Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Q: What analysts cover Vale?

Vale has been rated by research analysts at Barclays , Deutsche Bank , Freedom Broker , JPMorgan Chase & Co. , Morgan Stanley , Royal Bank Of Canada , Sanford C. Bernstein , Scotiabank , UBS Group , Weiss Ratings , Wells Fargo & Company , and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

$11.28 -0.30 (-2.55%)

Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$11.35 +0.07 (+0.58%)

As of 07:56 PM Eastern

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Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 14 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
10

Buy
3

Based on 14 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 14 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 10 have given a hold rating, and 3 have given a buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$14.96
32.55% Upside

According to the 14 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $14.96. The highest price target for VALE is $22.00, while the lowest price target for VALE is $9.50. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 32.55% from the current price of $11.29.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 11/12/25 to 11/12/26	1 Month Ago 10/13/25 to 10/13/26	3 Months Ago 8/14/25 to 8/14/26	1 Year Ago 11/12/24 to 11/12/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	3 Buy rating(s)	2 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)	7 Buy rating(s)
Hold	10 Hold rating(s)	12 Hold rating(s)	10 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$14.96	$15.96	$16.00	$12.61
Forecasted Upside	32.55% Upside	19.45% Upside	17.38% Upside	1.07% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Vale	Materials Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.14	2.55	2.52
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	32.55% Upside	89.06% Upside	13.84% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent VALE News	Neutral News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

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Upside/Downside

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Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
11/3/2026	Wells Fargo & Company 3 of 5 stars	Timna Tanners 3 of 5 stars	Lower Target	Equal Weight	$15.00 ➝ $13.00	+16.85%
11/2/2026	Freedom Broker Not Rated	Vitaly Kononov Not Rated	Lower Target	Buy	$12.00 ➝ $9.50	-16.26%
11/2/2026	UBS Group 4 of 5 stars	Caio Greiner Not Rated	Lower Target	Neutral	$14.50 ➝ $13.50	+19.00%
11/2/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Amos Fletcher Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Lower Target	Equal Weight	$15.00 ➝ $14.50	+27.81%
10/29/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Downgrade	Hold (C) ➝ Hold (C-)
10/19/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Alfonso Salazar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Upgrade	Sector Perform ➝ Sector Outperform	$16.00	+22.63%
10/19/2026	Zacks Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Downgrade	Hold ➝ Strong Sell
10/16/2026	Deutsche Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Set Target	Hold	$16.50 ➝ $15.00	+13.94%
10/7/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Carlos De Alba Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Set Target		$15.50	+13.59%
9/30/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Rodolfo Angele Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Boost Target	Overweight	$21.00 ➝ $22.00	+62.90%
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9/16/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Marina Calero Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Boost Target	Sector Perform	$15.00 ➝ $16.00	+11.46%
9/9/2026	Sanford C. Bernstein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Bob Brackett Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Boost Target	Market Perform	$12.00 ➝ $12.50	-19.64%
8/5/2026	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Caio Ribeiro Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+7.71%
7/27/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Marcio Farid Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+8.14%
11/3/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Christopher LeFemina Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Set Target	Buy	$15.00	+24.02%
10/17/2025	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Boost Target	Buy	$12.25 ➝ $13.50	+21.51%
9/3/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Initiated Coverage	Buy	$12.00	+18.05%
5/12/2025	CICC Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings		Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$11.30	+18.02%
1/8/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock brokerage rankings	Timna Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access to unlock analyst rankings	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Peer Perform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Thursday at 08:22 PM ET.

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

The stock is currently trading at $11.42, which is near its 52-week low of $10.96, offering a potential entry point for value-oriented investors who believe the market has overreacted to recent negative news.
Vale S.A. offers a dividend yield of 3.88%, providing a steady income stream that can help offset volatility in the stock price, which is particularly attractive for income-focused portfolios.
The company has a low beta of 0.50, indicating that its stock price tends to be less volatile than the overall market, which can help reduce portfolio risk during periods of market uncertainty.
Institutional investors such as ARGA Investment Management LP have recently acquired new stakes in the company, suggesting that professional investors see value in the stock despite recent price declines.
Vale S.A. operates in the essential metals and mining sector, producing critical raw materials like iron ore and nickel that are in high demand for steelmaking and the energy transition, providing long-term structural demand for its products.

Vale
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

The company recently reported Q3 2026 earnings of $0.29 per share, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.38, which indicates that profitability is under pressure and may deter growth-oriented investors.
Multiple major financial institutions, including Wells Fargo, UBS, and Barclays, have recently lowered their price targets and downgraded their ratings on the stock, reflecting a bearish outlook from Wall Street analysts.
The stock has experienced a significant decline from its 52-week high of $17.94 to its current price of $11.42, indicating a strong downward trend that may continue if market sentiment does not improve.
Vale S.A. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, which, while not extreme, still represents a level of leverage that could become a burden if interest rates remain high or if commodity prices fall further.
The company's net margin has declined to 1.64%, suggesting that it is struggling to convert revenue into profit, which could limit its ability to invest in growth or return capital to shareholders.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 14 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $14.96, with a high forecast of $22.00 and a low forecast of $9.50.

14 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 10 hold ratings and 3 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" VALE shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in VALE, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 32.55% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 3 upgrades and 3 downgrades by analysts.

Vale has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Freedom Broker, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank Of Canada, Sanford C. Bernstein, Scotiabank, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, Wells Fargo & Company, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Vale less than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating for Vale is Hold while the average consensus rating for "materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Vale analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 11/3/2026.

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target