People walk past an electronic stock board at Taipei Exchange in Taipei, Taiwan, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023. Shares were trading mixed in Asia on Monday after Wall Street benchmarks closed higher on Friday, capping a third week of gains out of the last four. (AP Photo/Chiang Ying-ying) A currency trader watches monitors near the screens showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), left, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023. Shares were trading mixed in Asia on Monday after Wall Street benchmarks closed higher on Friday, capping a third week of gains out of the last four. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) A man looks at an electronic stock board at Taipei Exchange in Taipei, Taiwan, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023. Shares were trading mixed in Asia on Monday after Wall Street benchmarks closed higher on Friday, capping a third week of gains out of the last four. (AP Photo/Chiang Ying-ying) Currency traders work at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023. Shares were trading mixed in Asia on Monday after Wall Street benchmarks closed higher on Friday, capping a third week of gains out of the last four. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) Currency traders watch monitors at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023. Shares were trading mixed in Asia on Monday after Wall Street benchmarks closed higher on Friday, capping a third week of gains out of the last four. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) A currency trader works in front of the screens showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), left, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023. Shares were trading mixed in Asia on Monday after Wall Street benchmarks closed higher on Friday, capping a third week of gains out of the last four. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) A street sign is seen in front of the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Tuesday, June 14, 2022. AP Photo/Seth Wenig, File) A trader stands outside the New York Stock Exchange, Friday, Sept. 23, 2022, in New York. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer) Currency traders watch monitors at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2023. Asian shares mostly fell in muted trading Tuesday as investors awaited decisions on interest rates and earnings reports from around the world. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) A currency trader passes by monitors near the screens showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), left, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2023. Asian shares mostly fell in muted trading Tuesday as investors awaited decisions on interest rates and earnings reports from around the world. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) A currency trader watches monitors at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2023. Asian shares mostly fell in muted trading Tuesday as investors awaited decisions on interest rates and earnings reports from around the world. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) Currency traders watch computer monitors at a foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023. Asian stock markets were higher Wednesday after Wall Street rose ahead of what traders hope will be the last Federal Reserve interest rate hike for some time. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man) A currency trader walks by the screens showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), left, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won at a foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023. Asian stock markets were higher Wednesday after Wall Street rose ahead of what traders hope will be the last Federal Reserve interest rate hike for some time. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man) A currency trader talks on the phone near the screens showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), left, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won at a foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023. Asian stock markets were higher Wednesday after Wall Street rose ahead of what traders hope will be the last Federal Reserve interest rate hike for some time. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man) A currency trader works near the screens showing the foreign exchange rates at a foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023. Asian stock markets were higher Wednesday after Wall Street rose ahead of what traders hope will be the last Federal Reserve interest rate hike for some time. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man) A currency trader walks by the screens showing the foreign exchange rates at a foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023. Asian stock markets were higher Wednesday after Wall Street rose ahead of what traders hope will be the last Federal Reserve interest rate hike for some time. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man) Logos the New York Stock Exchange adorn trading posts, on the floor, Wednesday, March 16, 2022. (AP Photo/Richard Drew, File) People wearing protective masks stand near an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei 225 index at a securities firm Thursday, Feb. 2, 2023, in Tokyo. Asian stock markets gained Thursday after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy is moving toward lower inflation but more interest rate hikes are planned. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko) A person stands in front of an electronic stock board showing Japan's Tokyo Stock Price at a securities firm Thursday, Feb. 2, 2023, in Tokyo. Asian stock markets gained Thursday after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy is moving toward lower inflation but more interest rate hikes are planned. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko) A person wearing a protective mask moves past an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei 225 index at a securities firm Thursday, Feb. 2, 2023, in Tokyo. Asian stock markets gained Thursday after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy is moving toward lower inflation but more interest rate hikes are planned. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko) A person watches an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei 225 index at a securities firm Thursday, Feb. 2, 2023, in Tokyo. Asian stock markets gained Thursday after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy is moving toward lower inflation but more interest rate hikes are planned. (AP Photo/Eugene Hoshiko) Traders on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange watch Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's news conference after the Federal Reserve interest rate announcement in New York, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig) The Federal Reserve interest rate announcement is displayed on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York, Wednesday, Feb. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
Futures on Wall Street were mixed Thursday, one day after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy is moving toward lower inflation but that more interest rate increases are planned.
Futures for the S&P 500 rose 0.4% while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%, one day after markets climbed to their highest levels since summer.
The rally Wednesday came after the Fed increased its key lending rate by 0.25 percentage points, smaller than previous hikes and in line with analysts' projections. Chair Jerome Powell said the “disinflationary process has started” but “ongoing increases” in rates will be needed.
The latest increase pushed the Fed’s overnight lending rate to a 16-year high of 4.5% to 4.75%, up from close to zero early last year.
Traders hope central banks that raised rates repeatedly over the past year will scale back plans for more hikes as inflation eases. Some expect a U.S. cut before 2024, though Powell said he anticipates none this year.
Markets put a “dovish interpretation” on Powell's comments despite his warning that it was too early to declare victory, said Venkateswaran Lavanya of Mizuho Bank in a report.
The gap between market pricing and Fed plans "appears to have widened,” Lavanya wrote. “This leaves room for a rude shock down the road.”
“We can now say, I think for the first time, that the disinflationary process has started,” Powell said. He said his “base case” is that the Fed’s inflation target of 2% can be achieved “without a really significant downturn or really big increase in unemployment.”
That appeared to encourage investors who worry central banks might be willing to push the global economy into recession to cool inflation that is near multi-decade highs.
On Wednesday, the S&P 500 gained 1% after Powell’s news conference. The Dow recovered from a loss to gain less than 0.1%. The Nasdaq composite jumped 2%.
Thursday brings another slew of corporate earnings reports, with tech heavyweights Alphabet, Amazon and Apple posting results after the bell. Ford and Starbucks also report.
Also coming Thursday is the weekly unemployment report, which follows more strong jobs data. The government said Wednesday that U.S. job openings rose to 11 million in December, which is about two jobs for every unemployed American. On Friday, the government issues its jobs report for January.
Markets in Europe moved higher ahead of the European Central Bank's expected half-point interest rate hike early Thursday. At midday, the FTSE 100 in London rose 0.6%, the DAX in Frankfurt gained 1.2% and the CAC 40 in Paris inched up 0.2%.
The Bank of England raised interest rates by half a percentage point Thursday as it sought to tame double-digit inflation that is fueling a cost-of-living crisis, public-sector strikes and fears of recession.
In Asia Thursday, the Shanghai Composite Index gained less than 0.1% to 3,285.67 and the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo added 0.2% to 27,402.05. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong shed 0.5% to 21,958.36.
The Kospi in Seoul was up 0.8% at 2,466.03 and Sydney’s S&P-ASX 200 added 0.1% to 7,511.60.
India's Sensex shed less than 0.1% to 59,664.17. New Zealand and Jakarta advanced while Singapore, Bangkok and Kuala Lumpur declined.
In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude declined 32 cents to $76.09 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $2.46 on Wednesday to $76.41. Brent crude, the price basis for international oil trading, dipped 52 cents to $82.32 per barrel in London. It lost $2.62 the previous session to $82.84 a barrel.
The dollar fell to 128.37 yen, while the euro rose to $1.0994 from $1.0979.
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McDonald reported from Beijing; Ott reported from Silver Spring, Md.
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