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Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto Group logo
GBX 7,738 +96.00 (+1.26%)
As of 12:41 PM Eastern
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Rio Tinto Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold
Based on 7 Analyst Ratings
Sell
1
Hold
5
Buy
1

Based on 7 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 7 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 5 have given a hold rating, and 1 has given a buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

GBX 7,707.14
According to the 7 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto Group, the average price target is GBX 7,707.14. The highest price target for RIO is GBX 8,600, while the lowest price target for RIO is GBX 6,100. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -0.40% from the current price of GBX 7,738.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/8/25 to 9/8/26		1 Month Ago
8/9/25 to 8/9/26		3 Months Ago
6/10/25 to 6/10/26		1 Year Ago
9/8/24 to 9/8/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
1 Buy rating(s)
1 Buy rating(s)
0 Buy rating(s)
2 Buy rating(s)
Hold
5 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price TargetGBX 7,707.14GBX 7,707.14£177.97GBX 5,325
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Rio Tinto Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio Tinto GroupMaterials Companies
Consensus Rating Score
2.00
2.56
Consensus RatingHoldModerate Buy
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent RIO News
Positive News
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DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside		Details
7/30/2026
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft logo
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
2 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingHoldGBX 7,400+2.78%
7/30/2026
Berenberg Bank logo
Berenberg Bank
2 of 5 stars
 UpgradeHold ➝ BuyGBX 8,100 ➝ GBX 8,600+20.40%
7/29/2026
Royal Bank Of Canada logo
Royal Bank Of Canada
3 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingUnderperformGBX 6,100-12.38%
7/28/2026
JPMorgan Chase & Co. logo
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating
 Lower TargetNeutralGBX 8,270 ➝ GBX 8,200+20.27%
7/10/2026
Citigroup Inc. logo
Citigroup
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating
 Lower TargetNeutralGBX 8,280 ➝ GBX 8,250+22.04%
6/9/2026
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. logo
Jefferies Financial Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating
 Reiterated RatingHoldGBX 8,500 ➝ GBX 8,500+11.33%
6/2/2026
Shore Capital Group Ltd logo
Shore Capital Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating
 Lower TargetHoldGBX 7,400 ➝ GBX 6,900-14.30%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 02:26 PM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Group Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • The stock is currently trading at $7641.00, which is above its 200-day moving average of GBX 7,271.83, indicating a positive technical trend that often signals sustained upward momentum for investors.
  • Rio Tinto Group has successfully pivoted toward copper production, a critical material for the global energy transition, positioning the company to benefit from long-term demand growth as the world moves toward net-zero carbon emissions.
  • The company offers a dividend yield of 4.59%, providing a steady income stream for investors, supported by a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.35 which suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential.
  • Recent news highlights that Rio Tinto Group secured a $1.8 billion Australian government bailout for its aluminum smelter, which helps mitigate operational risks associated with high energy costs and ensures the continuity of a key production asset.
  • With a beta of 0.66, the stock exhibits lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a potentially stable addition to a diversified portfolio during periods of market uncertainty.

Rio Tinto Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • The consensus rating from seven brokerage firms is "Hold," with an average price target of GBX 7,707.14, suggesting limited upside potential from the current price level and a lack of strong institutional conviction for a buy.
  • China's CMRG has instructed some steel mills to halt talks with Rio Tinto Group regarding September 2026 shipments, which could disrupt revenue streams from one of the company's largest markets for iron ore.
  • Royal Bank of Canada has issued an "underperform" rating with a price target of GBX 6,100, which is significantly below the current stock price, indicating that some analysts believe the stock is overvalued or facing headwinds.
  • The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 34.91, which, while manageable, indicates a significant level of leverage that could impact financial flexibility if commodity prices decline or interest rates remain elevated.
  • Insider activity shows a pattern of selling, with Peter Cunningham selling shares in July 2026 and April 2026, which some investors may interpret as a lack of confidence from those with the most knowledge of the company's internal operations.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 7 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto Group is GBX 7,707.14, with a high forecast of GBX 8,600 and a low forecast of GBX 6,100.

7 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 5 hold ratings and 1 buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" RIO shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in RIO, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto Group's stock has a predicted downside of -0.40% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto Group's stock had 2 upgrades by analysts.

Rio Tinto Group has been rated by research analysts at Berenberg Bank, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Royal Bank Of Canada in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto Group less than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating for Rio Tinto Group is Hold while the average consensus rating for "materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Rio Tinto Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 7/30/2026.
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