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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Chipotle Mexican Grill logo
$31.34 -0.68 (-2.11%)
Closing price 09/25/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$31.66 +0.33 (+1.05%)
As of 09/25/2026 07:59 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Chipotle Mexican Grill - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
10
Buy
23

Based on 33 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Chipotle Mexican Grill in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 33 analysts, 10 have given a hold rating, and 23 have given a buy rating for CMG.

Consensus Price Target

$43.84
39.91% Upside
According to the 33 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Chipotle Mexican Grill, the average price target is $43.84. The highest price target for CMG is $53.00, while the lowest price target for CMG is $35.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 39.91% from the current price of $31.34.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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CMG Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/26/25 to 9/26/26
1 Month Ago
8/27/25 to 8/27/26
3 Months Ago
6/28/25 to 6/28/26
1 Year Ago
9/26/24 to 9/26/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
23 Buy rating(s)
23 Buy rating(s)
23 Buy rating(s)
21 Buy rating(s)
Hold
10 Hold rating(s)
10 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$43.84$43.84$45.10$59.93
Forecasted Upside39.91% Upside17.71% Upside35.17% Upside49.60% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

CMG Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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CMG Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock vs. The Competition

TypeChipotle Mexican GrillConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.70
2.20
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside39.91% Upside199.08% Upside19.21% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent CMG News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/1/2026
Bank of America Corporation logo
Bank of America
4 of 5 stars
Sara Senatore
Sara Senatore
1 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingBuy$50.00 ➝ $53.00+39.36%
9/1/2026
Mizuho logo
Mizuho
3 of 5 stars
Nick Setyan
Nick Setyan
Not Rated
Reiterated RatingOutperform$43.00+14.41%
8/24/2026
Robert W. Baird logo
Robert W. Baird
3 of 5 stars
Chris O'Cull
Not Rated
Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Neutral$44.00 ➝ $40.00+8.58%
8/7/2026 UpgradeSell (D+) ➝ Hold (C-)
8/5/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$45.00+32.92%
8/4/2026Boost TargetBuy$40.00 ➝ $45.00+20.98%
7/31/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
7/31/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
7/31/2026Reiterated RatingNeutral$35.00 ➝ $36.00-6.60%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingPositive$36.00 ➝ $40.00+16.55%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$42.50+23.83%
7/30/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform$47.00+36.94%
7/30/2026Lower TargetOverweight$42.00 ➝ $39.00+0.53%
7/30/2026Boost TargetBuy$45.00 ➝ $50.00+30.12%
7/30/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$44.00+13.68%
7/30/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$37.00 ➝ $39.00+13.63%
7/13/2026Lower TargetBuy$46.00 ➝ $45.00+24.22%
6/5/2026UpgradeNeutral ➝ Overweight$38.00 ➝ $35.00+24.76%
4/30/2026Boost TargetNeutral$37.00 ➝ $39.00+14.59%
4/30/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$45.00+32.20%
4/30/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$40.00 ➝ $38.00+10.65%
4/17/2026 UpgradeStrong Sell ➝ Hold
3/9/2026Reiterated RatingBuy
2/4/2026Reiterated RatingBuy$48.00+19.99%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOverweight$50.00 ➝ $45.00+13.93%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOverweight$45.00 ➝ $42.00+7.43%
2/4/2026Lower TargetOutperform$50.00 ➝ $48.00+22.77%
1/8/2026 DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
1/8/2026Boost TargetBuy$45.00 ➝ $50.00+26.57%
12/18/2025Reiterated RatingBuy
10/31/2025 DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral
10/30/2025Reiterated RatingOutperform
10/13/2025Lower TargetHold$48.00 ➝ $44.00+7.51%
9/3/2025UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$55.00+31.73%
7/14/2025 Initiated CoverageHold$60.00+7.14%
6/18/2025Reiterated RatingBuy$57.00+10.92%
4/24/2025Lower TargetBuy$65.00 ➝ $63.00+27.27%
2/5/2025Lower TargetOutperform$69.00 ➝ $64.00+8.29%
2/5/2025 UpgradeBuy ➝ Strong-Buy$59.00 ➝ $73.00+23.52%
1/7/2025 Boost TargetOutperform$65.00 ➝ $69.00+17.43%
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Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 10:22 AM ET.


Should I Buy Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock? CMG Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Chipotle Mexican Grill pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Chipotle Mexican Grill
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.:

  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. recently reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded market expectations, posting earnings per share of $0.33 against a consensus estimate of $0.32 and generating revenue of $3.35 billion, which surpassed the projected $3.33 billion. This performance demonstrates the company's ability to maintain strong operational execution and drive 9.3% year-over-year revenue growth, signaling robust demand for its customizable Mexican-inspired menu items such as burritos, bowls, and tacos.
  • The company is actively leveraging advanced technology to mitigate operational risks, specifically partnering with Palantir to implement AI-driven analytics for food safety. This strategic move allows Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. to score stores on health inspections, pest incidents, and employee illness, which is a critical differentiator for a restaurant operator that emphasizes responsibly sourced ingredients and high-volume service in the United States, Canada, and Europe.
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is expanding its leadership pipeline by placing apprentice managers in all company-owned locations, a move designed to support its goal of reaching 7,000 restaurants. This initiative addresses a key bottleneck in rapid expansion by ensuring that high-performing employees are prepared for general manager roles, thereby facilitating the planned 350 to 370 new openings in 2026 and supporting long-term growth in the fast-casual sector.
  • With a current stock price of $32.65, the shares are trading significantly below the consensus price target of $43.84 held by sell-side analysts. This valuation gap suggests that the market may be overreacting to short-term headwinds, offering potential upside for investors who believe in the company's long-term trajectory, especially given that the stock has a beta of 0.94, indicating it moves in line with the broader market rather than exhibiting extreme volatility.
  • Institutional interest in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. remains strong, with 91.30% of the company's stock owned by institutional investors and hedge funds. Recent filings show that major players like BlackRock Inc. and Norges Bank have established or increased their positions, while new entrants like Nykredit A S acquired over 520,000 shares in the second quarter, reflecting confidence in the company's market position within the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry.

Chipotle Mexican Grill
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. faces significant margin pressure and cautious consumer spending, which has contributed to a 15% decline in the stock price over the past year. The restaurant industry is currently struggling with higher prices for ingredients and labor, and the broader wellness trend is forcing the company to innovate rapidly to maintain its competitive edge against other fast-casual and quick-service competitors.
  • The company's valuation remains elevated relative to its growth rate, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.86 and a PEG ratio of 2.05. Some analysts, including Seaport Research Partners, have initiated coverage with a Neutral rating, citing traffic challenges and the high valuation as key concerns, suggesting that the stock may be priced for perfection despite recent operational improvements.
  • Recent data indicates weakening dining traffic, with August dining traffic falling by 2.4%, which raises concerns about selective spending and pricing sensitivity among customers. This trend is particularly relevant for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. as it competes in a crowded market where consumers are increasingly price-conscious, potentially impacting the company's ability to sustain its 9.3% revenue growth rate in upcoming quarters.
  • Short interest in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. has increased in recent months, with shares shorted rising to 39,734,303 as of August 31, 2026, representing a 3.84% month-over-month increase. This growing short position suggests that a portion of the market is betting against the stock, potentially due to concerns about the company's ability to maintain its high return on equity of 54.65% and net margin of 11.43% in a challenging economic environment.
  • Insider activity shows a trend of selling, with insider Matthew R. Bush selling 2,675 shares at an average price of $35.75 in August 2026, reducing his ownership by 11.10%. While insider sales are not always a negative signal, this transaction, combined with the stock's decline from its 52-week high of $42.81 to its current level of $32.65, may indicate that company insiders are taking advantage of higher valuations to reduce their exposure.

CMG Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 33 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Chipotle Mexican Grill is $43.84, with a high forecast of $53.00 and a low forecast of $35.00.

33 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Chipotle Mexican Grill in the last year. There are currently 10 hold ratings and 23 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" CMG shares.

According to analysts, Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock has a predicted upside of 39.91% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Chipotle Mexican Grill more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating for Chipotle Mexican Grill is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "consumer discretionary" companies is Hold. Learn more on how CMG compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Chipotle Mexican Grill analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/1/2026.
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