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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Chipotle Mexican Grill logo
$29.96 -0.62 (-2.02%)
As of 01:07 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Chipotle Mexican Grill - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
10
Buy
22

Based on 32 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Chipotle Mexican Grill in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 32 analysts, 10 have given a hold rating, and 22 have given a buy rating for CMG.

Consensus Price Target

$43.87
46.42% Upside
According to the 32 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Chipotle Mexican Grill, the average price target is $43.87. The highest price target for CMG is $53.00, while the lowest price target for CMG is $36.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 46.42% from the current price of $29.96.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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CMG Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/16/25 to 10/16/26
1 Month Ago
9/16/25 to 9/16/26
3 Months Ago
7/18/25 to 7/18/26
1 Year Ago
10/16/24 to 10/16/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
22 Buy rating(s)
23 Buy rating(s)
23 Buy rating(s)
21 Buy rating(s)
Hold
10 Hold rating(s)
10 Hold rating(s)
10 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$43.87$43.84$44.59$57.64
Forecasted Upside46.42% Upside29.99% Upside29.34% Upside38.13% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

CMG Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
Skip Chart & View Analyst Rating History

CMG Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock vs. The Competition

TypeChipotle Mexican GrillConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.69
2.20
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside43.64% Upside292.88% Upside17.77% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent CMG News
Positive News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/15/2026
Morgan Stanley logo
Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
Brian Harbour
Brian Harbour
2 of 5 stars
Boost TargetEqual Weight$39.00 ➝ $40.00+29.78%
10/15/2026
Stephens logo
Stephens
2 of 5 stars
Jim Salera
Jim Salera
1 of 5 stars
Lower TargetEqual Weight$40.00 ➝ $38.00+23.15%
10/9/2026
UBS Group AG logo
UBS Group
4 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingBuy
9/29/2026Lower TargetOverweight$40.00 ➝ $37.00+17.42%
9/1/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$50.00 ➝ $53.00+39.36%
9/1/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$43.00+14.41%
8/24/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Neutral$44.00 ➝ $40.00+8.58%
8/7/2026 UpgradeSell (D+) ➝ Hold (C-)
8/5/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$45.00+32.92%
8/4/2026Boost TargetBuy$40.00 ➝ $45.00+20.98%
7/31/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
7/31/2026Reiterated RatingNeutral$35.00 ➝ $36.00-6.60%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$42.50+23.83%
7/30/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform$47.00+36.94%
7/30/2026Lower TargetOverweight$42.00 ➝ $39.00+0.53%
7/30/2026Boost TargetBuy$45.00 ➝ $50.00+30.12%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$44.00+13.68%
7/13/2026Lower TargetBuy$46.00 ➝ $45.00+24.22%
4/30/2026Boost TargetNeutral$37.00 ➝ $39.00+14.59%
4/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$45.00+32.20%
4/30/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$40.00 ➝ $38.00+10.65%
4/17/2026 UpgradeStrong Sell ➝ Hold
3/9/2026Reiterated RatingBuy
2/4/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$48.00+19.99%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOverweight$50.00 ➝ $45.00+13.93%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOverweight$45.00 ➝ $42.00+7.43%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOutperform$50.00 ➝ $48.00+22.77%
1/8/2026 DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
1/8/2026Boost TargetBuy$45.00 ➝ $50.00+26.57%
12/18/2025Reiterated RatingBuy
10/31/2025 DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral
10/30/2025Reiterated RatingOutperform
10/13/2025Lower TargetHold$48.00 ➝ $44.00+7.51%
9/3/2025UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$55.00+31.73%
7/14/2025 Initiated CoverageHold$60.00+7.14%
6/18/2025Reiterated RatingBuy$57.00+10.92%
4/24/2025Lower TargetBuy$65.00 ➝ $63.00+27.27%
2/5/2025Lower TargetOutperform$69.00 ➝ $64.00+8.29%
2/5/2025 UpgradeBuy ➝ Strong-Buy$59.00 ➝ $73.00+23.52%
1/7/2025 Boost TargetOutperform$65.00 ➝ $69.00+17.43%
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Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 01:07 PM ET.


Should I Buy Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock? CMG Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, October 12, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Chipotle Mexican Grill pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Chipotle Mexican Grill
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.:

  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. currently trades at $30.40, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $43.91, suggesting substantial upside potential for investors who believe the market has overreacted to recent negative news.
  • The company demonstrated strong fundamental performance in its most recent quarter, reporting earnings per share of $0.33, which exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.32, and revenue of $3.35 billion, surpassing the expected $3.33 billion, indicating robust operational execution.
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. maintains a high return on equity of 54.65% and a net margin of 11.43%, metrics that reflect efficient capital usage and strong profitability relative to its revenue base.
  • Recent institutional activity shows significant confidence, with funds like Farther Finance Advisors LLC increasing their position by 705.3% and Avity Investment Management Inc. boosting its stake by 1,572.6% in the third quarter, signaling that professional investors are accumulating shares.
  • The stock has a beta of 0.96, indicating it moves in line with the broader market, which may appeal to investors seeking a stable consumer discretionary exposure without excessive volatility compared to higher-beta growth stocks.

Chipotle Mexican Grill
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Starbucks officially denied plans to acquire Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., causing the stock to drop approximately 4% to $30.20, which removes a potential takeover premium that had been supporting the share price during the speculation period.
  • The stock is trading near its 52-week low of $28.03 and is currently below both its 50-day moving average of $34.38 and 200-day moving average of $33.53, indicating a persistent downtrend and weak technical momentum.
  • Short interest has increased to 37,809,561 shares as of September 30, 2026, representing about 3% of the float, which suggests that a significant portion of the market is betting against the stock's future performance.
  • Insider Matthew R. Bush sold 2,675 shares at an average price of $35.75 in August 2026, a transaction that reduced his position by 11.10%, which may signal that company insiders are taking profits or reducing exposure.
  • Despite the "Moderate Buy" consensus, the average price target has declined from $50.23 in January 2026 to $43.91 in October 2026, reflecting a gradual reduction in analyst optimism and lower expectations for future earnings growth.

CMG Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 32 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Chipotle Mexican Grill is $43.87, with a high forecast of $53.00 and a low forecast of $36.00.

32 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Chipotle Mexican Grill in the last year. There are currently 10 hold ratings and 22 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" CMG shares.

According to analysts, Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock has a predicted upside of 46.42% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Chipotle Mexican Grill more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating for Chipotle Mexican Grill is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "consumer discretionary" companies is Hold. Learn more on how CMG compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Chipotle Mexican Grill analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/15/2026.
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