150.00-5.73%
8/20/2026Boost TargetNeutral$127.00 ➝ $161.00+1.19%
8/20/2026Boost TargetOverweight$165.00 ➝ $185.00+16.27%
8/20/2026Boost TargetOutperform$170.00 ➝ $182.00+14.39%
8/20/2026Boost TargetMarket Perform$150.00 ➝ $160.00+0.56%
8/20/2026Boost TargetNeutral$148.00 ➝ $160.00+0.43%
8/20/2026Boost TargetHold$155.00 ➝ $160.00+0.02%
8/20/2026Boost TargetOutperform$166.00 ➝ $178.00+11.87%
8/20/2026Reiterated RatingSector Weight
8/19/2026Boost TargetBuy$170.00 ➝ $185.00+16.27%
8/19/2026Boost TargetUnderweight$115.00 ➝ $140.00-13.14%
8/19/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
8/14/2026Boost TargetBuy$161.00 ➝ $177.00+13.76%
8/12/2026 Reiterated RatingUnderperform$110.00 ➝ $124.00-18.64%
8/11/2026Boost TargetOutperform$140.00 ➝ $170.00+11.69%
8/7/2026Boost TargetNeutral$129.00 ➝ $157.00+5.87%
8/3/2026Set Target$169.00+16.91%
5/22/2026 Set Target$150.00+18.92%
5/20/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
3/4/2026Boost TargetUnderperform$63.00 ➝ $88.00-27.38%
10/14/2025Initiated CoverageNeutral
7/17/2025Set Target$95.00-8.43%
7/17/2025 Reiterated RatingOutperform
4/17/2025DowngradeModerate BuyHold
3/20/2025Lower TargetHold$130.00 ➝ $120.00+14.50%
3/5/2025Set Target$132.00+17.22%
2/13/2025DowngradeBuyHold
11/26/2024 DowngradeOutperformNeutral$170.00 ➝ $130.00-0.38%
11/20/2024DowngradeStrong-BuyHold$138.00+13.43%
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9/23/2024Initiated CoverageBuy$180.00+15.82%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Thursday at 10:26 AM ET.


Should I Buy Target Stock? TGT Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Target pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Target
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Target Co.:

  • Target Co. recently reported a significant earnings beat for the quarter ended August 19, 2026, posting earnings per share of $4.11 compared to the analyst consensus estimate of $2.35, which demonstrates strong operational execution and profitability that can drive shareholder value.
  • The company has raised its full-year 2026 earnings per share guidance to a range of $9.90 to $10.90, which is substantially higher than the previous consensus estimate of $7.72, signaling management confidence in the sustainability of its recent performance improvements and potential for further stock appreciation.
  • Target Co. is currently trading at $163.75, a price that reflects a strong year-to-date performance of up 66% in 2026, outperforming the broader retail sector and the S&P 500, which suggests the market is increasingly valuing the company's successful turnaround strategy and digital growth momentum.
  • Investors can benefit from a reliable income stream as Target Co. recently increased its quarterly dividend to $1.16 per share, representing an annualized yield of approximately 2.9%, which provides a steady cash flow return while the company maintains a moderate payout ratio of 48.18%.
  • The company is expanding its beauty business with a new specialty-style concept featuring 90 brands and dedicated advisers, a strategic move that differentiates its merchandise assortment and aims to capture higher-margin sales as it competes with specialized retailers.

Target
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Target Co. for these reasons:

  • Despite the recent earnings beat, a significant portion of the profit was driven by a $994 million tariff refund resulting from a Supreme Court ruling, which is a one-time event that may not be sustainable in future quarters and could mask underlying operational challenges.
  • Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus rating of "Hold" with an average price target of $159.52, which is below the current stock price of $163.75, suggesting that many institutional investors believe the stock is fairly valued or slightly overvalued relative to its expected future earnings.
  • Recent insider activity shows a trend of selling, with insiders such as Melissa K. Kremer and Matthew A. Liegel selling shares in August 2026, which can be interpreted as a lack of confidence from company leadership in the current stock price or a desire to diversify personal holdings.
  • Target Co. faces intense competition from discount retailers, as evidenced by consumer trends of trading down to lower-cost stores, which poses a risk to the company's ability to maintain its market share and pricing power in the general merchandise retail sector.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 and quick ratio of 0.36 indicate a moderate level of financial leverage and limited immediate liquidity, which could constrain its financial flexibility in the event of an economic downturn or unexpected operational costs.

TGT Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 32 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Target is $159.52, with a high forecast of $185.00 and a low forecast of $88.00.

32 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Target in the last year. There are currently 3 sell ratings, 18 hold ratings and 11 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" TGT shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in TGT, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Target's stock has a predicted downside of -2.26% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Target's stock had 3 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Target more than other "consumer staples" companies. The consensus rating score for Target is 2.25 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer staples" companies is 2.22. Learn more on how TGT compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Target analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/31/2026.
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